Restaurant Traffic – What’s Going On?

By Kris Rosemann What’s going on with restaurant stocks these days?  Sonic’s (SONC) announcement of preliminary results for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2016, ended August 31, has been the latest catalyst to drag the restaurant sector (BITE) lower due to it reporting “lower-than-expected traffic, reflecting lower consumer spending in restaurants and continued aggressive competitive activity.” Our newsletter portfolios have not been spared the pain as shares of Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Cracker Barrel (CBRL) have faced pressure since its fiscal fourth quarter report September 14, and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) has suffered as a result of the weak data as well. Sonic’s report was not the first we’ve been hearing of slowing consumer … Read more

10 Bucks per Hour; What It Really Means

Source: US Department of Labor, Walmart Walmart (WMT) is quite savvy. The big box retailer announced February 19 it would raise the minimum wage for all of its US workers to $9 per hour in April of this year and at least $10 per hour by next February. The move comes amid ongoing public scrutiny of its labor practices, elevated worker turnover, and general malaise among the ranks on social media platforms. At face value, the news headlines show Walmart caving to public pressure, and a win for big labor, but in reality, the retailing giant is merely doing what good businesses do – pleasing customers (which are its workers, too) and widening its economic moat. Hiking wages accomplishes both. … Read more

New England Wins!

Does that mean we’re doomed in 2015? Don’t be silly. The Super Bowl indicator, which says that if a team from the NFC wins we’re in for a good year, is akin to reading the stars. But the AFC’s Patriots won the big game – so does that mean 2015 will disappoint? Perhaps 2015 will…but certainly not because of the Patriots won the Super Bowl. A person doesn’t have to look much further than the NFC’s New York Giants winning the Super Bowl in 2008 to understand why such things just don’t matter. The dawn of the Financial Crisis that year sent stocks a-tumbling. It’s unfortunate that such things get so much attention because it makes it sound like the … Read more

Di-worsification? That Could Be the Starbucks/Teavana Deal

Last Wednesday, Starbucks (click ticker for report: ) announced that it will acquire tea retailer Teavana (TEA) for $15.50 per share in an all cash transaction valued at $620 million. The deal is expected to add one cent to Starbucks’ earnings in 2013. Though the deal represented a significant premium to the recent share price, the acquisition price is below Teavana’s IPO price, which will certainly set off some shareholder lawsuits. We’re more interested in the impact it will have on Starbucks. Unlike the recent lack of innovation we’ve seen at a company such as McDonald’s (click ticker for report: ), Starbucks hasn’t been afraid to make drastic moves to drive store traffic and keep the brand relevant. In addition … Read more

Stick to the Smoothies, Not the Stock with Jamba

Jamba (JMBA) is one of the largest smoothie and healthy fast-serve chains in the United States. However, the company, better known as Jamba Juice, could quite possibly be worthless. Though we see the company’s operations slowly improving, we don’t think the company makes a compelling investment at this time. Massive growth potential Undoubtedly, US consumers seem to be turning towards more health-conscious offerings and lifestyles, as evident from the big booms in running and yoga (NKE, LULU), as well as superior performance from healthy fast-food chains like Panera (PNRA) and Chipotle (CMG). Even McDonald’s (MCD) has stepped up to the plate with better tasting salads and brand-new smoothie offerings. We think Jamba could stand to benefit from these new trends. … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

Optimizing Coverage

We’re shifting our coverage around a bit to better allocate resources to areas that are of interest to you! We’re dropping coverage of the following companies, but we plan to add different companies and finetune our analysis in other areas. Every day, we seek to make our service as valuable as it can be! By Christopher Araos Air Industries Group (AIRI) Air Industries focuses on flight safety, including landing gear, engine throttle quadrants and other components. Air Industries makes structural parts for aerospace and defense customers. It focuses on flight safety, including landing gear, engine mounts, throttle quadrants and other components. The company’s products can be found on Sikorski’s UH-60 Blackhawk helicopter, Lockheed’s F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, and Boeing and … Read more