There’s More Rough Sledding Ahead; Removing Half of Microsoft from DG Portfolio

Reverberations of the collapse in commodity prices have influenced much more than the commodity producers themselves. The slide has impacted business in a variety of sectors, almost across the board, as suppliers and customers seemed to pause to assess the damage and opportunities. The strengthening dollar is also having an unprecedented impact on the growth of global entities. If the disappointments yesterday (see here) didn’t signal an inflection point in the markets, then today surely has. It was just yesterday that we reiterated our view that Peabody Energy’s (BTU) dividend was at risk, and almost on cue, the firm announced today that it would slash its payout more than 97%, to $0.085 per share on a quarterly basis. The Dividend … Read more

Rio Tinto Remains One of Our Favorite Ideas for Commodities Exposure

Firms in commodities-driven industries are notoriously difficult to value–not only is there execution risk related to their cost structures but the price they receive for the respective commodities that they produce is cyclical—and driven by external factors beyond their individual control. For example, BHP Billiton (BHP) can’t necessarily raise its prices on standard-grade iron-ore at a high-single-digit pace unless the market colludes (others follow along with its price hike). This is unlike a company such as Hershey (HSY) that can hike prices almost at will to offset rising cocoa costs. That’s why commodities firms can only carve out competitive advantages by being the low-cost provider (their prices are set by the marketplace). Though it is more difficult for a commodities-producing … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 25

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending July 25. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alliance Bancorp (ALLB): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Altera (ALTR): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. BancorpSouth (BXS): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. BankFinancial (BFIN): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.223. BBCN Bancorp (BBCN): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. BorgWarner (BWA): … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Thank you…

By Brian Nelson, CFA Earlier this week, I received an email from a colleague and valued member of our services. I wanted to share it here for others to read. I haven’t included his name, but if he wants me to, I can add it in. It is filled with wisdom, experience and kindness. And it really made my year to read his words. The Valuentum community, I believe, is the best community of investors out there. Sir, if you do happen to read your own email on our site, we very much have appreciated your feedback, and we hope to continue to live up to your praises. We are dedicated, and our team has been rejuvenated by your words. … Read more

Surveying the Outlooks of a Few Industrial Companies

We wanted to highlight the performance of a few industrial firms, which as the backbone of the global economy, are often used as a barometer for the trajectory of future business activity. Industrial gas company Air Products (APD), chemical bellwether DuPont (DD), diversified industrial giant Danaher (DHR), and industrial equipment maker Illinois Tool Works (ITW) all reported earnings recently. Let’s take a look at their respective outlooks for 2014. Air Products (APD) Expects Momentum to Pick Up in Second Half Looking ahead, (chairman, president and CEO) McGlade said, “We still see greater momentum in the second half of the year. Full year performance remains on track and we expect to drive earnings growth by continuing to focus on our priorities — improved asset utilization, … Read more

Three Reasons Why Dividend Growth Investors Are Quite Savvy

A version of this article appeared on our website on October 1, 2013. There are many different approaches to investing, but we think dividend growth investors are quite savvy, especially when they combine a rigorous dividend growth process in the form of the Valuentum Dividend Cushion ratio with the valuation rigors behind the Valuentum Buying Index. Let’s examine the three reasons why we think dividend growth investors are a smart group in the age of ultra-low interest rates. #1. Fool Me Once, Shame on You…Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me Today’s dividend growth crowd has seen enough. First, they witnessed the dot-com bubble (1997-2000), a period in stock market history where firms’ stock prices soared in some cases as a result … Read more

Evaluating Third-Quarter Performance of a Few Bellwethers

DuPont’s 3Q Free Cash Flow Leaves Much to Be Desired DuPont (DD) reported third-quarter results Tuesday that showed revenue advancing 5% (thanks primarily to higher volume growth) and operating earnings of $0.45 per share, a modest bump from the same period a year ago. The standout on the top line was ‘Agriculture’ sales, which jumped 15% thanks to higher insecticide volumes and higher seed prices in Latin America. Excluding its ‘Performance Chemicals’ division, which suffered from price declines for titanium dioxide, refrigerants, and fluropolymers, all operating segments posted increased operating earnings versus last year. DuPont noted that it expects fourth-quarter operating earnings to be up substantially from that of the year-ago period, but it still reiterated its full-year operating earnings … Read more

PPG Posts Record Third Quarter Results; Our Favorite Idea in the Chemicals Industry

Our favorite fundamental chemical idea PPG Industries (PPG) reported record third-quarter results Thursday. Net sales jumped 17% versus the prior year (about 4% organic expansion), and the firm posted record adjusted earnings per diluted share from continuing operations of $2.44, up an impressive 30%+ from the year-ago period (shown right). We liked the operating leverage inherent in performance as well as the firm’s ability to hit the ground running with impactful transactions. The company noted that aerospace and automotive OEM coatings, both up about 10%, were the key drivers behind PPG’s top-line expansion, though other business lines did contribute as well, including the company’s architectural coatings operations. Volume trends improved in all regions of the world, and the firm’s cost-reduction … Read more

DuPont’s Second Quarter Results Secondary to Performance Chemicals Announcement

Chemical and agricultural conglomerate DuPont (click ticker for report: ) announced uneventful second quarter results Tuesday morning which were overshadowed by the firm announcing it will explore “strategic alternatives” for its performance chemicals business. The firm believes spinning of its highly-cyclical titanium dioxide business will allow it to focus on higher-growth segments and reduce performance volatility. We’ll address this issue later. During the second quarter, DuPont’s revenue declined 1% year-over-year to $9.8 billion—slightly below consensus estimates. Earnings per share declined 15% year-over-year to $1.28 per share, a touch better than consensus expectations. Image Source: DD 2Q 2013 Investor Presentation The bigger story is that the firm is exploring strategic alternatives for its ‘Performance Chemicals’ business. DuPont believes spinning off its … Read more