NFLX

AT&T Right-Sizing Dividend, WarnerMedia Joining Forces with Discovery

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Image Shown: AT&T Inc’s WarnerMedia unit is joining forces with Discovery Inc. This transaction, if it goes through as planned, will create another giant in the video streaming services industry. Image Source: Discovery Inc – Discovery Joining Forces with WarnerMedia IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Despite the upcoming rightsizing of its dividend payout in light of a pending spin-off, the telecommunications and media giant AT&T Inc (T) continues to be one of our favorite income generation ideas. We’re not making any changes to the newsletter portfolios at this time, and the recent news indicates AT&T’s balance sheet is about to improve significantly. Major Transaction On May 17, AT&T announced a major transaction with Discovery Inc (DISCA) that involves AT&T using a … Read more

Best Idea Disney’s Outlook Is Bright and Getting Brighter

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Image Source: The Walt Disney Company – December 2020 Investor Day Presentation By Callum Turcan On May 13, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported second quarter fiscal 2021 earnings (period ended April 3, 2021) that beat consensus bottom-line estimates but missed consensus top-line estimates. Investors were dismayed that the company’s paid video streaming subscriber base did not grow by as much as expected. However, we are not worried as Disney’s outlook is bright and getting brighter. Though the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic has weighed negatively on its business, ongoing vaccine distribution efforts are slowly enabling Disney to open its numerous theme park and resort operations back up (historically, these assets were Disney’s cash-flow cows). For instance, Disneyland and Disneyland California Adventure … Read more

ViacomCBS Makes Big Bet on Streaming

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Image Source: ViacomCBS Inc – Fourth Quarter of 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan After Viacom and CBS were reunited in December 2019, the new entity ViacomCBS Inc (VIAC) has finally started to gain some traction on the video streaming front. The service CBS All Access, which has since been rebranded as Paramount+, was largely a dud and did not gain the level of attention that Walt Disney Company’s (DIS) Disney+ service (more on Disney’s video streaming successes here and here), AT&T Inc’s (T) HBO Max service (AT&T’s video streaming growth strategy is picking up steam as we covered here), or Netflix Inc’s (NFLX) namesake service (more on Netflix here) were able to generate. For background, ViacomCBS’s operations include … Read more

AT&T’s Video Streaming Growth Story Is Starting to Take Flight

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Image Source: AT&T Inc – 2021 Investor & Analyst Day Presentation By Callum Turcan On March 12, AT&T Inc (T) hosted its 2021 Analyst & Investor Day event. In conjunction with the event, AT&T issued long-term financial and operational guidance which included a substantial upward revision in its expected HBO/HBO Max subscriber growth over the coming years. We continue to be big fans of AT&T as a high yielding opportunity and include AT&T as an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio (more here). As of this writing, shares of AT&T yield ~7.0%. Background Information In June 2018, AT&T completed its acquisition of Time Warner which gave AT&T the keys to Home Box Office (‘HBO’). A pillar of AT&T’s … Read more

ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios

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January 27, 2021 ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios We are raising the cash position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%. — By Brian Nelson, CFA — Our research has been absolutely fantastic for a long time, but 2020 may have been our best year yet. You can read the 2020 recap here. With the S&P 500 trading within our fair value estimate range of 3,530-3,920 (and the markets rolling over while showing signs of abnormal behavior), we’re raising the cash position in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%. — For more conservative investors, the high end of this range may even be larger, especially … Read more

We Expect Netflix to Turn Into a Free Cash Flow Generating Machine

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Image Shown: Netflix Inc’s global paid subscriber base is expected to keep growing at a decent clip going forward, though at a slower pace than in the recent past. Image Source: Netflix Inc – Shareholder Letter covering its fourth quarter and full-year earnings in 2020 By Callum Turcan The proliferation of video streaming services during the past decade accelerated in 2020 due to the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic forcing households to stay indoors, which in turn drove up demand for economical forms of at-home entertainment. During the early days of the video streaming services industry, subscriber growth was driven largely by the “cord cutting” trend in which households traded out more expensive cable/satellite TV packages (sometimes referred to as “premium” TV … Read more

Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Holding Disney Surges to All-Time Highs

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Image Shown: The reach of the Disney+ video streaming service continues to grow as The Walt Disney Company keeps expanding the service into new markets. Image Source: The Walt Disney Company – December 2020 Investor Day Presentation By Callum Turcan We continue to be big fans of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) and include shares of DIS in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Back when Disney’s stock price plummeted this past March, we stuck with our capital appreciation thesis and did not panic. Since then, shares of DIS have staged an impressive comeback and are currently trading near all-time highs. Shares of Disney are up ~22% year-to-date as of this writing, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) which is up … Read more

AT&T’s Outlook Is Getting Brighter

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Image Shown: An overview of AT&T Inc’s capital allocation priorities over the coming years and a snapshot of its financial position at the end of September 2020. Image Source: AT&T Inc – Third Quarter of 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan The rollout of 5G wireless packages in the US combined with expected growth at its video streaming business has significantly improved AT&T Inc’s (T) outlook during the past few months. We include shares of AT&T in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio (click here to learn more about the High Yield Dividend Newsletter), and as of this writing, shares of T yield ~6.6%. Headwinds caused by the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic weighed negatively on AT&T’s financial and operational … Read more

Shares of Disney are Now Surging Towards the Top End of Our Fair Value Estimate Range

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Image Shown: Shares of The Walt Disney Company are steadily climbing towards the top end of our fair value estimate range, which sits at $153 per share of DIS. By Callum Turcan After the market closed on November 12, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported its fourth quarter and full-year earnings for fiscal 2020 (period ended October 3, 2020). Its latest results beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Though Disney’s financials took a big hit from the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic, as expected (with an eye towards the enormous headwinds facing its ‘Parks, Experiences and Products’ business segment), the company’s outlook has improved considerably as its various video streaming services continue to outperform. We include shares of Disney in our … Read more

Disney Is One Of Our Favorite Streaming Companies

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Image Shown: Shares of The Walt Disney Company continue to recover from the pandemic-induced crash in March 2020. By Callum Turcan One of our favorite companies with significant exposure to the video streaming arena is the entertainment behemoth The Walt Disney Company (DIS). The company’s various streaming services include ESPN+, Disney+, Hulu, among others. On October 12, Disney announced a major restructuring which effectively reorganized several of its business operating segments around supporting its video streaming ambitions, with an eye towards ensuring sizable investments in original content would be put towards good use. Overview of Disney’s Historical Video Streaming Performance To set the stage, let us first cover Disney’s historical performance to highlight why we view the company’s growth outlook … Read more