R

Is a Stock Market Crash Coming? — Coronavirus Update and P/E Ratios

by

Image Source: World Health Organization, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Situation Report — 32 We don’t think this is the environment to put new capital to work, and we remain highly cautious of what COVID-19 means for global economic growth not just in the first quarter of 2020 but for the rest of this year (maybe longer). Right now, the US markets are not really factoring in anything related to COVID-19, and perhaps may be adjusting to China’s stimulus in artificially propping up the markets as if the outbreak is somehow a “positive thing.” With the S&P 500 trading at 19.0 forward earnings estimates–estimates that are likely too high given the evidence we are seeing with respect to a slowdown due … Read more

Resetting Your Mental Model

by

Image Source: affen ajlfe A version of this article was originally published on our website October 6, 2013. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing. “What is the definition of timeliness? Many believe it is getting information to investors as quickly as possible after an event, or updating something every single day or week for immaterial information. I believe in a different definition of timeliness. I believe timeliness is using all information available in a mosaic approach to accurately predict the event before it even happens. Take Kinder Morgan as the latest example. We were the only ones predicting what was going to happen before it did. To investors, … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 12

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Antero Midstream (AM): now $0.3075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3025. Bank of America Corporation Deposit Shs Perp Pfd Shs Series E (BAC.PE): now $0.2556 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2472. BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT): now $0.5510 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3449. Clough Global Allocation Fund (GLV): now $0.1032 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1023. Cummins (CMI): now $1.311 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

We Just Increased Our Fair Value Estimate for United Rentals

by

Image Shown: We increased our fair value estimate for United Rentals in early July 2019.  By Callum Turcan We recently increased our fair value estimate for United Rentals Inc (URI), the largest equipment rental company in the world. The company has been a key beneficiary from the secular shift away from customer ownership to the rental of construction and industrial equipment. United Rentals has a heavy presence in America and Canada, along with a limited footprint in Europe. Management is guiding for United Rentals to generate $1.3–$1.5 billion in free cash flow in 2019 before taking special items into account (particularly expenses incurred integrating recent acquisitions into company-wide operations). That should enable United Rentals to pursue both its deleveraging goals … Read more

Our Reports on Rental and Leasing Stocks

by

Structure of the Rental and Leasing Industry The highly fragmented and competitive US rental/leasing industry include entities that rent construction/industrial equipment, firms that lease household durable goods products, and companies that offer car/truck rental services. Equipment rental firms are tied to the cyclical construction/industrial markets, car rental revenue is levered to on-airport (air travel) demand, while lessors of household durables are tied to housing and consumer confidence trends. Some firms may gain advantages via large/diverse rental fleets and significant purchasing power, but we don’t like the structure of the group. We now cover stocks in the Rental and Leasing industry in the articles we write: CAR, PSA, R, UHAL, URI.

Valuentum Stock Screeners

by

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

by

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Economic Data Recap in 3 Minutes

by

Image Source: CreditDebitPro via Flickr There’s a lot happening to impact the markets these days. Let’s cover some key economic data, stocks that may see a fundamental boost from Hurricane Florence, and we’ll reiterate our view that trade tantrums between the US and China will likely not amount to much of a negative impact on global economic activity, despite huge headline numbers. By Kris Rosemann Famed investor Peter Lynch has been attributed with the quote, “If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you’ve wasted 10 minutes,” so let’s take a quick look at some recent economic data releases and what they might mean for the markets moving forward. Most market observers continue to expect the … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

by

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 13

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Avangrid (AGR): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.432. Bassett Furniture (BSET): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT): now $1.4076 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.2748. Clough Global Allocation Fund (GLV): now $0.1138 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1135. Clough Global Equity Fund (GLQ): now $0.1278 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1234. Clough Global Opportunities Fund (GLO): … Read more