CSCO

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

by

Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

The New Theorem of the Stock Market

by

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about the new theory of the stock market and explains how syllogisms developed by Noble prize winners and the largest asset managers may not accurately reflect active management at the investor level, which Nelson argues is what matters. Running time: ~15 minutes. To view Valuentum’s updated YouTube page, please see here.  Excerpts from Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too (Valuentum) Read the paper from the beginning here (pdf).   Tickerized for stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Mutual Fund Tragedy, ROE, and the Time Horizon

by

Comparisons between growth versus value stocks may never go away, but President of Investment Research Brian Nelson explains why you should know better than to think stocks can easily be divided up as such. He talks about this, as well as the pitfalls of ROE (return on equity) and how to think about the time horizon. Running time: ~10 minutes.

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

by

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

How Have Our Best “Dividend Growth Ideas” Performed During 2017?

by

Read about the ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio >> We wrote recently about how well the top-weighted ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio have performed during 2017, but what about the top-weighted ideas in the other newsletter portfolio, the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio? How have they performed during 2017? Please tell us you know how well the top-weighted ideas have been performing. Key Takeaways: 1) “Excluding dividends, the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend ETF has advanced less than 9% this year. Meanwhile, excluding dividends, the two top-weighted ideas in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Johnson & Johnson and Intel, are up ~20% and ~24%, respectively, more than double that of the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend ETF.”  2) “We’re viewing … Read more

Cisco’s Shares Are Surging!

by

Image Source: Cisco We received some fantastic news from newsletter portfolio idea Cisco. Shares are surging! Please tell me you knew that Cisco was one of our favorite ideas. By Brian Nelson, CFA There aren’t many companies that fit the profile of making it into both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, but Cisco (CSCO) has been one of them. The company’s fair value estimate is $42, the high end of the fair value estimate range comes in at $50, and its 7 rating on the Valuentum Buying Index is quite promising in the context of this overheated stock market. Cisco’s Dividend Cushion ratio is an impressive 2.7, meaning that we would expect the company to … Read more

Cisco’s Shares Still Look Cheap

by

Image Source: Cisco Cisco is trading well below the market multiple, while sporting a large net cash position and a solid cash dividend backed by copious amounts of free cash flow. By Brian Nelson, CFA Cisco’s (CSCO) name has become synonymous with networking, but over the years, the company has broadened its appeal as the preeminent go-to entity for delivering a vast portfolio of incremental IT-based products and services. It’s hard not to like its enviable position at the intersection of data, the cloud, video proliferation, enhanced mobility, the growing need for security, and the increased importance of collaboration and analytics. Rightly so, Cisco believes that “data is the most strategic asset,” and it is working tirelessly to connect “everything … Read more

Video: Explaining the Valuentum Buying Index

by

The Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) stands on the shoulders of giants in finance in uncovering investment ideas.  Brian Nelson, CFA: This is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities. Today, I would like to talk about our Valuentum Buying Index, the stock selection methodology that we use and apply across our entire coverage universe. But before I get into some of the specifics, I’d like to provide more or less a summary. Essentially what the Valuentum Buying Index does is it highlights undervalued stocks that are going up in price. Undervalued stocks with good momentum…Value-ntum stocks. So, at the core, the Valuentum Buying Index tries to find stocks that we think have a very strong likelihood of equity price appreciation. It breaks … Read more