Our Reports on Refining Stocks

Image Source: Rongy Benjamin Structure of the Refining Industry Results of firms in the refining industry are primarily affected by the relationship, or margin, between refined product prices and the prices for crude oil and other feedstocks. The cost to acquire feedstocks and the price at which refiners can sell refined products depends upon several factors beyond their control, including the supply/demand of crude oil and other refined products—which in turn depends on the availability of imports, production, inventories, political affairs and economic considerations. Refining margins are difficult to predict, and we expect them to continue to be volatile in the future. We’ve dropped coverage of the Refining industry: HES, HFC, MPC, PSX, VLO.

Valuentum Stock Screeners

This article was sent to members via email December 29. That email can be accessed at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I wanted to provide an update with respect to Valuentum’s stock screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, or data that is important with respect to the investment decision-making process. We publish screens in each of the monthly newsletters, but we also provide a basic weekly screener for download on the left column of the website, “Download Weekly Stock Screener (xls) — login required.”   We also have other products. The more robust DataScreener, for example, is part of the quarterly Financial … Read more

Market Mayhem — Alerts for Members

During these extremely volatile times, it’s important to stay focused. On December 15, we informed all of our members to “Pay Attention.” Shortly thereafter, we notified members of the potential for a stock market technical breakdown. This morning, we offered a pre-market briefing about the importance of thinking about portfolio protection. For Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=e2406cd6-c113-4344-8731-493f33fc44a4&id=preview For High Yield Dividend Newsletter members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=b3ba530f-38b3-489a-ac96-2961dca89c6b&id=preview For Exclusive members: http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?preview=true&m=1110817109903&ca=ba6d90c0-4433-48b2-9b8a-aac4ddf9006e&id=preview We’re here for any questions. Please just let us know how we can help! Kind regards, Brian Nelson, CFA  brian@valuentum.com

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution

The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. “The most important item over time in valuation is obviously interest rates…If interest rates are destined to be at low levels…It makes any stream of earnings from investments worth more money. The bogey is always what government bonds yield….Any investment is worth all the cash you’re going to get out between now and judgment day discounted back. The discounting back is affected by whether you choose interests rates like those of Japan or interest rates like those we had in 1982…When we had 15 percent short-term rates in 1982, it was silly to pay … Read more

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).

M&A Roundup: Sprint and T-Mobile Finally Official, Marathon Petroleum to Become Nation’s Largest Refiner

Image Source: Mike Mozart A number of notable deals hit the wires over the weekend or Monday morning. Lets’ take a quick look. We expect to update our reports on the respective companies in the coming days. By Kris Rosemann Key Takeaways Sprint and T-Mobile are officially tying the knot. Though the deal faces regulatory scrutiny, we think T-Mobile shareholders are getting the best of the deal. If the transaction is consummated and synergies are achieved as planned, both sets of shareholders should be happy though. The wireless telecom industry will continue to be extremely debt and capital intensive, however. We think the Sprint-T-Mobile deal will ultimately get approved, but we are not particularly fond of betting on how regulatory … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Will Texas Tea Hit $75 Per Barrel By Year’s End?

Image Shown: The performance of the VanEck Vectors Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) since its launch in August 2015. We’ve witnessed our fair share of fits and starts from energy resource pricing during the past few years, but could the global crude markets finally be rebalancing? Let’s talk about our thoughts on whether the outlook for energy resource pricing is improving in a sustainable way. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA It may have taken longer than we initially anticipated, but crude oil prices (USO) appear to be on the verge of making a sustained recovery, though we always caution that sentiment can change on a dime, especially in the speculation-heavy commodity price markets. If you recall, we thought the … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending September 1

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending September 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Andeavor (ANDV): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Atlantica Yield (ABY): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Bank of America (BAC): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. Bank of Hawaii (BOH): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now CAD 0.79 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.76. Canadian Western Bank (CBWBF): now $0.24 … Read more