Third Quarter Earnings Season Pushes Forward

The equity markets continue to propel higher despite what we would describe to be a mixed third-quarter earnings season. Let’s walk through a number of earnings reports from popular companies reporting so far this week. Some of them we include in the newsletter portfolios. Others we don’t. But all are worth keeping tabs on. Annaly (NLY) Annaly is a mortgage REIT (mREIT) with principal business objective to generate net income for distribution to shareholders. Being critical of the mREIT business is certainly unpopular, and we understand that many retirees generate vital income streams from such investments. Bulls and bears, however, both benefit from our independent voice, and we call out risks as we see them. Annaly and American Capital Agency … Read more

Valuentum’s Performance on Seeking Alpha

Image Source: TipRanks, as of November 2016 By Valuentum Editorial Staff Seeking Alpha recently published the returns of certain ‘buy’ and ‘sell’ calls for each author. We applaud the firm’s ongoing dedication to transparency of its authors, if not by name, by track record. Valuentum Securities is an independent research firm headed by President Brian Nelson, CFA. Out of the 2,000+ articles Valuentum has published on Seeking Alpha, the Seeking Alpha study covered 567 of them, spanning from May 16, 2011, through June 25, 2014. Long ideas: 508; short ideas: 59. The articles in the study spanned all sectors and market capitalizations. The study pulled articles that were either tagged by Valuentum as ‘long’ ideas or ‘short’ ideas within the … Read more

This Just Feels Different…Mr. Brown

We think the correction is coming. Here are 7 reasons why we plan to reduce exposure to cyclicals and add some protection to the portfolios. By Brian Nelson, CFA I hope you don’t mind my using baseball analogies. Baseball and investing are perhaps the only two endeavors where if you get more than half right, you’re at the top of the list. In any case, you don’t have to be a big baseball fan to appreciate the similarities. I used an example with Ted Williams in this piece about fat pitch investing, but there’s another analogy that is worth sharing. I’ve been to the Louisville Slugger Museum and Factory Tour a few times in the past couple years. My little … Read more

Beware of Groupthink: American Capital, Annaly and now Seadrill

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.” – Mark Twain The investment research publishing business is a brutal one, and we know you know it. The very best of calls are the ones that go against the crowd and provide such a unique and fresh insight that readers have a difficult time grasping such a variant viewpoint. Once the call is published, the peanut gallery goes to work…and boy do they go to work. Biased and mostly uninformed commenters with stakes in the game do everything they can to try to discredit the author, from personal insults on the message boards to focusing on a minute part of the research … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Seadrill’s 10%+ Annual Dividend Yield Is a Long-term Fantasy

As many investors know, firms can often become cheap for good reasons. That is, they are not trading cheaply because of Mr. Market’s irrational behavior, but instead are trading at depressed levels due to deteriorating underlying fundamental characteristics that actually justify its current share price, even if traditional valuation techniques (such as P/E multiple analysis) suggest the firm’s shares are inexpensive. On a similar note, firms that boast high dividend yields may do so because the market has little confidence in the sustainability of its dividend and believes a cut may be just around the corner. Though we fall short of saying that offshore deep-water drilling company Seadrill (SDRL) will slash its dividend tomorrow, our dividend-cut predictive indicator—the Valuentum Dividend … Read more

Seadrill’s Cash Flow Weak, Financial Leverage Significant

  Seadrill (SDRL), a leading offshore drilling company, posted lackluster third-quarter results Monday, and its dividend increase did little to impress investors. Consolidated revenue in the third quarter was flat on a sequential basis, while operating profit fell to $471 million from $507 million in the second quarter of this year. The company’s top-line and operating profit performance, however, was much better on a year-over-year basis, up 17.2% and 14%, respectively. Diluted earnings per share advanced to $0.60 from $0.40 in the year-ago period, slightly lower than expectations. EBITDA came in at $663 million during the quarter, flat on a sequential basis but up 15.5% on a year-over-year basis (also modestly below forecasts). Image Source: Seadrill  Seadrill’s net cash from … Read more

Firms Raising Their Dividends in the Week Ending August 30

Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending August 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here (or use our ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header). Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week BancorpSouth (BXS): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Eastgroup Properties (EGP): now $0.54 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.53. Escalade (ESCA): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. FBL Financial (FFG): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Harris Corp (HRS): now $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. MB Financial (MBFI): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending May 31

Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending May 31. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American Eagle Outfitters (AEO): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM): now C$0.96 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.94. CryoLife (CRY): now $0.0275 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.025. Daktronics (DAKT): now $0.12 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.115. Eastern Insurance Holdings (EIHI): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Hill-Rom Holdings (HRC): now $0.1375 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.125. Lowe’s Companies (LOW): now … Read more