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Valuentum: Now Bearish, We’ve Been Here Every Step of the Way

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Valuentum Has Been Here Every Step of the Way   From the COVID-19 top in February 2020 to the COVID-19 bottom to the massive bull run through the end of 2021, we’ve been here for you.    2022 started out to be a rough year, catching many by surprise.   But Valuentum stayed positive. When the markets headed south in June, Valuentum stood its ground. On June 14, Valuentum said that “we still believe stocks could make a “huge rebound” in the near term.   We reiterated our views a few days later and on June 19, we said that “investors shouldn’t panic during this bear market” and that “stocks remain an attractive proposition at the moment and a very attractive consideration … Read more

The Best Years Are Ahead

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By Brian Nelson, CFA — The wind is at our backs. — The Federal Reserve, Treasury, and regulatory bodies of the U.S. may have no choice but to keep U.S. markets moving higher. The likelihood of the S&P 500 reaching 2,000 ever again seems remote, and I would not be surprised to see 5,000 on the S&P 500 before we see 2,500-3,000, if the latter may be in the cards. The S&P 500 is trading at ~4,100 at the time of this writing. — The high end of our fair value range on the S&P 500 remains just shy of 4,000, but I foresee a massive shift in long-term capital out of traditional bonds into equities this decade (and markets … Read more

VBI Ratings Not as Impressive As We Would Have Liked in 2022

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Image: How the VBI rating system has ranked equities so far this year. By Brian Nelson, CFA At Valuentum, we use the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) to source ideas into diversified simulated newsletter portfolios, and the VBI may be most applicable to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we generally like to include ideas when they register a high VBI rating and remove them when they register a low VBI rating. We always use the VBI in a portfolio setting and never by itself. But what about the Valuentum Buying Index ratings, themselves? How did they “perform” during 2022 in one of the worst years for stock market investors in history? Well, not as spectacular as we would have … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 1

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Absecon Bancorp (ASCN): now $3.00 per share annual dividend, was $2.20. Aura Minerals (ORAAF): now $0.25 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.14. Bancorp. Of Southern Indiana (BCSO): now $0.92 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.65. Bank of Montreal (BMO): now CAD 1.51 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 1.47. Bellway p.l.c. (BLWYY): now $1.104 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.510. Canadian Imperial Bank (CM): … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week December 3

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Absecon Bancorp (ASCN): now $2.10 per share annual dividend, was $2.00. AES (AES): now $0.158 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.150. Amgen (AMGN): now $1.94 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.76. Axis Capital Holdings (AXS): now $0.43 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Bank of Montreal (BMO): now CAD 1.33 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 1.06. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now CAD 1.00 per … Read more

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of November 22

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 22. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          2020 Bulkers Ltd. (TTBKF): now $0.15 per share monthly dividend, was $0.01. AECOM (ACM): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Agilent Technologies (A): now $0.248 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.236. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.80 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.72. Atea ASA (ATEAY): now $0.1591 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.1401. Banca Mediolanum S.p.A. (BNCDY): now $0.7858 per share semi-annual dividend, … Read more