Improving Our Coverage

Valuentum continues to scour the stock market for new ideas. We’ll be following the set of companies in this list via commentary on our website and a data sheet updated periodically. By Valuentum Analysts The list of companies in the download below were previously covered by our team via 16-page report and dividend report fashion. Going forward, we are now covering these companies with commentary on the website and via a data sheet updated periodically. This will be a much better use of members’ time, especially as members scour our Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, stock methodology, dividend methodology, and the hundreds of stock valuation reports and dividend reports on our website, available through the Symbol search box.  We … Read more

Our Reports on Stocks in the Healthcare Products Distributors Industry

Images Source: Express Scripts Structure of the Healthcare Products/Distributors Industry The healthcare distributors industry is made up of wholesale medical equipment products distributors, serving the dental, medical and animal health markets, and wholesale drug providers, which distribute pharmaceuticals, medical products/services, and other healthcare technologies. Both sub-spaces are highly competitive and continue to experience growth as a result of the aging population, increased healthcare awareness, and the proliferation of medical technology and testing. Participants face pricing pressure from both customers and suppliers as a result of competition. We’re neutral on the group. We have dropped coverage of the Healthcare Products/Distributors Industry.

News Roundup: Tesla’s Musk, Department Stores, Summit Midstream, Cracker Barrel, Home Depot, GE and More

No changes to simulated newsletter portfolios By Brian Nelson, CFA There’s never a dull moment in the Tesla (TSLA) story. Just when we thought things were getting back to “normal,” Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk has been hit with a contempt charge for a tweet that allegedly violated his prior deal with the SEC. We don’t think the tweet was a big deal, by itself, and it may have included content from a prior conference call, but given Musk’s prior behavior, including being outspoken about not having any respect for the SEC, he doesn’t have much wiggle room with the authorities. From our perspective, Musk is in now in some serious hot water. We’ve always viewed Tesla as “uninvestable,” not necessarily … Read more

Recent Dividend News Across our Coverage Universe

Let’s take a look at some of the most recent dividend-related news among companies within our coverage universe. By Kris Rosemann Valuentum members are familiar with our forward-looking, cash-flow based dividend analysis, which culminates in the Dividend Cushion ratio, and the measure has built an impressive track record of highlighting risks in dividend health across a large number of equities. We would be remiss if we did not once again highlight the efficacy of the Dividend Cushion ratio as the metric caught both of Owens & Minor’s (OMI) recent dividend cuts. The company’s Dividend Cushion ratio was firmly in negative territory prior to the announcement of both reductions in the payout. Investors seeking more background reading on the Dividend Cushion … Read more

Brace for More Volatility

Image shown: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since August of last year. The markets have broken through key support levels, and now support has become resistance. Volatility remains heightened since the low-vol ETN blew up in February. This article is the introduction to both the Dividend Growth Newsletter and High Yield Dividend Newsletter, both of which will be released today due to the holiday January 1. By Brian Nelson, CFA Markets are facing big pressure on the trading session January 3. There’s more to the story than rising interest rates. There’s more to the story than the US-China trade war. There’s more to the story than concerns about the political environment. Price-agnostic (indexing and quant) trading, as I outline in … Read more

Valuentum Stock Screeners

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Cardinal Health Battling Bottom-Line Headwinds

Image Source: Global Panorama Healthcare product distributor and Dividend Aristocrat Cardinal Health has had its share price performance in 2018 dampened by a number of factors, including generic drug price deflation weighing on its ‘Pharmaceutical’ segment, struggles in its ‘Medical’ segment, and the potential for disruption within its industry. By Kris Rosemann The drug distribution industry is attractive as a result of the group’s predictable revenue streams and the strong competitive positions of a number of participants, which result from the barriers to entry that are difficult-to-replicate distribution networks, myriad regulatory compliance issues, and industry relationships. The industry currently operates as an oligopoly with McKesson (MCK), Cardinal Health (CAH), and AmerisourceBergen (ABC) collectively controlling more than 90% of the market. … Read more

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Owens & Minor: Dividend At Risk, But Shares Not Expensive

We’re fans of consistent dividend payers with strong free-cash-flow coverage and solid balance sheets, but we remain very skeptical of companies with a dividend that seems “too good to be true” as the eye-popping dividend is often a byproduct of an egregious drop in the price of the stock. We believe Owens & Minor is an example of an overleveraged, slow-growth entity that may have trouble maintaining its dividend in coming years. We value shares at $20 each, however, so the market may be overreacting a bit on the downside. By Alexander J. Poulos Key Takeaways Business disruption has taken its toll on Owens & Minor’s margins and underlying profitability. From where we stand, there is little in the way … Read more