What Gilead’s Patent Miscue Means for Shareholders

Source: Gilead Sciences Corporate Fact Sheet (pdf) By Brian Nelson, CFA There’s nothing quite like market instincts. They can’t be taught from reading textbooks, in the classroom, in a valuation model, or even with years and years of experience. It’s the intangibles that sometimes count the most. When we removed Gilead (GILD) from the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter, “Alerts: High-grading! GILD–>JNJ… (Jan 2016),” we just knew something wasn’t right. Sure the introduction of Merck’s (MRK) once-daily single-tablet combination therapy, Zepatier, a significantly less expensive therapy to Gilead’s prized hepatitis C franchise was one major concern at the time, but the market is often not this inefficient when valuing equities. Almost counterintuitively, it became worrisome to us that for … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 11

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending December 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbot Labs (ABT): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. Avago Technologies (AVGO): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Buckle (BKE): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Capella Education (CPLA): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Croghan Bancshares, Inc. (CHBH): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Around the Horn in Biotech/Pharma: 3Q Earnings Review

The biotech (IBB) and pharma (XLV) industries have been two of the strongest-performing segments of the market since the March 2009 panic bottom during the Financial Crisis, but the broader healthcare arena has been under siege as of late. New discoveries underscored by the development of a cure for hepatitis C with Gilead’s (GILD) Solvadi/Harvoni and a huge step forward in cystic fibrosis treatment with Vertex’s (VRTX) Orkambi have helped fuel the exuberance, but established pharma entities have also caught a bid as they successfully worked through the “patent cliff,” capturing the wave of dividend growth investors and acquiring budding new pipelines from smaller rivals along the way. The past few months haven’t been kind to biotech investors, however. What … Read more

Guide to Second Quarter Earnings; Big Pharma Experiencing Earnings Momentum

Abbott (ABT) Abbott is one of our favorites in Big Pharma. We know many of you hold the stock in your own portfolios, and frankly, the company is one of the best operators in its industry. Abbott’s second-quarter performance revealed continued strength in its global diagnostics and branded generics businesses. Foreign currency exchange headwinds have posed problems for almost every multi-national in our coverage, but on an operational basis, second-quarter worldwide sales leapt nearly 10%. Abbott kept its full-year 2015 adjusted EPS guidance range from continuing operations unchanged at $2.10-$2.20, a rarity across a pharma universe that’s experiencing fantastic earnings momentum as of late. Keys to the Quarter: We were very pleased with the traction witnessed in Abbott’s pediatric nutrition … Read more

4 Opportunistic Stocks To Consider Buying in 2015

The Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) is a philosophy that considers the valuation of a company and the likelihood that a company’s stock will converge to a cash-flow derived fair value estimate. The VBI accepts the view that value is based on the sum of a company’s future expected discounted free cash flows and the excess cash on its balance sheet, while acknowledging that market participants must eventually agree with a firm’s underpricing (and buy the stock) in order to drive the stock’s price to fair value. An underpriced stock with no buying support is not poised to generate good returns, nor is an overpriced stock with good momentum as it will eventually succumb to panic selling once euphoria fades. Stocks … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending December 12

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbott (ABT): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Avago Technologies (AVGO): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio (BLX): now $0.385 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. BioMed Realty (BMR): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY): now $0.37 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. Buckle (BKE): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Capella … Read more

Big Pharma Round Up

Though much has been made about the patent cliff—shorthand for the expiration of the patents of a large number of drugs over a short period of time—we continue to believe that pipelines across much of the pharmaceutical space are flush with new drugs and therapies. Readers may have an individual favorite or two (or three) within the space (and there’s nothing wrong with that), but we think one of the best ways for investors to play the strong pipelines across the healthcare sector—and ongoing consolidation—is through the Health Care Select SPDR ETF (XLV), a holding in the Best Ideas portfolio. The ETF boasts Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), Gilead Sciences (GILD), and AbbVie (ABBV) as its top … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Surveying Fourth Quarter Earnings at Health Care Firms

The broader equity markets have been under pressure for much of January, and while it may be tempting to consider completely exiting stock investing for a time, we’re staying the course with both of our actively-managed portfolios. We had been expecting a contraction in price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples across the broader market (see our outlook here), and the performance thus far in 2014 has not been surprising. In case you may have missed it, I sent out some very important thoughts over the weekend to keep in mind as uncertainty and volatility increase through the course of 2014: Stay focused on @Valuentum portfolio holdings (best ideas), #asset allocation (cash) in portfolios and #prudence in allocating new capital. — Brian Nelson, CFA … Read more

Three Reasons Why Dividend Growth Investors Are Quite Savvy

A version of this article appeared on our website on October 1, 2013. There are many different approaches to investing, but we think dividend growth investors are quite savvy, especially when they combine a rigorous dividend growth process in the form of the Valuentum Dividend Cushion ratio with the valuation rigors behind the Valuentum Buying Index. Let’s examine the three reasons why we think dividend growth investors are a smart group in the age of ultra-low interest rates. #1. Fool Me Once, Shame on You…Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me Today’s dividend growth crowd has seen enough. First, they witnessed the dot-com bubble (1997-2000), a period in stock market history where firms’ stock prices soared in some cases as a result … Read more