LUV

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

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The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

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To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 18

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 18. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AAON (AAON): now $0.16 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.13. Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.54 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.52. Chubb (CB): now $0.73 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.71. Hydro One (HRNNF): now CAD 0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.22. Independence Holding (IHC): now $0.15 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.10. Janus Henderson (JHG): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. … Read more

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

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Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

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Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

Buffett’s Berkshire, Corporate Buybacks on Pace for Record; Lithium, Steel Prices on the Move

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Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway, Shareholder Letter (2017). “Fifteen common stock investments at year end that had the largest market value.” “The less the prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own.” – Warren Buffett, Shareholder Letter (2017) By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A, BRK.B) fourth-quarter results didn’t disappoint, and commentary from the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, was at its finest in the company’s Shareholder Letter. The letter was chock full of insights, from an emphasis on normalized earnings power, to buying stocks at a “sensible purchase price,” to warning about the dangers of “purchasing frenzy” with respect to M&A, … Read more

Airlines to Start a Price War?

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Some have said the airline industry has changed. We’ve always been cautious on the structural characteristics of the airline business, and United Continental has reminded us why. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA The US Treasury is scheduled to announce its plans to finance the government’s shortfall over the next three months January 31, and many are forecasting a significant rise in the sale of government paper. 2018 could mark the first year the government will increase Treasury bond sales, and some estimates have the issuance at more than $1 trillion, the highest level since 2010. The current 10-year Treasury yield is ~2.65%, and a significant influx of supply into the Treasury bond market could drive prices meaningfully lower, … Read more

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

The Bull Case for Airline Stocks?

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Image Source: BriYYZ Warren Buffett has famously said that airline stocks are horrible long-term investments, but his vast portfolio now owns a number of airlines. What’s the bull case for owning these capital-intensive, cyclical and often boom-and-bust stocks? By Brian Nelson, CFA Last year, the Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett shocked the investment world when his company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) disclosed that it held stakes in American Airlines (AAL), United Continental (UAL), Delta (DAL) and Southwest (LUV). For a die-hard, economic-moat investor, thinking about taking a stake in an airline seems crazy. After all, Buffett himself used to joke that he had an 1-800 number that he could call anytime he had the urge to buy an airline stock … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 19

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending May 19. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week BGC Partners (BGCP): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.16. Citi Trends (CTRN): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Chubb (CB): now $0.71 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.69. Exchange Bank (EXSR): now $0.85 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.80. Farmers & Merchants Bancorp (FMCB): now $6.75 per share semi-annual dividend, was $6.55. First Midwest (FMBI): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more