Dividend Growth Newsletter Portfolio Holding Realty Income Keeps Chugging Along

Image Shown: Shares of Realty Income Corporation have performed quite well over the past year, keeping recent headwinds in mind. By Callum Turcan Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Realty Income Corp (O) posted a modest increase in its adjusted funds from operations (‘AFFO’) on a per share during its third quarter 2019 earnings report published November 4. Billing itself as “The Monthly Dividend Company” with a ~3.5% yield as of this writing, this REIT has paid out over 590 consecutive monthly dividends during its 50-year long operating history and has increased its per-share payout over 100 times since going public in 1994. We caution that shares of O will continue to experience volatility as expectations of future interest rates are … Read more

ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum’s President Brian M. Nelson, CFA

Catch up with Valuentum’s President Brian M. Nelson, CFA in a recent interview with dividend growth investor Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. By Brian Nelson, CFA Recently, I was interviewed by Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. Arne is a dividend growth investor like many of you, and I sincerely hope you enjoy the interview he put together. I’m very grateful for his interest. His questions were fantastic. We discuss why and how I incorporate independence and integrity into the service at Valuentum. We go into detail regarding why Valuentum views stocks the way it does, and how Valuentum combines enterprise valuation and the information contained in prices in its stock-selection process. I discuss the pitfalls … Read more

DGN Holding Realty Income Continues Moving Higher

Image Shown: Shares of Realty Income Corporation (O) have been on an upward tear this year as excitement over a lower interest rate environment, courtesy of the Federal Reserve, is driving up interest in real estate investment trusts. By Callum Turcan A holding in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Realty Income Corporation (O) invests in single-tenant properties both domestically and now abroad after expanding overseas for the first time earlier this year. The REIT pays out a monthly dividend and has done so for 590 consecutive months (as of early-September 2019), pushing through 102 payout increases since going public in 1994. Shares of the REIT yield 3.6% as of this writing. We like Realty Income’s “A” rated credit ratings (A3/A-), … Read more

Shares of DGN Holding Digital Realty Climbing Upwards

Image Source: Digital Realty Trust Inc – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan One of our favorite holdings in the Dividend Growth Newsletter is Digital Realty Trust (DLR), a data center REIT whose shares yield 3.4% as of this writing. Digital Realty expects to generate $6.60-$6.70 per share in core FFO this year, up 5% at the midpoint when excluding a new lease accounting standard and foreign currency headwinds. Please note that due to those two factors and pressure from rental renewals (DLR had a lot of leases expire in 2019 and some of the new leases were signed at modestly lower rates), Digital Realty’s reported core FFO ($6.65/share at the midpoint of guidance) in 2019 will only grow marginally from … Read more

Join the Conversation on the Market Plunge

The Valuentum team shares its thoughts on the recent surge in volatility and collapse in interest rates amid a trade and currency war between two of the largest economies in the world, the US and China. No changes to the newsletter portfolios at this time. During the past few days, the US (SPY, DIA) and China (FXI, MCHI) have escalated a trade war, turning it into a currency war, the latter allowing its yuan to drop to lower levels against the U.S. dollar. The US has now labeled China a “currency manipulator,” and China has responded by suspending U.S. agricultural purchases. China is one of the largest buyers of U.S. agricultural goods. The Valuentum team builds on its previous conversation … Read more

Realty Income Posts Solid Earnings, Acquires Overseas Real Estate for First Time

Image Source: Realty Income Corporation – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Realty Income Corporation (O) is a REIT focused on free-standing, single-tenant commercial properties in 49 US states, Puerto Rico, and now the UK. At the end of the second quarter of 2019, Realty Income had economic interests in almost 6,000 properties. The REIT reported second quarter earnings on August 5, and we liked what we saw. Realty Income is included in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and shares of O yield 3.9% as of this writing. Please note that the REIT pays out a monthly dividend and has been doing so for 589 consecutive months (~49 years). Financial Overview As you can see in the graphic below, Realty Income … Read more

New Highs! The December Call Has Been Well-Rewarded

Image shown: Valuentum’s Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Since inception, the newsletter portfolio has *never* had a constituent that experienced a dividend cut. We moved to weighting ranges beginning in 2018.   “The less the prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own.” – Warren Buffett (2018) By Brian Nelson, CFA While others are celebrating, we know better. This market could come down upon itself like nothing else. But for now. We breathe a sigh of relief. A company, Valuentum, that emphasizes the importance of timing and then delivers on that cold December 26 day to move to all-in in the newsletter portfolios is something remarkable (see image below). We cannot go back to … Read more

Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger

Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had  moved  the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a “fully invested” position, from a 30% and 20% cash “weighting” at the high end of the range, respectively.  — No change to simulated newsletter portfolios…at this time.  — Hi everyone, — Hope you’re navigating these tumultuous markets well.   — If you recall, during the holiday season last year, we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to “fully invested.” See image above (point of the arrow). Because many members were traveling and out of the office, not all were able to read the notification until a week or two after. They were … Read more

Facebook Was Textbook, Intel Still About Fairly Valued After Weakness

Image: Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook’s (FB) stock has advanced 56% since it bottomed in December. This is yet another textbook execution of the Valuentum Buying Index, a strong breakout of the downtrend on a significantly undervalued stock. See also the example with Apple (AAPL) on page 241 in Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation. — In alphabetical order by ticker symbol: ABBV, AMZN, AAL, BMY, CHDN, CL, DHR, DLR, F, HON, INTC, SBUX — AbbVie (ABBV): The branded pharmaceutical business that was spun off from Abbott (ABT) continues to tread water, with shares in a steady downtrend since peaking at the beginning of 2018. We’re not interested in this company given the concentration risk of blockbuster drug Humira, and we generally … Read more

Latest Channel Checks at Malls…Scary

We know malls come and go, and location is everything, but our latest visit to a few malls in the Chicagoland area leave us scratching our heads in a big way. One was eerily empty. By Brian Nelson, CFA A small sample set is never one to extrapolate, but our latest checks of malls in the northwest Chicagoland area came up a little surprising. We’re not sounding the alarm bells just yet, but we think some caution is in order for the largest mall REITs, including Tanger Factory (SKT), Macerich (MAC), Simon Property (SPG) and Taubman (TCO). Something just wasn’t quite right on our latest visit, and we attribute it primarily to failing anchor department stores, namely Carson Pirie Scott … Read more