HAS

ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum’s President Brian M. Nelson, CFA

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Catch up with Valuentum’s President Brian M. Nelson, CFA in a recent interview with dividend growth investor Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. By Brian Nelson, CFA Recently, I was interviewed by Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. Arne is a dividend growth investor like many of you, and I sincerely hope you enjoy the interview he put together. I’m very grateful for his interest. His questions were fantastic. We discuss why and how I incorporate independence and integrity into the service at Valuentum. We go into detail regarding why Valuentum views stocks the way it does, and how Valuentum combines enterprise valuation and the information contained in prices in its stock-selection process. I discuss the pitfalls … Read more

Coca-Cola, Visa, and More from Valuentum

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Coca-Cola, Visa and More from Valuentum — Hi everyone, — Hope you’re doing great.  — Just yesterday, we closed out six more ideas in the Exclusive, four capital appreciation ideas and two short-idea considerations, for solid “gains.” The success rates in the Exclusive publication continue to be fantastic. I encourage members to upgrade, to give the Exclusive a chance, to see if the ideas may be of interest. Subscribe to the Exclusive publication here. —  Facebook’s Meteoric Rise — Image: The market doesn’t offer opportunities like this every day. I’d say we might see something so obvious, so opportunistic, maybe once every couple years. That was Facebook in late 2018. It’s now up 60%+ from its 52-week low. — We have a lot … Read more

Hasbro Posts a Great Quarter, Shares Fully Valued

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Image Source: Hasbro Inc – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Toymaker Hasbro Inc (HAS) posted a second quarter 2019 earnings report on July 23 that was very well received by the market. Revenue was up 9% year-over-year, or 11% when excluding foreign exchange headwinds (a product of a strong US dollar, a common theme for all companies with material overseas sales). Operating profit was up 47% year-over-year on a GAAP basis, reaching 13.0% of sales versus 9.7% of sales in the same period last year (a product of gross margin expansion, cost saving initiatives, and favorable product mix). While Hasbro’s net income was down sharply year-over-year, that’s entirely due to a major pension expense (the company settled its US pension … Read more

Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger

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Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had  moved  the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a “fully invested” position, from a 30% and 20% cash “weighting” at the high end of the range, respectively.  — No change to simulated newsletter portfolios…at this time.  — Hi everyone, — Hope you’re navigating these tumultuous markets well.   — If you recall, during the holiday season last year, we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to “fully invested.” See image above (point of the arrow). Because many members were traveling and out of the office, not all were able to read the notification until a week or two after. They were … Read more

Earnings Reports Flying In!

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Earnings reports are flying in. We thought Air Products’, Hasbro’s, and Lockheed’s quarterly updates were standouts. By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s time to make some noise! Seriously, we just debunked a decades-old myth that the average active investor theoretically cannot outperform, net of fees. We also just showed theoretically how empirical asset pricing models in using realized data are off the mark. I think both of these are huge deals in the field of finance. Make some noise. I talk about these developments in subchapters of our new book, Value Trap! You can read about the contents of the book on Amazon. I hope that we hear more about these developments on a larger scale in the coming years. How wonderful that might be. … Read more

ATTN: Advisors and Planners — Disruption Is Looming

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“With the commoditization of investment advice and intense competition from robos and other more cost-efficient solutions, growth-minded advisors want to create bespoke experiences for clients.” — WealthManagement.com By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi Valuentum members, colleagues and friends, Valuentum has a large subscriber base and is one of the most successful paid subscription financial information websites launched this decade. Over the past eight years or so, individuals, financial advisors and money managers from all over the world have subscribed to our services. We pride ourselves on independence and transparency, and we’re a champion of the investor. Today, I’d like to talk directly to our financial advisor, financial planner, and professional money-manager members. You probably already heard the news yesterday: Charles Schwab, which handles … Read more

DG Newsletter Alert, Markets on a Roll! New Highs Coming?

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Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a “fully invested” position, from a 30% and 20% cash “weighting” at the high end of the range, respectively. It doesn’t look like the timing could have been much better.  Changes to Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio Removing Novartis (NVS) -3.5%-5.5% Adding Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) +3.5%-5.5% By Brian Nelson, CFA The back half of 2018 was among the most exciting in Valuentum’s history. For one, we might have made one of our best “market-direction” calls since inception in practically calling the near-term bottom December 26. In hindsight, it’s clear the market had overreacted, but at the time, going to “fully … Read more

Valuentum’s Stock and Data Screens and Screeners

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Let’s go over where to find Valuentum’s stock and data screens and screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, and our data comes straight from our enterprise discounted cash flow models that we use to derive a company’s fair value estimate. By The Valuentum Team In late 2017, we made the decision to transition to providing an updated Excel download each week to members in order to allow them to facilitate any combination of screening criteria they want with respect to our vast amounts of data, whether it be the Valuentum Buying Index, the Dividend Cushion ratio or other. What we’ve found out the past 15 months or so … Read more

Dividend Growth Portfolio Alert: Adding KMI, Removing HAS!

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Note: The Exclusive publication will be released next Saturday, March 9th. Add the Exclusive to your membership here.  We see as much as 20%+ upside in Kinder Morgan’s shares, and separately, we think its dividend is poised for growth in the coming years. We’re swapping out a huge winner in Hasbro to make room. How exciting! Changes to Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio Remove Hasbro (HAS) -2.5%-3.5% weighting Add Kinder Morgan (KMI) +2.5%-3.5% weighting Be on the lookout for a very important survey in the coming months. We need your responses. By Brian Nelson, CFA This will be a short note. First, General Electric’s (GE) shares continue to face pressure. You can read about our experience in calling the collapse in GE’s shares … Read more

Kraft-Heinz Blows Up, More Updates!

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Image shown: The rating history of Kraft-Heinz (KHC). Valuentum members were warned in advance of this pricey equity in 2016/2017, and the VBI rating never advanced past 5 since then after registering a 1, the worst rating, on two separate occasions. Dear members, I wanted to first of all welcome our new members. There have been a lot of new ones during the past few weeks. Thank you. The buzz might be coming from the new book launch, Value Trap. If you haven’t read the book yet, please do so here. Members can get the pdf digital download today at 25% off. For new members, reading this book is simply par for the course to get a feel for how we look at … Read more