PG

Procter & Gamble Points to Challenging Consumer and Geopolitical Environment

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Image Source: TradingView By Brian Nelson, CFA On January 22, Procter & Gamble (PG) reported results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 that were mixed. The company missed estimates on the top line but beat expectations on the bottom line. Net sales increased 1%, but organic sales were unchanged versus the prior year. Core earnings per share came in at $1.88, in-line versus the prior year. Operating cash flow was $5.0 billion, while net earnings were $4.3 billion for the quarter. Adjusted free cash flow productivity, as measured by operating cash flow less capital spending as a percentage of net earnings, was 88%. P&G returned $4.8 billion to shareholders, split between $2.5 billion in dividend payments and $2.3 billion … Read more

Thinking Slow: 3 Research Blind Spots That Changed the Investment World

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Dear members: — Daniel Kahneman in his text Thinking, Fast and Slow (1) divided the human psyche into two systems. The first system is instinctive and emotional, often set on autopilot, while the second system is slower and more logical, requiring a calculating conscious. Many of the maxims the investment world takes for granted today suffer from conclusions that are made rapidly, almost without thinking, driven by our first system, creating what I call research blind spots. — In World War II, Allied bombing raids were suffering from very high casualty rates. It was estimated that for those pilots that were flying at the beginning of the war, only about 10% survived, a terrible loss rate. Bombing was crucial to the Allied … Read more

3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now

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Dear readers:   With the markets retracing most of their recent drawdown, we’re taking a victory lap as we didn’t panic, nor should have you. We highlighted our wait-and-see approach amidst the worst of the pullback, and we expect the Magnificent 7 (large cap growth and big cap tech) to continue to propel the markets higher, as they have done.   We’ve been busy rolling valuation models as we finetune our assumptions for a great number of companies under coverage. While doing so, we came across three undervalued stocks that are also included in the simulated newsletter portfolios. We think they’re prime for highlight.   The three stocks are UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOG). We spend a lot of time on discounted cash-flow valuation, … Read more

Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far

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By Brian Nelson, CFA   Shortly after Trump’s Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500 (SPY), for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends.   A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          ADF Group (DRX:CA): now CAD 0.02 per share semi-annual dividend, was CAD 0.01. Aerovate Therapeutics (AVTE): now $2.40 per share special dividend. Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.256 per share monthly dividend, was $0.253. Alcon (ALC): now CHF 0.28 per share dividend. Aon (AON): now $0.745 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.675. Bank of America Corporation 4.750% DP PFD SS (BAC.PR.S): now $0.2970 per share … Read more

Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We’re Doing

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By Brian Nelson, CFA The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in … Read more

Procter & Gamble on Track to Deliver on Fiscal Year Guidance

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Image Source: Procter & Gamble By Brian Nelson, CFA Procter & Gamble (PG) reported better than expected second quarter results for fiscal 2025 on January 22, with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in ahead of the consensus forecasts. Net sales increased 2% in the quarter, while organic sales, which excludes M&A and foreign exchange impacts, advanced 3%. Organic sales growth was led by its “Baby, Feminine, and Family Care” unit, where organic sales increased 4%. Organic sales growth in its “Beauty” and “Grooming” segments was 2%, while organic sales in its “Health Care” and “Fabric & Home Care” divisions increased 3%. Core earnings per share were $1.88, an increase of 2% compared to the year-ago period. Management had … Read more

Procter & Gamble Maintains Outlook for Fiscal 2025

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Image: P&G maintained its outlook for fiscal 2025, as shares flirt with all-time highs. By Brian Nelson, CFA On October 18, Procter & Gamble (PG) reported mixed first-quarter fiscal 2025 results with revenue coming in lower than the consensus forecast, while non-GAAP earnings per share edged out what the Street was looking for. Fiscal first quarter revenue fell 1% versus the prior year’s quarter, while organic sales advanced 2%, lapping 7% growth in the prior year period. A one percent increase from higher pricing and a one percent increase in organic volume drove the organic sales increase. Organic sales were strong in its Grooming (+3%), Health Care (+4%), and Fabric & Home Care (+3%) segments, while Beauty (-2%) weighed on … Read more

An Important Measure of Leverage for Dividend-Growth and Income-Oriented Shareholders, One That Is Dividend-Adjusted

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As more and more investors rely on company dividends for income, dividends, in our view, have become more debt-like commitments in nature, especially from the perspective of dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders. Years ago, we rolled out a measure of financial leverage that considers both the company’s debt and the present value of its future expected cash dividend obligations, which, in the eyes of die-hard dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders, may be implicitly assumed to be debt-like commitments in substance. We think this leverage ratio can be used in conjunction with the Dividend Cushion ratio to gain additional insight into the dividend-paying financial health of an entity. Note: There is often great confusion with respect to published measures of financial leverage, and … Read more

Procter & Gamble’s Organic Growth Fails to Impress

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Procter & Gamble (PG) recently reported fiscal fourth quarter results that showed a miss on the top line, but non-GAAP earnings per share coming in better than expectations. The company reported flat sales performance during the June quarter as modest volume and higher pricing were offset by two percentage points of unfavorable foreign exchange impacts. Organic sales growth was 2% in the quarter. Core net earnings per share also increased 2%, to $1.40. Currency-neutral core EPS increased 6% versus the prior-year quarter. Management had a lot to say in the press release: Fiscal year 2024 was another year of strong results for P&G. The team met or exceeded our going-in plans for organic sales growth, core … Read more