DAL

Why Analytical Experience Matters

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Risky industrial cyclicals and recovering banks were the theme behind Bloomberg’s Dividend Tip Sheet, released June 18. We applaud the news outlet’s efforts to put together such a list, but a quick look speaks to the importance of focusing on sustained dividend growth – not just growth alone. A number of these firms will likely fall short of their dividend growth targets in coming years, and some—namely the airlines—will likely have to retract dividend payments within the next decade or so. Income investors have the dual need of income and growth, and this list is lacking in the former. Most constituents on this list yield less than 2%, and out of the four that yield greater than 2% (on a … Read more

8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed

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8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, Brian here. Trust you are doing great! Here are eight announcements I want you to be aware of: Everything we do is for our members. We’re very proud of the outperformance of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, that we’ve never had a dividend cut in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, that our high-yield ideas are holding up very well, and the success rates of the Exclusive capital-appreciation ideas and short-idea considerations are running at approximately 80%. We’re proud to be your research partner. The odds of a Fed rate cut are going up as yield-curve inversion continues to threaten. The risks are more behavioral in … Read more

Structural Changes in the Airline and Aerospace Business

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Image Source: Valuentum A version of this article appeared on our website April 28, 2021. By Brian Nelson, CFA The coronavirus pandemic (“COVID-19”) has fundamentally changed how companies do business. Zoom Video (ZM) has made in-person meetings largely redundant while innovative digital-agreement firms such as DocuSign (DOCU) have only contributed to the “anywhere economy.” Though there may be pent-up demand for in-person meetings and handshake agreements as the number of vaccinations for COVID-19 increase across the globe, many businesses may grow to permanently embrace the “anywhere economy” for its efficiencies and cost savings. This will impact the long-term trajectory of business air travel demand, in our opinion, with implications on the normalized intrinsic values of airlines (JETS), jet makers, and … Read more