Big Pharma 1Q Earnings Roundup, Part I

Image Source: Rodrigo Companies mentioned: AZN, ABT, BIIB, LLY, GSK, VRTX, ZTS AstraZeneca (AZN) Treading Water in 2016 AstraZeneca reported total revenue growth of 1% in the first quarter of 2016 on a year-over-year basis, but this growth rate climbs to 5% when not including the impact of foreign exchange headwinds. Core operating results, which excludes the impact of amortization, impairments, restructuring and other non-operating costs, did not hold up well compared to the first quarter of 2015. Core operating profit and core earnings per share fell 8% and 7%, respectively, on a constant currency basis from the year-ago period. Core R&D spending grew 15% in the quarter as a result of acquisitions and continued focus on the firm’s pipeline, which … Read more

The Corporate Buyback Conundrum

The above is a trailing 15-month chart of the broad market index, the S&P 500 (SPY). As you can see, the markets have gone nowhere fast. The fallout in the energy complex coupled with emerging market uncertainty and political unrest in the US is making for quite the choppy market environment. Interestingly, however, since the middle of last year, the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio has quietly been distancing itself from this broad market benchmark, as strong performance from constituents coupled with a larger cash position in a generally weaker market have paid off. Where indexers focus on controlling costs instead of focusing on generating strong returns with relatively low turnover (and commission and tax implications), the strategy powering the Best … Read more

The 20 Something’s Stock Portfolio

A version of this article appeared on our website March 31, 2015. <Our best ideas at any time are included in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.> The “20 Something’s Stock Portfolio” is the first in a series of articles where we get to the core of what many brand new investors want to do when they are first introduced to the stock market: find exciting companies that they are familiar with that will help compound their wealth over time. Other portfolios that we will share in this series include “The Ultra High Income Portfolio,” “The Economic Castle Portfolio,” “The Dividend Cushion Portfolio,” and “The Intelligent ETF Investor’s Portfolio,” among others. The series of portfolios will … Read more

Around the Horn in Biotech/Pharma: 3Q Earnings Review

The biotech (IBB) and pharma (XLV) industries have been two of the strongest-performing segments of the market since the March 2009 panic bottom during the Financial Crisis, but the broader healthcare arena has been under siege as of late. New discoveries underscored by the development of a cure for hepatitis C with Gilead’s (GILD) Solvadi/Harvoni and a huge step forward in cystic fibrosis treatment with Vertex’s (VRTX) Orkambi have helped fuel the exuberance, but established pharma entities have also caught a bid as they successfully worked through the “patent cliff,” capturing the wave of dividend growth investors and acquiring budding new pipelines from smaller rivals along the way. The past few months haven’t been kind to biotech investors, however. What … Read more

Attention to Pricing Issues Pressures Valeant

As recently as early August, Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) was flying high, continuing its history of aggressively pursuing acquisitions and profiting greatly from newly-acquired drugs. However, exactly what had allowed the firm to grow at a substantial pace has caused a precipitous fall in its share price and may cause significant pressure to the biotech industry (IBB) as a whole in the relatively-near future, or so some are positing. Valeant has a reputation for growing through acquisitions and aggressively cutting costs during the integration of newly-acquired companies. Through the acquisitions of other biotech and pharmaceutical companies, Valeant becomes the owners of various drugs, of which it then has control over pricing. This is where the company, in the eyes of some … Read more

Hooray! Biogen’s Breakthrough Alzheimer’s Drug?

We’re disappointed that we missed highlighting Biogen (BIIB) to our membership many moons ago. Biogen’s stock has more than quadrupled since we launched coverage of the company in late 2011, and frankly, its stock has done nothing but rocket higher. To be fair, Biogen is a top-10 holding in the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV), a position in the Best Ideas portfolio, so we do have some exposure to the blossoming biotech, but we could have done a better job pounding the table. The once- 9-rated on the Valuentum Buying Index, Health Care Select Sector SPDR has approximately doubled since it was added to the Best Ideas portfolio, but we know that may not be good enough. The news … Read more

Big Pharma Round Up

Though much has been made about the patent cliff—shorthand for the expiration of the patents of a large number of drugs over a short period of time—we continue to believe that pipelines across much of the pharmaceutical space are flush with new drugs and therapies. Readers may have an individual favorite or two (or three) within the space (and there’s nothing wrong with that), but we think one of the best ways for investors to play the strong pipelines across the healthcare sector—and ongoing consolidation—is through the Health Care Select SPDR ETF (XLV), a holding in the Best Ideas portfolio. The ETF boasts Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), Gilead Sciences (GILD), and AbbVie (ABBV) as its top … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Surveying Fourth Quarter Earnings at Health Care Firms

The broader equity markets have been under pressure for much of January, and while it may be tempting to consider completely exiting stock investing for a time, we’re staying the course with both of our actively-managed portfolios. We had been expecting a contraction in price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples across the broader market (see our outlook here), and the performance thus far in 2014 has not been surprising. In case you may have missed it, I sent out some very important thoughts over the weekend to keep in mind as uncertainty and volatility increase through the course of 2014: Stay focused on @Valuentum portfolio holdings (best ideas), #asset allocation (cash) in portfolios and #prudence in allocating new capital. — Brian Nelson, CFA … Read more

Surveying 3Q Performance from Big Pharma: Bristol-Myers, Eli Lilly, and AbbVie

Bristol-Myers On Wednesday, Bristol-Myers (BMY) showcased the strength of its key marketed products in its third-quarter report. The firm experienced a 9% increase in net sales and a 12% jump in non-GAAP diluted earnings per share. Bristol-Myers also confirmed its 2013 non-GAAP earnings per share range of $1.70 to $1.78 per share. Looking at its current marketed portfolio, Abilify, its largest revenue generator, faced a 16% decline, though this was offset by strength in Yervoy, which grew 33%, Orencia, which grew 22%, and Sprycel, which grew 20%. Yervoy doesn’t lose exclusivity in key markets until after 2020 (2023 in the US), Orencia loses exclusivity in Japan, the EU, and the US between years 2017 and 2019, and Sprycel doesn’t lose … Read more