JNJ

ALERT: Going to “Fully Invested” in the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

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Image: Since the publishing of the first edition of the book Value Trap, the stylistic area of large cap growth (SCHG) has meaningfully outperformed both the equal-weight S&P 500 (SPY) and small cap value (IWN). Summary of Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio changes UnitedHealth Group (UNH): 0% –> 4%-6% Booking Holding (BKNG): 0% –> 4%-6% Chipotle (CMG): 1%-2% –> 6%-8% Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK): 0% –> 4%-6% By Brian Nelson, CFA With the debt-ceiling debate behind the markets, the regional banking crisis largely in the rear-view mirror, and the Fed winning the fight against inflation, a continuation of the strength in the markets as witnessed from the October 2022 lows can probably be expected. We “rode” the latest upswing with … Read more

Our Reports on the Health Care Bellwethers Industry

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Dividend Yield: Estimated on a forward-looking annualized basis. VBI: The Valuentum Buying Index, a timeliness indicator that overlays a price-to-fair-value estimate consideration. Fair Value Estimate: Derived by Valuentum’s enterprise valuation process. Dividend Cushion ratio: A ratio assessing the health of the dividend (the higher, the better). Data as of the date of this article. Individual company reports may have been updated subsequent to the publishing of this article, so please download a company’s stock and dividend report for its latest information and data. Note: The data in the tables of each of the below companies’ respective stock pages is updated the weekend after the publishing of this update. Please click on a company name below to view the corresponding equity … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 21

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 21. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.26. Builders Capital Mortgage (BCF:CA): now $0.3945 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1972. CapStar Financial (CSTR): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Costco (COST): now $1.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.90. Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT): now $0.2446 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1792. Discover Financial Services (DFS): now $0.70 … Read more

U.S. Economy Likely Weakened During Regional Bank Crisis; Artificial Intelligence the Next Great Platform

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  Image Source: Trong Khiem Nguyen By Brian Nelson, CFA Broader markets in the U.S. continue to be concerned about the impact of the Fed’s rapidly-rising contractionary monetary policy on the banking sector. A number of regional banks have already failed, with SVB Financial’s (SIVB) demise bringing into light concerns over the solvency of many other regional banks in the U.S., if their books of business are marked-to-market for both available-for-sale (AFS) and held-to-maturity (HTM) securities. The Fed raised rates so quickly that many regional banks may have been caught taking on too much interest rate risk. Liquidity across the regional banking sector, however, seems to have improved thanks to Fed actions, and deposit flight from regional banks seems to … Read more

Legacy of Benjamin Graham

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Legacy of Benjamin Graham: The Original Adjunct Professor. This film, brought to you by the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing, Columbia Business School, premiered on February 1, 2013 at the 16th Annual Columbia Student Investment Management Association conference. Produced by: Louisa Serene Schneider. Shot & Edited by: Christina Choe. Video Source: HeilburnnCenter Tickerized for companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. ———- It’s Here!  The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today!   —– Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, DIA, VOT, BITO, RSP, and IWM. Valuentum owns SPY, SCHG, QQQ, VOO, and DIA. Brian Nelson’s household owns shares in HON, DIS, HAS, NKE, DIA, and RSP. Some of the other securities written about in this article may … Read more

How the Payment of a Dividend Impacts Intrinsic Value Estimation

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  “Dividends are a transfer of cash to the shareholders that the shareholders already owned.” By Brian Nelson, CFA Many investors use the strategy of dividend growth investing as a means to generate increasing income in their retirement portfolios to stay ahead of inflation, or as a means to grow an income stream in the decades before retirement. Though we think such a strategy has tremendous merit, we think it’s important for readers to understand the mechanics of how a cash dividend payment impacts the valuation (intrinsic worth) of a company. How the Payment of a Dividend Impacts Valuation (Intrinsic Worth) In this article, let’s walk through the valuation adjustments we perform when a company pays a dividend to hammer … Read more

ALERT: We’re ‘Raising Cash’ in the Newsletter Portfolios

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Image: American Union Bank, New York City. April 26, 1932. Public Domain “We firmly believe that an investment in a bank must come with the acknowledgement of the distinct possibility that another financial crisis may occur at an unknown time in the future. Why? Banks do not keep a 100% reserve against deposits. Our good friend George Bailey knew this very well when he tried to discourage Bedford Falls residents from making a “run” on the famous and beloved Building and Loan.” – Brian Nelson, CFA, September 4, 2013   SUMMARY OF CHANGES Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): 4%-6% à 0% Exxon Mobil (XOM): 4%-6% à 0% Chevron (CVX) 3%-5% à 0% Dollar General (DG): 3%-5% à 0% Korn/Ferry (KFY): 1%-2% à 0% … Read more

Markets Bounce Off Technical Support But Not Out of the Woods

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Image: The market-cap weighted S&P 500 (SPY) bounced off technical support last week, both the 200-day moving average as well as the breakout of the downtrend line, but while this may push off any leg down in the near term, we won’t hesitate to “raise cash” on a few newsletter portfolio names if a breakthrough of support to the downside happens. Image Source: TradingView By Brian Nelson, CFA The 200-day moving average remains a key technical level for the market-cap weighted S&P 500. The risks that the market may break through both the 200-day moving average and the breakout of the technical downtrend line remain elevated, but the past week showed a successful test of technical support levels, in our … Read more

Update: J&J Reports Messy Q4, Free Cash Flow Remains Robust But Looming Kenvue Split Adds Uncertainty

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Image: Johnson & Johnson’s free cash flow generation remains far in excess of its cash dividends paid. Image Source: J&J By Brian Nelson, CFA Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported messy fourth-quarter 2022 results January 24 with GAAP revenue falling 4.4% and reported earnings per share dropping 24.9%. On an adjusted basis, operational growth excluding COVID-19 vaccine sales advanced 4.6%, while adjusted earnings per share advanced 10.3%, to $2.35 per share. The top line missed the consensus estimate modestly, while adjusted earnings per share came in slightly better than expected. Looking ahead to 2023, J&J expects adjusted operational sales growth, excluding COVID-19 vaccine, of 3.5%-4.5%, and adjusted operational earnings per share of $10.40-$10.60, which reflects 3.5% expansion at the midpoint. We … Read more

Exclusive Call: What To Expect From Valuentum in 2023

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Video: 2022 was a successful year by almost every measure from the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to the simulated High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio and Exclusive publication and beyond. There were some disappointments in 2022, of course, but the year showed the value of a Valuentum membership. Join President of Investment Research Brian Nelson on this year’s Exclusive conference call to learn what to expect from Valuentum in 2023. Cheers! Transcript President of Investment Research Brian Nelson: Happy Holidays everyone! I hope that you are enjoying this special time of year with family and friends, and I wish you all a wonderful 2023! I just wanted to take a few minutes to recap … Read more