GE

ICYMI — Video: Exclusive 2020 — Furthering the Financial Discipline

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ICYMI — Video: Exclusive 2020 — Furthering the Financial Discipline — — In this 40+ minute video jam-packed with must-watch content, Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson talks about the Theory of Universal Valuation and how his work is furthering the financial discipline. Learn the pitfalls of factor investing and modern portfolio theory and how the efficient markets hypothesis holds little substance in the wake of COVID-19. He’ll talk about which companies Valuentum likes and why, and which areas he’s avoiding. This and more in Valuentum’s 2020 Exclusive conference call.   Note: This video was originally published August 2, 2020.    To watch the video >>   The Theory of Universal Valuation —– Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock reports, … Read more

German Industrial Conglomerate Siemens Remains an Attractive Income Generation Idea

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Image Shown: Siemens AG sees the global industrial economy staging a recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, which in turn supports the firm’s outlook. The company raised its full-year guidance when Siemens published its latest earnings report. Image Source: Siemens AG – Second Quarter of Fiscal 2021 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan The German-based industrial conglomerate Siemens AG (SIEGY) has four core industrial business operating segments that are as follows: Digital Industries (‘DI’), Smart Infrastructure (‘SI’), Mobility (‘MO’), and Siemens Healthineers. Its operations are supported by Siemens Financial Services (‘SFS’) which provides support for its industrial businesses and services to third-parties. Siemens has put up strong underlying operational and financial performance of late and remains an interesting income generation idea. … Read more

Honeywell Reaffirms Outlook, Dividend Looks Great

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Image Source: Honeywell – J.P. Morgan Industrials Conference Presentation By Brian Nelson, CFA On Monday, March 15, Honeywell International (HON) reminded us why it is one of our favorite industrial ideas. The firm presented at J.P. Morgan’s Industrial Conference, and we liked what management had to say. Honeywell was a recent addition to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and here’s our thoughts on the industrials giant November 27 and the view we still hold today: With GE’s (GE) fall from grace years ago, Honeywell has taken the reigns as one of Valuentum’s top industrial ideas. Though Honeywell’s valuation is not attractive as we’d like it to be at the moment, we recently raised our fair value significantly to north of … Read more

General Electric Provides Upbeat Outlook for 2021

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Image Shown: An overview of GE’s cash flow forecasts on a divisional basis for 2021. Image Source: General Electric – Fourth Quarter of 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) has weighed negatively on the industrial sector for most of 2020, before the space started to recover during the latter part of the year. On January 26, industrial conglomerate General Electric Company (GE) reported fourth quarter earnings for 2020 that beat consensus top-line estimates but missed consensus bottom-line estimates. The company’s business operating segments are broken down into its various GE Industrial divisions (‘Power,’ ‘Renewable Energy,’ ‘Aviation’ and ‘Healthcare’) and GE Capital. What really impressed us was that GE Industrial’s free cash flow came in at … Read more

ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios

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January 27, 2021 ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios We are raising the cash position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%. — By Brian Nelson, CFA — Our research has been absolutely fantastic for a long time, but 2020 may have been our best year yet. You can read the 2020 recap here. With the S&P 500 trading within our fair value estimate range of 3,530-3,920 (and the markets rolling over while showing signs of abnormal behavior), we’re raising the cash position in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%. — For more conservative investors, the high end of this range may even be larger, especially … Read more

Boeing’s Financials Are Absolutely Frightening

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By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 18, 2020, Boeing (BA) announced that the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) withdrew its order that had grounded its 737-8s and 737-9s (737 MAX) that had been involved in two terrible accidents during the past few years, a Lion Air flight that killed 189 people and an Ethiopian Airlines jet crash that claimed the lives of 157 more. We’ll never forget these tragedies and the impact on the families and the aviation industry, more generally.   In January 2017, we had added Boeing to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, but we had removed it March 16, 2018, prior to the unfortunate and high-profile accidents that occurred several months after. During the short time it … Read more

We Expect to Raise Our Fair Value Estimate of Honeywell

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Image: Honeywell’s Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Release Slide Deck By Brian Nelson, CFA With GE’s (GE) fall from grace years ago, Honeywell (HON) has taken the reigns as one of Valuentum’s top industrial ideas. That said, we don’t include Honeywell in any newsletter portfolio given weakening fundamentals and an increased net debt position, but it remains top of mind should our existing holdings start to register ratings on the Valuentum Buying Index that may start to point to some profit taking. Honeywell yields just north of 2%. We continue to expect our newsletter holdings to perform relatively better against a strengthening economic backdrop, and that means for us, Honeywell will remain on the bench. During Honeywell’s third quarter, results released … Read more

ICYMI — Dividend Growth Strategies Struggle

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Image: A large cap growth ETF (orange) has significantly outperformed an ETF tied to a dividend growth strategy, the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY), which mirrors the total return performance of the S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index. — By Brian Nelson, CFA — To no surprise to many members, several dividend growth strategies have faced tremendous pressure during 2020. The Journal recently wrote a piece on the topic, but from our perspective, the problem with many dividend growth strategies is that they tend to be balance-sheet agnostic and pay little attention to traditional free cash flow expectations, focusing only on the yield itself, sometimes dismissing future fundamentals in favor of historical growth trends and the inferior EPS-based dividend payout ratio. — In many dividend-targeted … Read more

Lockheed Martin Beats Expectations and Raises Guidance Yet Again

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Image Shown: Lockheed Martin continued to grow its revenues and segment operating profit in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. Image Source: Lockheed Martin Corporation – Third Quarter of Fiscal 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan On October 20, Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) reported third quarter earnings for fiscal 2020 (period ended September 27, 2020) that beat consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Lockheed Martin’s GAAP sales rose by 9% year-over-year, hitting $16.5 billion, in part due to the company increasing its F-35 aircraft deliveries to 31 in the fiscal third quarter from 28 in the same quarter last fiscal year. Additionally, all four of Lockheed Martin’s core business segments (‘Aeronautics,’ ‘Missiles and Fire Control,’ ‘Rotary and Mission Systems’ and … Read more