AGCO

Joy Global: Business Is Bad and Getting Worse; Share Buybacks Are Value Destructive

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The Power of a Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) Score of 1–the worst possible measure Mining equipment maker Joy Global (click ticker for report: ) posted lackluster results Wednesday for its fiscal year 2013 third quarter. Competitor Caterpillar (click ticker for report: ) posted similarly weak results as it deals with many of the same weakening global trends that are impacting Joy Global. During the period, Joy Global’s revenue declined 7% year-over-year to $1.3 billion, though that was better performance than consensus estimates predicted. Excluding items, earnings per share fell 9.1% year-over-year to $1.70, which was also slightly above consensus estimates. Free cash flow was actually better than the prior-year quarter at $320 million, equal to 24% of total revenue. Image … Read more

Uralkali Backs Out of Belarusian Potash Company; Industry to Change

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Early this morning, Russian fertilizer Uralkali announced it will leave the Belarusian Potash Company in order to grab market share. CEO Vladislav Baumgertner asserted that BPC partner Belaruskali had been making potash exports outside of the pre-arranged agreement, rendering the BPC useless. Until now, the potash industry had been a relatively stable cartel allowing industry participants to generate robust amounts of free cash flow as spot prices rested well above the cost of production. On a conference call following the announcement, Baumgertner mentioned that the price of potash could fall by over $100/tonne as Uralkali will boost production nearly 25% and look to steal market share. Uralkali is the largest single potash producer in the world and likely has the … Read more

Caterpillar’s Second Quarter Performance Falls Short

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Industrial bellwether Caterpillar (click ticker for report: ) reported relatively disappointing second-quarter results Wednesday, as both its top and bottom lines fell below consensus estimates. Revenue dropped 16% to $14.6 billion, as sales declined in all geographic regions, with the steepest reduction in Asia/Pacific (though we note sales in China increased). Profit per share plunged over 40% to $1.45 due to lower volumes, an unfavorable mix of products, and sales deleveraging (reduced cost absorption). Management acknowledged the difficult market environment by reducing inventories $1.2 billion in the quarter, trumping that of its dealer supply chain, which cut channel inventories by $1 billion (more than expected). It appears that neither Cat nor its dealer network, which plans to reduce inventories even … Read more

Deere Runs! South America Not As Bad?

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Deere’s equity is charging higher. Let’s look at the reasons why. Will Caterpillar follow? By Brian Nelson, CFA On May 19, agricultural equipment maker Deere (DE) reported solid quarterly results for the period ending April 30 that showed strong improvement in farm and construction equipment demand. Management noted that in its recently-completed second quarter “market conditions showed signs of further stabilization…(and) farm machinery sales in South America experience(ed) a strong recovery,” too. Deere increased its full-year earnings forecast to $2 billion, which it expects to be driven by 9% sales growth. Shares of Deere yield just north of 2% at the moment.

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.

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What is Valuentum Securities? Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. How do I subscribe to Valuentum’s investment research services? 1)    Click the following link: signup-page. 2)    Select your membership plan. 3)    Enter your contact details. 4)    Click ‘Sign Up.’ 5)    Complete your purchase. 6)   Your payment profile may be recurring, so please check … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

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Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

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Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 26

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ACNB (ACNB): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. AGCO (AGCO): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.57 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.555. Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP): now $0.535 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.53. Ameriprise Financial (AMP): now $0.97 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.90. AmeriServ Financial (ASRV): now $0.025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.02. ASML … Read more