Resetting Your Mental Model

Image Source: affen ajlfe A version of this article was originally published on our website October 6, 2013. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing. “What is the definition of timeliness? Many believe it is getting information to investors as quickly as possible after an event, or updating something every single day or week for immaterial information. I believe in a different definition of timeliness. I believe timeliness is using all information available in a mosaic approach to accurately predict the event before it even happens. Take Kinder Morgan as the latest example. We were the only ones predicting what was going to happen before it did. To investors, … Read more

Our Reports on Stocks in the Machinery & Tools Industry

Image Source: Compressor1 Structure of the Machinery & Tools Industry The machinery and tools industry is fragmented and highly competitive. Most constituents offer a wide range of products in a myriad of markets. Firms are heavily exposed to fluctuating raw material prices (steel, resins, chemicals) and the vicissitudes of the global economic cycle, including customer capital/maintenance budgets. Several companies are recognized worldwide for their strong brand names and reputation for quality, innovation and value, and we view such attributes as material competitive advantages. Though pricing competition is not absent, we like the structural characteristics of the group. We’ve optimized our industrials coverage. For industrial reports, please click here.

Industrials Sector Ideas — Examining the Fair Value Distribution

Let’s have a look at some recent reports from a few of our favorite businesses in the industrials sector: Danaher, Dover, Eaton, Emerson, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll-Rand, Lennox, Parker-Hannifin, and Roper. [Red X denotes the company’s share price, as of the time of this writing, on the fair value distribution chart. We view shares as undervalued if the Red X is in the green, fairly valued if the Red X is in the yellow, and overvalued if the Red X is in the red. The images found below can be found on page 6 of each company’s 16-page stock report.] By Brian Nelson, CFA Danaher’s Business System Is a Key Cultural Asset On January 29, Danaher (DHR) released fourth-quarter 2018 results that came … Read more

Valuentum Stock Screeners

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 7

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.555 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.54. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $0.97 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.93. AllianzGI Convertible & Income Fund 5.5% Cum Pfd Registered Shs Series A (NCZ.PA): now $0.34375 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.076389. AllianzGI Convertible & Income Fund 5.625% Cum Red Perp Pfd Registered Shs Series A (NCV.PA): now $0.3515625 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.