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There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week December 17

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 17. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ABM Industries (ABM): now $0.195 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.190. AECOM Technology (ACM): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend. AFC Gamma (AFCG): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. Albany (AIN): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Ambev (ABEV): now $0.0238 per share dividend, was R$0.0767. American Tower (AMT): now $1.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.31. Andersons (ANDE): now $0.18 per … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 15

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 15. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Aboitiz Power Corporation (ABZPY): now $0.5667 per share annual dividend, was $0.4579. Acer (ACEYY): now NT$1.60 per share dividend, was NT$1.50. AG Mortgage Investment Trust (MITT): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPZZF): now CAD 0.113 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.107. Brambles (BXBLY): now … Read more

8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed

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8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, Brian here. Trust you are doing great! Here are eight announcements I want you to be aware of: Everything we do is for our members. We’re very proud of the outperformance of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, that we’ve never had a dividend cut in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, that our high-yield ideas are holding up very well, and the success rates of the Exclusive capital-appreciation ideas and short-idea considerations are running at approximately 80%. We’re proud to be your research partner. The odds of a Fed rate cut are going up as yield-curve inversion continues to threaten. The risks are more behavioral in … Read more

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 16

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending December 16. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ABM Industries (ABM): now $0.17 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.165. AES (AES): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. American Tower (AMT): now $0.58 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Andersons (ANDE): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.155. Avianca (AVH): now $0.032 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.03. Balchem (BCPC): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Boeing (BA): now $1.42 … Read more

Valuentum: Now Bearish, We’ve Been Here Every Step of the Way

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Valuentum Has Been Here Every Step of the Way   From the COVID-19 top in February 2020 to the COVID-19 bottom to the massive bull run through the end of 2021, we’ve been here for you.    2022 started out to be a rough year, catching many by surprise.   But Valuentum stayed positive. When the markets headed south in June, Valuentum stood its ground. On June 14, Valuentum said that “we still believe stocks could make a “huge rebound” in the near term.   We reiterated our views a few days later and on June 19, we said that “investors shouldn’t panic during this bear market” and that “stocks remain an attractive proposition at the moment and a very attractive consideration … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 10

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending March 10. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American Tower (AMT): now $0.62 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.58. American Vanguard (AVD): now $0.015 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. AMERISAFE (AMSF): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Avnet (AVT): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17. Cabot Microelectronics (CCMP): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Carter’s (CRI): now $0.37 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.33. CenterState Banks (CSFL): … Read more

Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed

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Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don’t believe Warren Buffett’s “style” is out of favor? By Brian Nelson, CFA I need to make sure that you’re aware of something very important. The media and perhaps many investment professionals define the concept of “value” as companies with low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and the concept of “growth” as companies with high price-to-book ratios. This definition of “value” and “growth” and their corresponding returns have been magnified in writings throughout the media and across quantitative research, even in prestigious journals. Warren Buffett has been rallying against most quantitative applications and how “growth” and “value” are defined in popular media and quantitative research for decades.  Here’s one of the Oracle’s most … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more