Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Apollo’s 1Q 2014 Results Show Continued Enrollment Declines, Weakening Cash Flow

Industry proxy for the ‘Education (For-Profit)’ group, Apollo (APOL) reported weak fiscal first-quarter 2014 results Wednesday. Net revenue declined to $856 million to $1.1 billion in the first fiscal quarter of last year. University of Phoenix Degreed Enrollment fell nearly 18% from the same period a year ago, while New Degreed Enrollment tumbled nearly 23%.   Image Source: Apollo Operating income dropped significantly ($169 million, was $231 million), and income from continuing operations, excluding special items, came in at $1.04 per share compared to $1.22 per share in last year’s quarter. The for-profit education provider’s cash balance shrunk to $917 million from $1.52 billion as it paid down debt. Net cash from operations fell to $129 million in the three … Read more

For-Profit Education Stocks Keep Falling: We’re Still Not Touching the Industry

Key Takeaways: ·        Active enrollment levels continue to fall across the industry. ·        Some universities are at risk of losing accreditation. ·        The outlook for government-funded education isn’t great. ·        Evidence is mounting that a for-profit education may not be worth the cost. ·        Grand Canyon (LOPE) and Capella (CPLA) are proving to be worth the cost, explaining a great deal of outperformance. DeVry (DV) has some nice businesses, but its core remains challenged. ·        We do not like any firm in the industry. Please refer to our Best Ideas Newsletter for our favorite investment opportunities. List of industry constituents: American Public (APEI), Apollo Group (APOL), Bridgepoint Education (BPI), Career Education (CECO), ChinaEdu Corp (CEDU), Corinthians Colleges (COCO), Capella Education … Read more