ETF Analysis: Energy
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RDS
Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more
Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
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Oil Majors Benefit from Higher Energy Resource Prices
Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Chevron reported improved earnings and cash flow during the first quarter of 2018, thanks largely to higher realized energy resource pricing. The group may be better positioned for further bottom-line expansion moving forward as volume growth is expected to continue over the course of the year. By Kris Rosemann Key Takeaways Crude oil markets continue to improve, and higher realized prices are benefitting major oil producers, but geopolitical uncertainty and strong growth in US production continue to cast shadows over the space. The unpredictable nature of commodity prices, and the geopolitical uncertainty that sometimes drives them, will never go away. Exxon Mobil’s earnings and free cash flow generation improved thanks to higher realized prices, and its … Read more
ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages
Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more
The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds
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Tweaking the Newsletter Portfolios for a Rising Interest-Rate Environment
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Many market observers are anticipating the Fed to accelerate the pace of interest-rate hikes in 2018. We’re making a number of changes to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as we consider what a higher interest-rate environment might look like. We’re also cognizant of the impact that higher interest rates may have on the High Yield Dividend Newsletter and its simulated portfolio, the first edition to be released January 1, 2018.
Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more
Charting Cash Flow and Net Debt — The Oil Majors
Traditional free cash flow generation has been strong for the oil majors through the first nine months of the year, but their balance sheets remain bloated with net debt. A few haven’t covered their cash dividends with free cash flow generation through the first nine months of 2017. Oil & Gas – Major: BP, COP, CVX, PTR, RDS, TOT, XOM
Will Texas Tea Hit $75 Per Barrel By Year’s End?
Image Shown: The performance of the VanEck Vectors Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) since its launch in August 2015. We’ve witnessed our fair share of fits and starts from energy resource pricing during the past few years, but could the global crude markets finally be rebalancing? Let’s talk about our thoughts on whether the outlook for energy resource pricing is improving in a sustainable way. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA It may have taken longer than we initially anticipated, but crude oil prices (USO) appear to be on the verge of making a sustained recovery, though we always caution that sentiment can change on a dime, especially in the speculation-heavy commodity price markets. If you recall, we thought the … Read more