PSX

Phillips 66 Records Strong Free Cash Flow in Second Quarter

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Image Source: Phillips 66 Investor Update By Brian Nelson, CFA Phillips 66 (PSX) reported strong second quarter results July 30, with the firm generating second-quarter earnings of $1.0 billion or $2.38 per share. Adjusted earnings were $984 million or $2.31 per share. The company experienced record midstream NGL pipeline and fractional volumes and noted that synergy capture is driving lower costs. The company recorded strong refining operations with 98% crude utilization and 86% clean product yield. Management commented on the strong quarter: We are systematically executing on our strategic priorities, which is reflected in our second-quarter results. Refining crude utilization was our highest in five years and we lowered our costs by nearly a dollar per barrel, reflecting the success … Read more

3 High Dividend Yielders for Consideration

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Image: Energy Transfer, Philip Morris, and Altria have outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend ETF (SDY) since the beginning of 2024. By Brian Nelson, CFA The market remains laser-focused on inflation readings and employment trends – two of the main dynamics that influence policy at the Federal Reserve. Since the beginning of 2024, the market has ratcheted down expectations of rate cuts from as many as 5 or 6 to just 1 or 2 in 2024. With yields on risk-free instruments poised to go lower soon, a focus on high yielding equities may be appropriate for the income investor. Here are three high dividend yielders that we like for consideration. Energy Transfer (ET) Midstream pipeline operator Energy Transfer has come … Read more

Geopolitical Risks Driving Crude Oil Prices Higher

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Image: Crude oil prices have staged a strong advance to start 2024. By Brian Nelson, CFA Geopolitical tensions continue to be elevated as concerns grow that the war in the Middle East could further escalate, and as the war in Ukraine continues to rage on. On April 1, Israel apparently staged an attack on an Iran embassy in Syria that killed several military officials, including three senior Iranian commanders. Iran has indicated that it would retaliate, and many are speculating that the possible attack may be on Israeli soil, which would further increase global tensions. Ukraine has also been actively targeting Russian energy infrastructure, cutting into Russia’s refining capacity.   Many are positioning in energy markets for a potential spike … Read more

Phillips 66 Raises Dividend 10%!

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Refiner and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio idea Phillips 66 (PSX) declared on April 3 a quarterly dividend of $1.15 per share on its common stock, reflecting a 10% payout increase. Management had the following to say about the payout hike: The dividend increase reflects the confidence we have in our growing mid-cycle cash flow generation and disciplined approach to capital allocation, including a secure, competitive and growing dividend. Since our formation in 2012, we have steadily raised our dividend, resulting in a 16% compound annual growth rate. We are well-positioned to continue delivering significant shareholder value through the successful execution of our strategic priorities, including returning $13 billion to $15 billion to shareholders through dividends … Read more

Phillips 66 Hovering Near All-Time Highs, Shares Yield ~2.7%

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Image: Phillips 66’s shares continue to hover near all-time highs thanks to a favorable energy resource environment. By Brian Nelson, CFA Shares of refining giant Phillips 66 (PSX) continue to hover near all-time highs as the company benefits from a favorable energy resource environment. The company’s fourth quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.09 beat expectations handily, as it hauled in $2.2 billion in operating cash flow in the period. Phillips full-year 2023 performance was solid as it generated $7 billion in operating cash flow and returned $5.9 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks. Shares yield ~2.7% at the time of this writing. Management remains shareholder-friendly and said much in its fourth-quarter press release: As we … Read more

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?

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Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. By Brian Nelson, CFA We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key … Read more

12 Reasons to Stay Aggressive in 2024

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By Brian Nelson, CFA 1. The Fed has signaled that rate cuts could start with inflation at a 2 handle (2 point something) and not at exactly 2.0%. That means that the Fed may become anticipatory to prevent overshooting to the downside with inflation. We see this as positive for long-duration equities, particularly those whose free cash flow generation is robust in the out-years, inclusive of big cap tech and the stylistic area of large cap growth. 2. Unemployment is at structural lows of 3.7%. Employers are working hard to keep talent on board, and with each paycheck, employees are pumping more and more money into the stock market via retirement accounts. This tailwind remains a stiff one and will … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Our Top Stocks for 2024

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Video: Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Nelson walks through the success of Valuentum’s newsletter suite, the state of the economy and markets, and offers his favorite idea for each sector. Tune into this must-watch video. ———- It’s Here!  The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today!   —– Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, DIA, VOT, BITO, RSP, and IWM. Valuentum owns SPY, SCHG, QQQ, VOO, and DIA. Brian Nelson’s household owns shares in HON, DIS, HAS, NKE, DIA, RSP, SCHG, QQQ, and VOO. Some of the other securities written about in this article may be included in Valuentum’s simulated newsletter portfolios. Contact Valuentum for more information about its editorial policies.  Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock … Read more

A Note on Valuation — Low P/E Stocks with High Dividend Yields

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“But carrying low valuation parameters is far from synonymous with “underpriced.” It’s easy to be seduced by the former, but a stock with a low p/e ratio, for example, is likely to be a bargain only if its current earnings and recent earnings growth are indicative of the future. Just pursuing low valuation metrics can lead you to so-called “value traps”: things that look cheap on the numbers but aren’t, because they have operating weaknesses or because the sales and earnings creating those valuations can’t be replicated in the future.” – Howard Marks, Something of Value (2021) By Brian Nelson, CFA I was reminded of Howard Marks’ 2021 memo, “Something of Value,” after a few readers expressed interest in low … Read more

Report Updates: Amazon Registers the Lowest Rating on Our Scale

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Select the company’s link below to access their stock webpage where their 16-page stock report (pdf) can be downloaded. The stock webpage also houses the company’s dividend report (pdf), where applicable, as well as the latest company/industry commentary and news.    Albemarle (ALB) Amazon.com (AMZN) Applied Materials (AMAT) Cisco (CSCO) Halliburton (HAL) Lam Research (LRCX) Phillips 66 (PSX) Visa (V) CVS Health (CVS) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) AbbVie (ABBV) Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Gilead Sciences (GILD) Pfizer (PFE) Abbott (ABT) Oracle (ORCL) Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Fresh Del Monte (FDP) Kraft Heinz (KHC) Lancaster Colony (LANC) McCormick (MKC) Molson Coors (TAP) Smucker (SJM) Sysco (SYY) ———- It’s Here!  The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today!   —– Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, … Read more