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Our Reports on Stocks in the Software Security Industry

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Image Source: Martin McKeay Structure of the Software (security) Industry Participants in the software security industry focus on protecting important information wherever it resides—whether in servers, computers, mobile devices, or in the cloud. The space is intensely competitive, and some companies may offer their technology for free, engage in aggressive marketing, or pursue competitive partnerships. Firms also face indirect competition from application/operating system providers that may embed security solutions/functions in their own products. Participants must continuously develop new and enhanced services to meet changing customer demands. We’re neutral on the group. We’ve optimized our technology coverage universe. Software security firms can now be found here.

As Expected, Broadcom’s Organic Revenues Didn’t Grow in Fiscal 2019

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Image Source: Broadcom Inc – November 2019 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan On December 12, Broadcom Inc (AVGO) reported fourth quarter earnings for its fiscal 2019 (period ended November 3, 2019). While GAAP revenues for the full fiscal year were up 8% year-over-year, hitting $22.6 billion, please note that includes the uplift from Broadcom acquiring CA Technologies. Shares of AVGO initially traded down 2%-3% on December 13, as investors digested the firm’s guidance for fiscal 2020. As of this writing, shares of AVGO yield 3.4%. Overview of Recent Events Management expects the company’s revenues in fiscal 2020 will come in at ~$25.0 billion (give or take $0.5 billion in either direction) while Broadcom’s adjusted EBITDA is forecasted at ~$13.75 billion … Read more

Intel’s Resilient Free Cash Flows and Improving Outlook

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Image Shown: Shares of Intel Corporation have resumed their upward climb after stumbling during the middle of 2019. We continue to like the name in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. By Callum Turcan Intel Corp (INTC) is another one of our favorite companies and is included in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. After coming under fire during the middle of 2019, INTC is back on a nice upward trajectory. The top end of our fair value range estimate sits at $61 per share of INTC, indicating there’s plenty of room for Intel to run higher. Shares of INTC yield 2.2% as of this writing, and we view the company’s dividend … Read more

Intel Still One of Our Favorite Ideas

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Image Source: Intel Corporation – August 2019 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan A holding in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios, shares of Intel Corporation (INTC) have been on a strong upward tear since August. We continue to like the company as it appears shares of Intel are converging towards the top end of our fair value estimate range ($61 per share), with INTC trading at roughly $58.50 per share as of this writing. Looking ahead, Intel’s solid 2.1x Dividend Cushion ratio provides support for a quality dividend growth story (we rate Intel’s Divided Growth trajectory as EXCELLENT), and shares of Intel yield ~2.2% as of this writing. Image Shown: Shares of Intel appear to be … Read more

Portfolio Holdings Intel and Visa Hit It Out of the Park

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Image Shown: Shares of Intel Corporation leapt higher on Friday October 25 as the market digested its solid earnings report and guidance for this quarter. By Callum Turcan Intel One of our favorite Dividend Growth Newsletter and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolios holdings, Intel Corporation (INTC), posted third quarter fiscal 2019 earnings (period ended September 28) on October 24 that handily beat consensus top and bottom line estimates. Revenue in the third quarter on a GAAP basis came in at $19.2 billion, flat year-over-year, which management noted was $1.2 billion higher than guidance issued out in July. This outperformance was driven by Intel’s ‘data-centric’ offerings, with sales up 6% year-over-year, as Intel Xeon processors for data centers sold well. Additionally, Intel … Read more

Semiconductors Broadcom and Cree Push Forward in an Uncertain Environment

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Image Source: Broadcom Inc – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Broadcom (AVGO) posted third quarter earnings for its fiscal 2019 on September 12. The semiconductor and enterprise software giant reported GAAP revenues of $5.5 billion (up 9% year-over-year) and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $5.16 (up 4% year-over-year). The initial reaction from Wall Street was pessimistic on September 13 but shares of AVGO climbed later in the trading session to recover some of those initial losses. Reiterating FY2019 Outlook, FY2020 Outlook Uncertain Right off the bat, one thing we think is very important is that Broadcom reaffirmed revenue guidance for FY2019 calling for $22.5 billion in net sales ($17.5 billion from semiconductor solutions and $5.0 billion from infrastructure software sales). However, … Read more

Valuentum Stock Screeners

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This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

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During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Facebook Reportedly Seeking Major Cybersecurity Acquisition

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Image Source: Book Catalog After criticism surrounding its user safety and security practices, social media giant Facebook is reportedly actively pursuing a cybersecurity company to acquire.  By Kris Rosemann Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Facebook (FB) has struggled of late with public perception of the both the security and policing of its user base, and management appears seriously concerned with assuaging public pressure as it ramps up spending on such initiatives, which will continue to eat into operating margins and weighed on free cash flow generation. Mid-October reports of users’ personal data being exposed via a security flaw may have been a tipping point for the company, which came months after the widely-publicized Cambridge Analytica scandal, but public and political … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

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The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more