Our Reports on Stocks in the Leisure Industry

Image Source: Hasbro Structure of the Leisure Industry The leisure industry is composed of firms that span the cruise line business to those that make toys and children’s products. The cruise business has grown significantly in recent years, but still remains relatively small compared to the overall vacation industry (including land-based destinations). Competition among toy companies is intensifying due to recent trends toward shorter toy life cycles, the increasing use of technology in toys, and the proliferation of electronic consumer products and video games. All industry participants compete for consumer discretionary income. We’re neutral on the structure of the group. For our coverage of firms in the Leisure industry, please click here.

Hasbro Posts a Great Quarter, Shares Fully Valued

Image Source: Hasbro Inc – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Toymaker Hasbro Inc (HAS) posted a second quarter 2019 earnings report on July 23 that was very well received by the market. Revenue was up 9% year-over-year, or 11% when excluding foreign exchange headwinds (a product of a strong US dollar, a common theme for all companies with material overseas sales). Operating profit was up 47% year-over-year on a GAAP basis, reaching 13.0% of sales versus 9.7% of sales in the same period last year (a product of gross margin expansion, cost saving initiatives, and favorable product mix). While Hasbro’s net income was down sharply year-over-year, that’s entirely due to a major pension expense (the company settled its US pension … Read more

3M Plunges Toward Fair Value, More Earnings Reports

Several companies reported difficult earnings reports, including 3M, UPS, WWE, and Xilinx. No changes to the newsletter portfolios.    — In alphabetic order by ticker symbol: MMM, CMG, FCX, HSY, TSLA, UPS, WM, WWE, XLNX  —  3M (MMM): Our $175 fair value estimate remains unchanged following one of 3M’s worst quarterly reports in a long time. Not only did this industrial conglomerate miss both the top- and bottom-line in its first-quarter results April 25, but it also reduced its fiscal 2019 earnings guidance to the range of $9.25-$9.75 from $10.45-$10.90 previously, well below the consensus forecast. Clearly, the quarterly performance and outlook were poor, but 3M’s shares were also overpriced. The company finished the trading session down 13%. Enterprise valuation matters. The drop … Read more

Valuentum Stock Screeners

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more