Selecting Winners

It’s hard to go wrong with exposure to the credit-card processing arena. Investors have made a lot of money in Visa (V), MasterCard (MA), Discover Financial (DFS), American Express (AXP) and Capital One (COF) during the past several years, but they’ve made the most with Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Visa. Since Visa was added in November 30, 2011, the company has more than tripled, a return that is more than 50 percentage points better than MasterCard’s, more than 70 percentage points better than Discover’s, more than 120 percentage points better than Capital One’s, and about 150 percentage points better than American Express’. All have done well, but Visa has done the best. Long-time readers of Valuentum know that we’ve … Read more

eBay – PayPal Split

Under previous but subsiding pressure from Carl Icahn and other shareholders, eBay (EBAY) announced last September that it would separate its payments business PayPal in July of this year. Now that July is here, we wanted to remind members of the split and explain what it means for the holdings in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. On July 17, eBay shareholders will receive one share of PayPal under the ticker PYPL for each share of eBay owned. We will be launching coverage of PayPal shortly after it becomes an independent, publicly-traded company. The separation of eBay and PayPal will make eBay leaner and more efficient while greatly increasing the potential for expansion of PayPal within the booming mobile payments market. … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending December 5

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 5. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. Alexandria REIT (ARE): now $0.74 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.72. Associated Estates Realty (AEC): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. Cameco (CCJ): now C$0.10 per share quarterly … Read more

A Sneak Peek at Valuentum’s Slides for the AAII Presentation in Chicago This Saturday!

Let’s take a sneak peek at President Brian Nelson’s slides for this weekend’s presentation in Chicago! Firms mentioned: MSFT, GOOG, AIR, BRCM, CSCO, SPY, AAPL, QCOM, MA, DPZ, SVU, RNDY, DDE, STRA, EXC, CLF, PBI, CTL, JCP and others. <select image to download the slide deck>

Best Ideas Portfolio Holding Visa Doesn’t Disappoint

It’s hard to find anything wrong with Visa’s (V) business model. The company offers a secure, payment network that is accepted virtually everywhere in the United States. The firm makes money every time a Visa user swipes his or her debit or credit card. The company does not take on credit risk – or the risk that users will pay outstanding balances on the credit cards. This attribute makes its business model much more attractive (less risky) than that of a Discover (DFS), for example. Visa benefits from two fantastic competitive advantages: a network effect and costly initial investment. The network effect is incredibly strong. As of its last update, the firm has more than 2 billion cards outstanding accepted … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Earnings from 8 Interesting Ideas

By Brian Nelson, CFA “’I believe you have to be willing to be misunderstood if you’re going to innovate.’ You can’t outperform the market if you are the market. Similarly, you must adopt a non-consensus view and be right about that view to beat competitors.” CEO of Amazon Jeff Bezos with ‘Source: 25iq’ commentary Many members have expressed to me that they just can’t believe investors select stocks in a different way than the Valuentum style (absent dividend growth investors, which have carved out a unique niche in their own right). Some of our new members think the Valuentum process is the principal and dominant framework for investing – or how the majority of investors look at things. This view … Read more

E-commerce Remains in Secular Expansion

Thursday brought a plethora of news from the e-commerce space. First, Bloomberg reported that Amazon (AMZN) is raising prices on Prime from $79 per year to $99 per year. The company was quick to note that the Prime Fresh membership fee will remain unchanged at $299, as it continues to test pricing thresholds in the marketplace. We don’t expect much customer defection as a result of the price hike—and especially nothing like that which happened to Netflix (NFLX), which lost hundreds of thousands of customers when it raised prices in 2011. Amazon’s price increase at Prime was necessary, in our view, as it faces rising content (movies) and shipping costs. With more than 20 million US Prime members, the pricing … Read more

Visa Boasts One of the Best Business Models on the Market Today

Global payments technology company Visa (V) showed us why we continue to like the company when it reported fiscal first-quarter results Thursday. The firm is not a bank and does not issue cards or extend credit or set rates/fees for account holders of Visa-branded cards, but it does operate one of the most advanced processing networks, and we can think of few other business models that generate a stronger competitive advantage. Visa takes on no credit risk–unlike American Express (AXP) and Discover Financial (DFS)–but remains an integral part of the secular trend toward a cashless society and online consumption, where most transactions are not made with cash. Visa is the largest retail electronic payments network in the world based on … Read more