PIR

What a Week in Retail: Some Good, Mostly Bad

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The week ending January 10 brought a plethora of news that confirmed our fears: promotional activity during the shortened holiday shopping season of 2013 wasn’t just bad, it was cutthroat. Many retailers were left unable to recover from the ice and winter storms that ravaged much of the US during December/early January. Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) Five Below (FIVE), Pacific Sunwear (PSUN), Sears (SHLD) and Zumiez (ZUMZ) all revealed difficult performance during the period. The variant business models of the aforementioned retailers suggest weakness was widespread. Surprisingly, even discount retailing giant Family Dollar (FDO) wasn’t able to lower prices enough to keep customers in the stores. No category seemed to be spared. Needless to say, we’re not expecting much … Read more

Bed Bath & Beyond Rides the Housing Wave

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Wednesday afternoon, home goods retailer Bed Bath & Beyond (click ticker for report: ) posted solid second quarter results thanks to an improving housing market. Revenue increased 8.9% year-over-year to $2.8 billion, slightly above consensus estimates. Earnings-per-share of $1.16 was an improvement of 18% compared to the year-prior and a penny above consensus expectations. Year-to-date, free cash flow sits at $365 million, equal to 6.7% of revenue. Comp Sales Growth Image Source: Company Filings, Valuentum Comparable sales growth accelerated during the second quarter, registering a number that was 3.7% higher than that of the previous year. The two-year stacked comp for the period sits at 7.2%, which we believe is a solid growth rate in a modest retailing environment. Management offers … Read more

Family Dollar’s “Upside” Surprise Wasn’t Great

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Off-priced retailer Family Dollar (click ticker for report: ) reported stronger-than-anticipated third quarter results Wednesday morning, led by strong sales of consumables. Revenue at the discount chain increased 9% year-over-year to $2.6 billion, roughly in-line with consensus expectations. Earnings per share actually declined a penny to $1.05, but that figure was better than the consensus estimates which called for a steeper decline. Free cash flow stands at a negative $275 million year-to-date as the company invests heavily in expanding and renovating its store base. The company has engaged in numerous sale-leaseback transactions, so the increase in capital spending has not materially drained the firm’s coffers. Taking a closer look at the numbers, we can see that the quarter was not … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

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Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.

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What is Valuentum Securities? Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. How do I subscribe to Valuentum’s investment research services? 1)    Click the following link: signup-page. 2)    Select your membership plan. 3)    Enter your contact details. 4)    Click ‘Sign Up.’ 5)    Complete your purchase. 6)   Your payment profile may be recurring, so please check … Read more