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Dick’s Sporting Goods Raises Guidance as It Closes its Deal for Foot Locker

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Image Source: TradingView By Brian Nelson, CFA Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) recently reported second quarter results that came in better than expected. Net sales increased 5% on a year-over-year basis, with comparable sales coming in at a similar clip. Non-GAAP income before income taxes as a percentage of sales fell 93 basis points, however. Non-GAAP net income fell 2%, while non-GAAP earnings per diluted share was roughly flat on a year-over-year basis. Total debt was $1.5 billion at the end of the quarter, while cash and cash equivalents were $1.2 billion. Management had the following to say about the results: We are very pleased with our strong Q2 results. Our performance shows how well our long-term strategies are working, the … Read more

Dick’s Sporting Goods to Acquire Foot Locker

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Image: Dick’s Sporting Goods’ shares sold off on its announcement that it would acquire Foot Locker. By Brian Nelson, CFA On May 15, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) announced that it would acquire Foot Locker (FL) in a transaction that implies an equity value of $2.4 billion and enterprise value of $2.5 billion. Foot Locker shareholders can elect to receive either $24.00 in cash or 0.1168 shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods common stock for each share of Foot Locker stock they own. Dick’s intends to finance the acquisition through a combination of cash on hand and new debt and is expected to close in the second half of 2025. Dick’s intends to operate Foot Locker as a standalone business unit within … Read more

Foot Locker Talks of a More Promotional Environment, Softening Consumer Spending

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Image Source: Foot Locker By Brian Nelson, CFA Foot Locker (FL) reported lower-than-expected third quarter results on December 4, with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in below the consensus forecasts. The company also lowered its 2024 sales and non-GAAP earnings per share outlook. Total revenue fell 1.4% year-over-year (down 2.2% on a constant currency basis) in the quarter, with comparable store sales up 2.4%. Foot Locker and Kids Food Locker experienced comparable store sales growth of 2.8%, while Champs Sports and WSS experienced comparable store sales growth of 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively. Foot Locker experienced gross margin expansion of 230 basis points year-over-year in the quarter, but the company’s non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.33 was lower than expectations. … Read more

Foot Locker Burns Through Cash During First Half of Full Year 2024

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Image: Foot Locker’s shares have been quite volatile the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA Foot Locker (FL) recently reported second quarter results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in ahead of consensus estimates. The company returned to top-line growth in the quarter with total sales advancing 1.9% and comparable sales up 2.6% thanks to global Foot Locker and Kids Foot Locker comp growth of 5.2%. Though its gross margin expanded 50 basis points in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, Foot Locker still put up a non-GAAP net loss of $0.05. Inventory declined 10% from the same period a year ago, however. Management had a lot to say about the quarter in the press release: The … Read more

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too

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Please select the image below to download, “Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too:” Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. To download the full report, please click here (pdf). ———- Actual results … Read more

Nike’s Revenue Under Pressure

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Image: Nike’s shares have languished of late, and a comeback will take some time. By Brian Nelson, CFA On June 27, Nike (NKE) reported disappointing fourth quarter fiscal 2024 results and issued an outlook for fiscal 2025 that came up short relative to expectations. Revenue in the quarter fell 2%, missing the consensus estimate, but was flat on a currency-neutral basis. Revenue for its Nike brand advanced 1% on a currency-neutral basis, while Nike direct revenue fell 7% on a currency-neutral basis. Wholesale revenue was up 8% on a currency-neutral basis, while revenues for Converse dropped 17% on a currency-neutral basis. Nike’s guidance for 2025 wasn’t very encouraging. Here’s what the executive team said on the conference call: Now let … Read more

In the News: CRM, FL, DG, BBY

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Image Source: Mike Mozart By Brian Nelson, CFA Salesforce Issues Weaker-Than-Expected Outlook On May 29, Salesforce (CRM) reported mixed first quarter results with revenue missing the consensus estimate, and it issued lackluster guidance that sent shares tumbling following the report. In the quarter, revenue advanced 11% in constant currency and its first-quarter non-GAAP operating margin came in at 32.1%. Its current remaining performance obligation was $26.4 billion, up 10% in constant currency. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were up nicely in the quarter, to the tune of 39% year-over-year and 43% year-over-year, respectively. However, the rosy cash-flow performance was overshadowed by the company’s second quarter sales outlook that came in lower than the consensus forecast. Even though Salesforce … Read more

Nike’s Revenue to Face Pressure During First Half of Fiscal 2025

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Image: Nike’s shares have faced considerable pressure from the beginning of 2022, and its outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025 wasn’t great. By Brian Nelson, CFA On March 21, Nike (NKE) reported better-than-expected third quarter fiscal 2024 results. Revenue during the quarter advanced modestly on a reported and currency-neutral basis as revenue from its Nike brand rose 2%, while sales for Converse fell 19% on a reported basis. Nike showcased its pricing strength in the period, with the company’s gross margin advancing 150 basis points, to 44.8%, despite higher input expenses and restructuring charges. Net income fell 5% in the fiscal third quarter, while diluted earnings per share dropped 3% in the period. Nike ended the quarter ending … Read more

Dick’s Sporting Goods Soars, Raises Dividend 10%

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Image: Dick’s Sporting Goods’ shares have soared since the doldrums of the COVID-19 meltdown. By Brian Nelson, CFA On March 14, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) reported better-than-expected top and bottom-line performance for the fourth quarter and issued a solid outlook for fiscal 2024. Shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods have done fantastic since the worst of the COVID-19 meltdown years ago, and the momentum behind its business remains strong, as evidenced by a nice 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. We expect to raise our fair value estimate of Dick’s Sporting Goods upon our next valuation model update, and the company remains a key idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Management’s commentary in the quarterly … Read more

Dick’s Sporting Goods Still Looks Really Cheap

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Image Source: Dick’s Sporting Goods By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 21, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) reported solid third-quarter results with sales up 2.8% on a year-over-year basis thanks to comparable store sales growth of 1.7% that lapped an impressive 6.5% increase in the same period a year ago. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $2.85 in the quarter, up from $2.60 in last year’s period. The company also raised its 2023 comparable store sales growth guidance range to 0.5%-2% from flat to 2% previously, and it raised its 2023 non-GAAP earnings per share outlook to $12.00-$12.60 from its previous range of $11.50-$12.30. We liked the news and continue to believe that shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods are mispriced. … Read more