Apple Turns in Solid Quarter; Will Stop Reporting Unit Sales Figures

Image Source: John Jones  Apple’s fiscal fourth quarter report was one of ongoing momentum in many areas, but the investing community has taken great issue with its decision to stop reporting quarterly updates on unit sales of iPhones, iPads, and Macs. By Kris Rosemann Simulated newsletter portfolio holding Apple’s (AAPL) fiscal fourth quarter report, released November 1, has been a subject of even greater attention than usual for the largest company by market cap after it announced it would no longer disclose quarterly unit sales data for the iPhone, iPad, and Mac. We can’t say that we are fans of transparency levels declining, but we will not be joining the masses in blasting Apple for the move. Nevertheless, investors are … Read more

Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Not Bad Thus Far in 2018

Part of what we take pride in at Valuentum is telling things how they are. If things are going great, we let you know. If things aren’t going as good as they could be, we don’t hold back. In the year of crypto and cannabis, 2018 hasn’t been the best year for the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, but it hasn’t been bad either.  By Brian Nelson, CFA We wrote up an extensive piece on the background of the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio earlier this year, and we encourage everyone to have a read of that here (pdf). We made some changes to the goals of the newsletter portfolio prior to the beginning of this year. For starters, we … Read more

In the News: Gold, Auto Sales, General Electric

We don’t think gold makes much sense outside perhaps a very diversified portfolio. Auto sales weren’t all that great in September, and some are calling for a bottom in General Electric. By Brian Nelson, CFA The price of gold (GLD) will continue to be volatile as many own it as both a global inflation hedge and an asset implying safety from global economic crisis. We think gold may make sense sometimes, but perhaps only as a very low weighting in a very diversified portfolio, if at all. The case that gold has any intrinsic value is rather weak, too, “Gold Is But a Shiny Yellow Metal,” particularly because its industrial and consumer uses are rather limited. Gold holds value largely … Read more

Big Movers for the Week Ending September 28

Those topping the big-movers board for the week ended September 28 include Gilead, Apple, Altria, Hasbro, Novartis, and more. By Christopher Araos This is a new weekly series launched to help readers stay up to date with big movers within the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Best Ideas Newsletter Winners Biotech powerhouse Gilead Sciences (GILD) advanced 2.3% during the week ending September 28 as the company announced a launch of generic versions for Epclusa and its blockbuster Harvoni. Another key mover of 2.2% on the week was Apple (AAPL), which persuaded a federal appeals court to throw out $234 million in damages for infringement of University of Wisconsin’s computer processing technology. Altria Group (MO) … Read more

On Diversification

Diversification is one of the most important components of equity investing. By Brian Nelson, CFA I wanted to touch base briefly today to see how everyone is doing, and how we can continue to make our website better. We’ve been getting a lot of great feedback on the ability to download our data in Excel and create your customized screens. Instead of having to click on a number of the web pages on the website to access the screens, all you have to do is download the Excel file, and use the standard sorting functionality in it. Let us know if you think we need to host a walk through of how to use the Excel screener. We think it … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Apple Soars! $200+ Per Share!

We continue to like Apple. It has been a bright spot in an otherwise challenging calendar second-quarter earnings season. By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s hard to get excited about Apple’s (AAPL) fantastic performance given the bloodbath at Facebook (FB) and Twitter (TWTR) of late, but the iPhone maker’s shares have been on an absolute tear! For those just getting familiar with the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Apple is among the highest-weighted ideas, and it has been so for some time (Apple is among the highest-weighted stocks in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, too). The company simply has investors excited, and we still think shares are undervalued on the basis of our enterprise discounted cash flow model. We value … Read more

What Are the Qualities of Highly-Rated Stocks on the Valuentum Buying Index?

If you were a CEO, what are the 7 most important metrics to focus on to get a rating of 10 on the Valuentum Buying Index? This is a great question because it hits at the absolute heart of the most important concept of investing. Investing may be about buying a great company with a solid and growing dividend, but it most certainly is about buying a great company at a discount to intrinsic value. The difference between what someone can pay for something and what something is worth is the most important concept of investing: price versus value. The price-versus-value component is an integral part of the Valuentum Buying Index. In fact, it is the first component. After all, … Read more

Trade Worries Back on the Table

Image Source: Michael Vadon We think investors shouldn’t overreact, but we didn’t have two world wars in the last century because leaders of superpowers “got along” nicely. By Brian Nelson, CFA News that President Trump is asking to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods on which to levy a 10% tariff has the markets a bit jittery. China’s Ministry of Commerce responded that if the US moves forward with the tariffs, it would take “comprehensive quantitative and qualitative measures and retaliate forcefully.” We expect news regarding trade tensions between the US (SPY, DIA) and China (FXI, MCHI) to only intensify in the coming weeks, as the White House seeks to pursue what is likely game theory to achieve better … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).