Resetting Your Mental Model

Image Source: affen ajlfe A version of this article was originally published on our website October 6, 2013. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing. “What is the definition of timeliness? Many believe it is getting information to investors as quickly as possible after an event, or updating something every single day or week for immaterial information. I believe in a different definition of timeliness. I believe timeliness is using all information available in a mosaic approach to accurately predict the event before it even happens. Take Kinder Morgan as the latest example. We were the only ones predicting what was going to happen before it did. To investors, … Read more

Improving Our Coverage

Valuentum continues to scour the stock market for new ideas. We’ll be following the set of companies in this list via commentary on our website and a data sheet updated periodically. By Valuentum Analysts The list of companies in the download below were previously covered by our team via 16-page report and dividend report fashion. Going forward, we are now covering these companies with commentary on the website and via a data sheet updated periodically. This will be a much better use of members’ time, especially as members scour our Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, stock methodology, dividend methodology, and the hundreds of stock valuation reports and dividend reports on our website, available through the Symbol search box.  We … Read more

Nvidia Scraps Full-Year Guidance, Market Balks

Image Source: Nvidia Corporation – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) designs chips for data centers, PCs and laptops with a heavy focus on gaming performance, next-generation automobiles (such as autonomous vehicles), and other purposes. The company is built around two segments, GPUs (graphics processing units for visual, AI, and cloud computing uses) and Tegra Processors (integrates GPUs and CPUs, central processing units, into one chip for mobile devices, gaming systems, entertainment systems, autonomous vehicles, and other uses). Management breaks down the markets Nvidia is targeting into four categories; Gaming, Visual Performance, Datacenter, and Automotive. Due to its low payout ratio, Nvidia yields just 0.4% as of this writing, but we think the company could become a meaningful … Read more

New 10s! — Stock Report Updates — Triage During Market Volatility

We have updated our 16-page equity and dividend reports for a number of high-profile companies in our coverage universe and have provided a table summarizing the new fair value estimates, Dividend Cushion ratios, and other key metrics following the updates for your convenience. By Valuentum Analysts We’ve been actively updating select reports through the course of this market swoon, and we have provided the table above for your convenience.  Guess what — Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) are now registering 10s on the Valuentum Buying Index again! These two companies are also the highest weighted equities in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. There’s a lot of “hair” on both names, given political and regulatory risks, and both may experience … Read more

Valuentum Stock Screeners

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

In the News: Generic Drug Price Fixing and Apple’s Legal Battle in China

An investigation into pricing practices in the generic drug industry has substantially expanded, and implications may be far more widespread than initially expected. Meanwhile, Apple is fighting a preliminary order that will ban the sale of its iPhones that utilize certain software. By Kris Rosemann Price fixing of generic drugs broke into the news as an antitrust lawsuit over just two drugs in late 2016, but the investigation now reportedly involves at least 16 companies and 300 drugs. The generic drug industry is one that has been lauded as a potential savior of rampant healthcare costs in the US, but Joseph Nielsen, an assistant attorney general and antitrust investigator in Connecticut, used evidence such as the volume of drugs and … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).