ALERT: We’re ‘Raising Cash’ in the Newsletter Portfolios

Image: American Union Bank, New York City. April 26, 1932. Public Domain “We firmly believe that an investment in a bank must come with the acknowledgement of the distinct possibility that another financial crisis may occur at an unknown time in the future. Why? Banks do not keep a 100% reserve against deposits. Our good friend George Bailey knew this very well when he tried to discourage Bedford Falls residents from making a “run” on the famous and beloved Building and Loan.” – Brian Nelson, CFA, September 4, 2013   SUMMARY OF CHANGES Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): 4%-6% à 0% Exxon Mobil (XOM): 4%-6% à 0% Chevron (CVX) 3%-5% à 0% Dollar General (DG): 3%-5% à 0% Korn/Ferry (KFY): 1%-2% à 0% … Read more

Manpower Group’s Massive Free Cash Flow Yield Facing Some Pressures; Shares Have Dividend Yield of ~3%

Image: Manpower Group is a tremendous generator of free cash flow, though performance can be lumpy at times. Image Source: Manpower Group By Brian Nelson, CFA Manpower Group (MAN) continues to be a fantastic free cash flow story, and we think shares have upside potential on the basis of our discounted cash-flow-derived fair value estimate of $100 per share. Manpower Group is a global workforce solutions company, and it helps to find employment for millions of job seekers every year. It works with companies in the Fortune 100 as well as small- and medium-sized companies, too. We’re highlighting Manpower Group because it stood out in our data screener as it relates to a non-energy equity with an outsized free cash … Read more

Our Reports on Stocks in the Technology Giants Industry

Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock reports, Valuentum Buying Index ratings, Dividend Cushion ratios, fair value estimates and ranges, dividend reports and more. Not a member? Subscribe today. The first 14 days are free. Dividend Yield: Estimated on a forward-looking annualized basis. VBI: The Valuentum Buying Index, a timeliness indicator that overlays a price-to-fair-value estimate consideration. Fair Value Estimate: Derived by Valuentum’s enterprise valuation process. Dividend Cushion ratio: A ratio assessing the health of the dividend (the higher, the better). Data as of the date of this article. Individual company reports may have been updated subsequent to the publishing of this article, so please download a company’s stock and dividend report for its latest information and data. Note: The … Read more

5 Top Stock Ideas for 2023!

By Brian Nelson, CFA With 2022 almost in the rear-view mirror, investors are expecting continued weakness into 2023. Millionaires are as bearish as they have been since the beginning of 2008, and we all know what happened during that year. Inflationary pressures coupled with substantially weakened consumer spending as a result of the collapse in the price of cryptocurrencies, traditional asset allocation models such as the 60/40 stock/bond portfolio, and ultra-high yielding stocks with payouts north of 9%-10% have most investors worried about what might be ahead in 2023. Still, investors have reason to be hopeful, in our view. The labor markets continue to hold up well, and the rate hikes that have pummeled equity, bond and real estate prices … Read more

Korn Ferry Beats Expectations in Second Quarter

Image: Korn Ferry’s shares still look cheap by our estimates. Image Source: Korn Ferry By Brian Nelson, CFA On December 8, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Korn Ferry (KFY) reported better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2023 results for the period ending October 31, 2022. Fee revenue in the quarter advanced 14% (20% on a constant-currency basis), while operating income came in 15% higher thanks in part to a modest improvement in its operating margin. The global consulting firm is well-positioned, in our view, to capture opportunities as companies continue to adjust their workforces amid economic uncertainty. COVID-19 was nothing less than an absolute shock to the world. People cocooned in their homes. Businesses were shut down. Employees had to find a way … Read more

Something New!

Hi everyone: To stay true to our mission, you’ll find something new regarding our methodology. In the coming weeks, you’ll see this table in our work going forward. We just wanted to let you know. We appreciate your membership very much!   ——————————————— About Our Name But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] “attractive”? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: “value” and “growth,”…We view that as fuzzy thinking…Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term “value investing” is redundant.                          — Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992 At Valuentum, we take Buffett’s thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of … Read more

Announcing Valuentum’s Customer Appreciation Day Winners!

In no particular order — the five winners… As a Chief Investment Strategist that oversees a significant amount of assets, it is vital to have unbiased research that we can lean on for decision making. Brian and the Valuentum team help provide a disciplined and fundamental approach to stock analysis without the typical Wall Street bias or conflicts of interest. The value we get on a monthly basis for having this detailed thought analysis and wise long-term thinking greatly outweighs the cost. We are very happy to have them on our short list of management we trust.  – Stephen H. (October 2022) —– I’d like you to know what my takeaways are from your research: 1) Be wary of capital … Read more

New Payment Option! Valuentum Research Update!

Hi everyone: — We’re excited to say that we’re adding additional payment flexibility at Valuentum. — Many members have expressed interest in paying via other providers, and we have added Square to the mix. You can use credit or debit card or bank (ACH) to pay via invoice. — With all of the goings-on in the financial technology and payments space, we wanted to continue to provide members options to pay their memberships how they want and through who they want. You can always reach out to us at info@valuentum.com. — You’ll notice that we’ve also tightened our focus at Valuentum during the past 12-24 months in advance of what has certainly become a more difficult 2022 than even some … Read more

Recent Fair Value Estimate Updates

Image Source: Valuentum By Brian Nelson, CFA  Our work is always forward-looking in nature, consistent with the markets, which drive pricing and valuation on the basis of future expectations. 2022 has no doubt been a difficult year for many an investor across asset classes, not just equities. Perhaps the biggest insight provided by the Valuentum analyst team for this year came in the second edition of the book Value Trap, “Renowned Investor Brian Nelson Publishes Second Edition of Best Indie Book Award Winner Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation,” but such an insight has often been reiterated on our website and through the newsletters, too. To put it bluntly: We became significantly worried about the diversification benefits of the 60/40 stock/bond … Read more

Korn Ferry’s Stock Helps Diversify Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

Image Shown: Within the realm of the global consulting industry, Korn Ferry’s revenues are well-diversified in terms of both the geographic markets and industries it caters to. We like shares of Korn Ferry as an idea in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Image Source: Korn Ferry – First Quarter of Fiscal 2023 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan On September 7, the global consulting firm Korn Ferry (KFY) reported first quarter earnings for fiscal 2023 (period ended July 31, 2022) that beat consensus top-line estimates but missed consensus bottom-line estimates. Korn Ferry has been steadily shifting towards a model of digitally delivering its services, when feasible, to its client base as a way to boost its revenue generating potential per … Read more