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Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

5 Minutes with Valuentum’s Brian Nelson

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Valuentum: Brian, thanks for joining us today. Nelson: It’s my pleasure. Valuentum: So the markets continue to make all-time highs. What are you telling investors? Nelson: That depends. If you’re going to be in the market for more than 10 years, then you don’t have much to worry about. For long-term investors that are decades away from retirement and have absolutely no liquidity or income needs from their investments, one particular event resonates in my mind as to why they should have a full risk allocation to stocks. That event is the stock-market recovery from the Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 — which is the worst financial event of our generation. In just 5 or so years after the credit crunch, … Read more

The Risks of Dividend Growth Investing

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Did you know that if you invested in retail-focused REIT Realty Income’s (O) stock in October 1994 with an original investment of $8,000, your current annual dividend income would be $2,190, equivalent to a yield on cost north of 27%?!?! For any dividend growth investment, yield on cost is the current annualized dividends divided by the original investment, or $2,190/$8,000 in this example. The benefits of dividend growth investing have never been more evident, and a prudent, well-defined dividend growth plan targeting the ‘right’ companies over the next 20 years could result in your portfolio generating a 27% yield on cost in a couple decades, too! Though this sounds fantastic (and perhaps, unreal), investors must be aware of the significant … Read more

Realty Income: Portfolio Risks Are Exaggerated

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Realty Income (O), the ‘Monthly Dividend Company’ is our top choice for income exposure to the real estate investment trust (REIT) industry. Though the REIT may not have the allure of healthcare REITs such as Health Care REIT (HCN) or Omega Healthcare (OHI), which are benefiting from aging-demographic tailwinds, or Digital Realty Trust (DLR), which is tied to data-center proliferation and boasts Facebook (FB) as a top-10 customer, we think many investors are growing more and more cautious on Realty Income’s retail exposure, and it is partly because of this reason that we think an opportunity in shares exists. Said differently, investors aren’t giving Realty Income a fair shake, and we think its retail portfolio risks are exaggerated. First, however, … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 14

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending March 14. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Capstead (CMO): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Colgate-Palmolive (CL): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Douglas Dynamics (PLOW): now $0.2175 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2125. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS): now $0.325 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. General Mills (GIS): now $0.41 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Gramercy (GPT): reinstates common stock dividend of $0.035 per share quarterly dividend. Hurco Companies (HURC): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. JMP Group (JMP): now $0.045 per share … Read more

Realty Income Still One of Our Favorite Dividend-Focused REITs

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On February 13, the real estate investment trust (REIT) that has a 45-year track record of providing dependable monthly income from real estate reported solid operating results for the fourth quarter of 2013. The ‘Monthly Dividend Company’ has paid an impressive 522 dividends and registered an enviable 74 total dividend increases since 1994. Though we note that the past is only as important as it informs the future, we think the future remains bright for Realty Income. Image Source: Realty Income  The Dividend Growth portfolio holding’s revenue and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) were both impacted by acquisitive activity (its purchase of American Realty Capital Trust in January 2013), advancing significantly from the same period a year ago. We were … Read more

The Best Ideas for 2014 and Beyond: Part II

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A portion of this article is excerpted from the January 2014 edition of the Dividend Growth Newsletter. Valuentum has two actively-managed portfolios: a Best Ideas portfolio and a Dividend Growth portfolio. Each portfolio has different goals and strategies. The Best Ideas portfolio seeks to find firms that have good value and good momentum characteristics and typically holds them from a Valuentum Buying Index rating of a 9 or 10 to a rating of a 1 or 2. The goal of the portfolio is to generate a positive return each year and to exceed the performance of a broad market benchmark. The Dividend Growth portfolio seeks to find underpriced dividend growth gems that generate phenomenal levels of cash flow and have … Read more

Three Reasons Why Dividend Growth Investors Are Quite Savvy

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A version of this article appeared on our website on October 1, 2013. There are many different approaches to investing, but we think dividend growth investors are quite savvy, especially when they combine a rigorous dividend growth process in the form of the Valuentum Dividend Cushion ratio with the valuation rigors behind the Valuentum Buying Index. Let’s examine the three reasons why we think dividend growth investors are a smart group in the age of ultra-low interest rates. #1. Fool Me Once, Shame on You…Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me Today’s dividend growth crowd has seen enough. First, they witnessed the dot-com bubble (1997-2000), a period in stock market history where firms’ stock prices soared in some cases as a result … Read more

Tweeting on Thursday

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Thursday was jam-packed with news. Let’s jump to an abbreviated ‘Valuentum Take’ on each major news item in the spirit of Twitter’s (TWTR) 140 character limit. We don’t intend to do this too frequently, but we wanted to get our take out there in a timely fashion. We’re available for any questions. Tweeting on Thursday AK Steel $AKS issues strong outlook, but #steel industry far from attractive, among the worst in our coverage. Tibco $TIBX issues poor outlook, while Red Hat $RHT exceeds expectations, puts up strong billings growth; both firms fairly valued. Linn Energy $LINE back on track as SEC endorsement improves sentiment; we prefer $KMP and $ETP in DG portfolio. Darden $DRI to part with Red Lobster; core … Read more