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Google’s Competitive Advantages As Strong As Ever Following Third Quarter Report

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Consensus estimates aside, Google (GOOG, GOOGL) issued a very strong third quarter Thursday. The firm reported consolidated revenues of $16.52 billion in the quarter, an increase of 20% on a year-over-year basis. Non-GAAP operating income for the period was $5.36 billion, which compares to non-GAAP operating income of $4.62 billion in last year’s quarter, an increase of 16%. Non-GAAP EPS in the third quarter of $6.35 advanced 12.8% over the $5.63 mark in the prior-year period. Much like that which occurred in eBay’s (EBAY) third quarter, which it reported earlier this week, operating leverage was absent in Google’s business model during the period. Google’s bottom-line growth rate was still solid, but we would have liked to see earnings growth in excess … Read more

What Is Fat Pitch Investing?

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“I call investing the greatest business in the world … because you never have to swing. You stand at the plate, the pitcher throws you General Motors at 47! U.S. Steel at 39! and nobody calls a strike on you. There’s no penalty except opportunity lost. All day you wait for the pitch you like; then when the fielders are asleep, you step up and hit it.” —Warren Buffett, Interview in Forbes magazine (1 November 1974) “The stock market is a no-called-strike game. You don’t have to swing at everything — you can wait for your pitch. The problem when you’re a money manager is that your fans keep yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!’” –Warren Buffett, 1999 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting, … Read more

Google’s Net Cash Position Grows to $56 Billion

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Google (GOOG, GOOGL) is trading just shy of a market capitalization of $387 billion at the time of this writing, one of the largest US-traded stocks out there. For a company this big to grow revenue 22% in its second quarter, which it reported Thursday, is quite the feat. The firm’s non-GAAP operating income came in at $5.14 billion, showcasing a 32% margin, up from $4.21 billion, matching the pace of growth on the top line. Non-GAAP earnings-per-share in the second quarter of 2014 was $6.08, compared to $4.96 in the second quarter of 2013, representing year-over-year growth just slightly higher than the 22% mark. Google is simply executing fantastically, and we continue to like shares in the Best Ideas … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Earnings from 3 Internet Giants: eBay, Facebook, and Twitter

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By Brian Nelson, CFA We often receive questions about our methodology. For our new members, the Valuentum style has three distinct components: a discounted cash flow assessment (intrinsic value calculation), a relative valuation assessment, and a timeliness assessment. We’ll focus on the first pillar in this article. The Valuentum process is grounded in financial statement analysis, where our analyst team derives the ValueCreation, ValueRisk, and ValueTrend ratings of a company. Together, these ratings provide a quantitative and objective assessment of the strength of a firm’s competitive advantages, or in Warren Buffet’s terminology, the firm’s economic moat. To derive the ValueCreation rating of each company, the Valuentum team compares a company’s return on invested capital (ROIC) to its estimate of its … Read more

I’d rather lose half of my clients than lose half of my clients’ money.

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“I’d rather lose half of my clients than lose half of my clients’ money.” – Jean-Marie Eveillard (First Eagle Global) Josh Brown, who runs the blog The Reformed Broker, wrote an excellent piece today on how irrational clients and customers can bring down even the best of money managers. We think it’s a very informative read. Pasted below is an excerpt from the intro, accompanied by the list of the top 25 most overvalued stocks on the market today on the basis of our research. There is a link to continue reading the piece from Josh at the bottom of the table, too.  Something tells me there are some serious blow-ups on the horizon for professional managers. I feel this … Read more

Sign of the Times: Facebook Soars, Yahoo Sours

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On January 29, Facebook (FB) kept the fundamental momentum going in its operations. The social media giant announced impressive fourth-quarter results, revealing that revenue jumped 63% (see image below) thanks to a 76% increase in revenue from advertising. Facebook indicated that mobile advertising revenue now represents more than half of advertising revenue compared to less than 25% in the same period a year ago. Income from operations nearly doubled in the period, to $1.13 billion, as the firm’s GAAP operating margin leapt 11 percentage points, to 44%. GAAP net income advanced to $523 million, compared to $64 million in the fourth quarter of 2012. Diluted earnings per share came in at $0.20 per share in the quarter, up from $0.03 … Read more

Icahn’s In-depth Letter to Apple Must Remove the Time Horizon Associated with the Buyback Proposal in Order to Receive Valuentum’s Approval

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Carl Icahn announced Wednesday on Twitter (TWTR), his favorite news distribution mechanism, that he has “purchased $500 million more Apple (AAPL) shares in the last two weeks” and that his investment in the iPad-maker is now worth more than $3 billion. Though the total value of his holdings is still less than 1% of Apple’s $496 billion market capitalization (as of the end of trading Wednesday), the news is making quite the splash.   Having purchased $500 million more $AAPL shares in the last two weeks, our investment has crossed the $3 billion mark yesterday.— Carl Icahn (@Carl_C_Icahn) January 22, 2014 In early December, Carl Icahn released Proposal No. 10, which is a non-binding advisory resolution that the firm complete … Read more

FedEx, Ford and Facebook Topping News

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On Wednesday, FedEx (FDX) reported slightly lower-than-expected bottom-line performance in its fiscal second-quarter results. Revenue advanced 3% during the quarter, while reported operating income leapt 15% thanks to roughly 80 basis points of operating-margin improvement. Adjusted for the effects of Hurricane Sandy, however, year-over-year performance wasn’t that great. The firm’s quarterly earnings per share mark of $1.57 compares to an adjusted measure of $1.50, or a 4.7% increase, which itself was augmented by its share-repurchase program. Free cash flow was negative during the six months ended November 30, 2013, consistent with the cash use during the prior-year period. The company experienced improved yield and cost management (and materially better operating margin performance) at FedEx Express (its largest operating segment), but … Read more