Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
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ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages
Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more
Trump Knocks Air Out of Amazon; Intel Investors Overreact to Apple News
Only fools, or worse, are saying that our money losing Post Office makes money with Amazon. THEY LOSE A FORTUNE, and this will be changed. Also, our fully tax paying retailers are closing stores all over the country…not a level playing field! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 2, 2018 President Trump continues to move markets, and his messages about Amazon haven’t gone unnoticed. Apple seems to be targeting wider gross margins in coming years, as it looks to bring in-house a part of its supply chain. Intel’s shares overreact. By Brian Nelson, CFA President Trump seems to want to put Amazon (AMZN) in its place, and his recent comments have been a source of fear for many investors of … Read more
The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds
Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.
In the News: General Mills, Realty Income, Energy Transfer
General Mills makes a big deal, Realty Income delivers, while Energy Transfer tries to battle back to even. By Kris Rosemann US Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis came out in support of recommendations from the Commerce Department for targeted tariffs on steel and aluminum. While the Defense Department recognizes that imports of low-cost steel (SLX) and aluminum resulting from unfair trading practices undermine national security, it also warns that more broad action could irritate allies. President Trump has until April to decide whether or not to take action on the recommendations from the Commerce Department for tariffs up to 24% and 7.7% on foreign steel and aluminum, respectively. Consumer food product giant General Mills (GIS) made a splash before the … Read more
Stocks Stage Comeback, US Government Budget Released
Image shown: The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since September 2017. The market continues to lick its wounds following the sell-off. We’re watching interest rates and technicals for signs where the market may go next. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA The US 10-year Treasury yield (TLT, TBT) hit a four-year high before the open February 12, suggesting recent volatility in the equity markets is anything but going away in the near term, despite stocks bouncing back from the rough week that ended February 9. Rising interest rates may not create a financial crisis, but it could challenge the widely-held view that stock prices only increase over long-enough periods of time. After all, the past 40-year bull … Read more
The Sell Off February 5 Remains Minimal Compared to the Gains of Past Years
Image shown: The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) share price performance since mid-2009. The pullback the past few days hasn’t amounted to much, but it has caught the attention of investors. Recent equity market price declines don’t add up to much compared to the huge gains of recent years. Typical bear markets result in the evaporation of nearly 40% of investor wealth, on average. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA The recent sell-off in equities accelerated in the trading session February 5 as concerns regarding an uptick in inflation (embedded in discount rates within valuation frameworks) and potentially materially tightening monetary policy in the US are weighing on investors’ minds. When the dust finally settled at … Read more
Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more
Intel’s Stock Is Marching Ever Higher
Image Shown: Intel’s shares have been catching a bid lately. Shares of newsletter portfolio idea Intel are cheap by our estimates, and the company sports a nice dividend yield to boot. Does it have further upside potential? By Brian Nelson, CFA We finally may be redeemed on our bullish call on newsletter portfolio idea Intel (INTC). It has taken a bit longer than usual but shares of the chip giant are now nearing the $40 per-share mark, levels that we thought it had deserved a couple years ago. Here’s a little background on the story arc – an except I wrote in October 2016: It was nearing the end of 2015, and I don’t think I was more bullish on … Read more
Cisco’s Shares Still Look Cheap
Image Source: Cisco Cisco is trading well below the market multiple, while sporting a large net cash position and a solid cash dividend backed by copious amounts of free cash flow. By Brian Nelson, CFA Cisco’s (CSCO) name has become synonymous with networking, but over the years, the company has broadened its appeal as the preeminent go-to entity for delivering a vast portfolio of incremental IT-based products and services. It’s hard not to like its enviable position at the intersection of data, the cloud, video proliferation, enhanced mobility, the growing need for security, and the increased importance of collaboration and analytics. Rightly so, Cisco believes that “data is the most strategic asset,” and it is working tirelessly to connect “everything … Read more