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Big Energy Earnings Roundup

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Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation – Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan In alphabetical order by ticker: COP, CVX, RDS, TOT, XOM ConocoPhillips On October 29, upstream super-independent ConocoPhillips (COP) reported third quarter earnings for 2019. Its adjusted underlying oil and gas output rose by 7% year-over-year to over 1.3 million BOE/d in the quarter. Conoco sold off most of its UK operations (through a deal announced in April 2019), which were primarily represented by mature offshore oil and gas fields and a stake in the Clair oilfield, raising approximately $2.2 billion in net cash proceeds when the deal was completed in the third quarter. That transaction will see Conoco’s upstream output move lower sequentially in the fourth … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week May 7

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 1st Constitution Bancorp (FCCY): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): now $0.1706 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1551. Allied Motion Technologies (AMOT): now $0.025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.020. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.33. Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Atlantic Union Bank (AUB): now … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week July 30

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.16. American States Water (AWR): now $0.365 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.335. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Arc Resources (AETUF): now CAD 0.066 per share annual dividend, was CAD 0.060. Ares Capital (ARCC): now $0.41 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.40. Apartment Income REIT (AIRC): now $0.44 … Read more

Black Gold! Crude Oil Prices Leap to ~$50

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Key Takeaways: After being negative throughout much of the collapse in energy resource prices during 2014-2015, Valuentum has been market-neutral on the energy sector since October of last year, and the newsletter portfolios have participated in the bounce in energy shares from January 2016 via the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). The Dividend Cushion ratio, which is a forward-looking cash-flow based metric of dividend health, flagged the risk of every dividend cut, without fail, in the Independent Oil & Gas industry in advance of the event: Anadarko (APC), Cenovus (CVE), Cimarex (XEC), Devon Energy (DVN), Noble Energy (NBL), and Range Resources (RRC). We’ll walk through the degree of capital cuts across the Independent Oil & Gas industry, the group’s efforts … Read more

Analyzing Chevron and Important Updates in the Global Energy Industry

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Image Source: Chevron Corporation – November 2019 IR Presentation Summary In this note, let’s cover the current state of raw energy resource prices in North America and around the world. We’ll analyze Chevron’s 2020 capital investment and exploration budget, in particular, and the global energy industry at-large. Shares of CVX appear generously valued as of this writing given the numerous headwinds facing the energy industry going forward. By Callum Turcan The world of oil and gas equities has been battling with persistently low raw energy resource prices for some time now. Back in the middle of 2014, a barrel of light sweet crude delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma (home of the West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, benchmark), would fetch over $100. Now … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week November 5

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 5. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AdvanSix (ASIX): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend. Air Lease (AL): now $0.185 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.160. American Financial (AFG): now $4.00 per share special dividend, was $0.56. America Movil (AMX): now $0.197 per share dividend, was $0.177. AmerisourceBergen (ABC): now $0.46 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. APA (APA): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0625. Arc Resources (AETUF): now CAD 0.10 … Read more

Worst in Energy Not Over, Stay Away from Leveraged Enterprises, Seeds of Financial Crisis Sown?

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Image Shown: The energy and banking markets continue to be experiencing pain. Since we removed the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, the XLE has fallen more than 50% and the XLF has fallen 13%, while the SPY has held up roughly 2%. We continue to believe staying away from energy and financials/banks will be a source of significant alpha. These are challenging times. The oil price swoon has complicated an already-dire situation with COVID-19. We’re seeing cracks in the credit markets, and the European banking system is far from healthy. The US banks may face knock-on impacts from energy loan defaults and hold … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 3M (MMM): now $1.49 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.48. Algoma Steel Group (ASTL): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend. Amdocs (DOX): now $0.395 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.360. Ameren (AEE): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Ametek (AME): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Ares Management (ARES): now $0.61 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. AstraZeneca PLC (AZN): now $1.97 … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more