Household Products Stocks Round Up

Clorox (CLX) Clorox may be executing the best in its peer group. In its fiscal fourth-quarter report, released August 3, reported sales advanced 4% as the company drove an 11% increase in diluted earnings per share in the period. The pace of top-line expansion would have been even better were it not for currency-related headwinds. A benign combination of “cost savings, price increases and lower commodity costs” worked wonders on the firm’s financials. During the quarter, Clorox recorded 3% volume growth, and the company continues to gain share across its brand portfolio. Clorox disinfecting wipes continue to fly off the shelves at a double-digit pace at retailers, and the firm pushed a nice price increase on Clorox bleach in February … Read more

The Dividend Dilemma

One of the core tenets of the Valuentum process not only rests in the all-important price vs. value consideration (see Valuentum’s Brian Nelson talk about that here), but also in “letting winners run.” At first read, these two items appear to be at odds with each other. For example, we preach about getting stocks at a bargain, but yet, we don’t sell holdings when they start to move beyond our estimate of their fair value. What gives? At the Valuentum core, we prefer an entry point that corresponds to the time when shares have substantial valuation and pricing support (i.e. they have high Valuentum Buying Index ratings), and we prefer an exit point when shares have little valuation and pricing … Read more

Procter & Gamble Wraps Up a Strong Fiscal Year 2014

Procter & Gamble (PG) reported strong fiscal fourth-quarter results Friday. The April-June quarter revealed organic sales expansion of 2% thanks to strong pricing expansion and core earnings-per-share growth of 20%, to $0.95. Excluding the negative impact of foreign exchange, currency-neutral core earnings per share increased 25%. We continue to like the pricing power of Procter & Gamble’s brands, and the pace of earnings growth was fantastic during the last quarter of its fiscal year. Management continues to deliver on its top and bottom-line commitments. P&G’s brands include Tide, Ariel, Gillette, Venus, Bounty, Charmin, Pantene, Olay, Pampers, Crest, Oral-B, Duracell, and Vicks. These brands aren’t going away anytime soon, in our view. Though management indicated that it will shed some lower-margin brands, … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending May 16

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 16. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ACE Limited (ACE): now $0.65 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. Albany International (AIN): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. American Express (AXP): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Anadarko Petroleum (APC): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Arctic Cat (ACAT): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Clorox (CLX): now $0.74 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.71. Gentex … Read more

Clorox Faces Cash Flow Headwinds in Fiscal 1Q

Our general takeaway after surveying calendar third-quarter results from peers Hershey (HSY), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), and Unilever (UN) was that performance in the consumer staples space was mostly positive during the third quarter and that emerging-market performance remains robust (even though Unilever toned down expectations a bit). Clorox’s (CLX) better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, released Thursday, did not deviate from the mostly positive newsflow. Sales expanded 2% (3.5% excluding the negative impact from currency), and the company recorded pretax profit growth of 7%. Volume for the fiscal first quarter advanced 1% thanks to gains from Professional Products, Charcoal, Laundry and Burt’s Bees offset by declines in Home Care. Gross margins were flat as cost savings and price increases mitigated higher manufacturing and logistics … Read more

A Dual Focus on Valuation and Yield Is the Best Way to Combat Changes in Future Dividend Tax Rates

With a potential hike in the dividend tax rate just around the corner, there is no more important time than now for income investors to evaluate their existing portfolio holdings to determine whether they are well-positioned for a higher-tax environment. Assuming there are no changes to the current trajectory, the top dividend tax rate is expected to rise to 39.6% next year (up from 15% currently), and the highest-income earners will see a Medicare surtax on top of that. Evaluate All Aspects of a Dividend Investment First of all, we think those investing in high-yielders (firms) at any price (HYAAP) may be most affected by this change in tax rates. These high-yielders at any price (HYAAP) tend to be favorites of those at or near retirement, particularly given the paltry payouts on fixed … Read more

Clorox Posts Fiscal First-Quarter Results; Reaffirms 2012 Outlook

Clorox (CLX) reported fiscal first-quarter results Wednesday that showed declining sales in its US categories and higher commodity costs. We weren’t that impressed with the performance, but we are maintaining our fair value estimate. The firm’s revenue expanded 3% on mostly volume growth thanks to product innovation. Revenue increased in three of its four reportable segments, with International (all countries outside of the US) revealing 9% sales expansion. Clorox continues to gain traction in its Argentina business and rolled out Glad in China. Its Lifestyle segment (dressings and sauces, water filtration, global natural personal care, etc.) experienced 6% volume growth during the quarter led by double-digit volume growth in its Burt’s Bees business. Clorox also noted strength in its new … Read more

Clorox Posts Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Results, Fiscal 2012 to Disappoint

The Clorox Company (CLX) reported fiscal fourth-quarter results Wednesday that showed modest top-line expansion and poor earnings-quality growth. The firm managed to leverage a 4% increase in revenue (2% from volume) into a 20% jump in earnings per share, but the latter was primarily bolstered by a lower tax rate (down 450 basis points) and share buybacks. Pre-tax earnings from continuing operations were weighed down by higher commodity costs and higher advertising spend (the firm’s gross margin fell 80 basis points), and they only increased 5% during the period. Clorox hopes that pricing increases through fiscal 2012 will help offset even higher expected commodity prices, helping to preserve gross margins at current levels for the fiscal year. We’re skeptical that Clorox will be able to do so … Read more

5 Years Strong!

Image Source: Andy Maguire By Brian Nelson, CFA This month was an important one for our investment research firm, Valuentum, and its flagship newsletter, the Best Ideas Newsletter. The June 2016 edition means that we have now surpassed the 5-year anniversary of the inception of this newsletter’s portfolio (page 8). This is a critical time horizon that we and many others believe is a good one to assess the quality of any money manager. Money managers can be lucky or unlucky over very short periods of time, as in the case of perhaps a 12-24 month period, but those that can generate and retain outperformance over a 5-year period and longer typically are doing a lot of things right, even … Read more