COF

Catching the Bottom?

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Image shown: The depths of how far the S&P 500 (SPY) has fallen more recently, and the timing of the decision to move to being “fully invested” in simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.   No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios. This article was sent to members via email January 9. That email can be found at the link that follows this article. By Brian Nelson, CFA On the evening of December 26, we emailed members that we were moving to “fully invested” in both the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. First of all, please let me apologize. I wanted to stay in front of members during one of the most volatile times … Read more

Markets Up Big; Upside Volatility

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Image shown: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since August 2017. The index has broken through support and is now bouncing back to resistance. By Brian Nelson, CFA Good morning everyone, Are you watching these markets? This is incredible. The Dow finished down 660 points yesterday (briefly dropping 700 points), and today, the Dow is currently trading up 600 points at the time of this writing. Granted, there was Apple’s (AAPL) poor first-quarter 2019 guidance yesterday and the strong jobs report today, but this volatility is not “normal,” no matter what others are saying. A couple announcements up front. For those that already ordered our book Value Trap, I will send you the pdf download to your email address just to make sure … Read more

In the News: Healthcare Uncertainty, Housing Confidence Drops, and Banks Reel in Risk

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Let’s take a look at some of the top stories impacting the markets, including the heightened uncertainty surrounding healthcare legislation, the drop in the NAHB Housing Market Index, and measures being taken by banks to limit exposure to risky counterparties. By Kris Rosemann Shares of health insurers and health care providers (XLV) are facing notable selling pressure December 17 after a federal judge in Texas ruled the Affordable Care Act is unconstitutional without the penalty for lack of insurance coverage, which was repealed by Congress last year. The ruling came on the evening of December 14, but it is almost certain to be appealed. The Affordable Care Act has been beleaguered for some time now, and the latest news casts … Read more

Does Visa Ever Disappoint?

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Image Source: Visa The credit card network hit all-time highs today. We continue to be huge fans of the company’s fundamentals. By Brian Nelson, CFA Another day, another new high for top-weighted idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Visa (V). Briefing Investor said it succinctly: Visa…is trading at a new all-time high after the company reported better than expected fourth quarter results and gave encouraging guidance for fiscal 2018… Visa owns a global payment network. Unlike American Express (AXP) and Discover (DFS), which own payment networks and issue credit, Visa doesn’t take any credit risk — Capital One (COF) is a bank that issues a lot of credit cards. Visa is a technology company in the financial sector, just … Read more

ETF Analysis: Banks and Financials

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Please select the image below to download the report. Tickerized for ETFs under coverage and stocks included in the XLF.

Malkiel Balks, Yellen Talks

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Let’s first address how research in the financial industry is becoming more and more open to combining value and momentum considerations. We’ll also cover a few takeaways from the stress tests and some ‘strong’ talk from Fed Chair Janet Yellen. By Brian Nelson, CFA It was 1973, and a Princeton economist by the name of Burton Gordon Malkiel had just published A Random Walk Down Wall Street, a book that would turn into one of the most influential studies in support of the efficient markets hypothesis. The book would suggest that asset prices typically exhibit signs of a “random walk,” and as a result, an investor could not consistently outperform market averages in part due to powerful reversion-to-the-mean tendencies. Three … Read more

The Coming “Goldman Sachs Era”

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Valuentum covers recent developments in the financials sector, including hopes for a relaxation of certain prohibitive Dodd-Frank rules that, if repealed, could pave the way for improved economic returns across the banking sector during the Trump administration. A look back at the month of September 2008, and how Goldman Sachs may very well shape the financial markets during the next few years are two other areas in the piece. Financials stocks have come roaring back since Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States. We’ve participated. By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s been more than 8 years now. The month of September 2008 shaped my view of the financials and banking sector more than any other month possibly could–The … Read more

Podcast: Why ETFs and Roasting the Banks

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The Valuentum analyst team talks about why we don’t like the business models of banking entities, why they are currently destroying economic value, but also why the team includes exposure in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. What gives? Find out in this ~9 minute podcast. If you cannot view the video, please view the transcript that follows. Tickerized for holdings in the exchange traded funds, XLF and KBE, and for various financials-oriented ETFs.  Kris Rosemann: Hello and welcome to the Valuentum Securities podcast. My name is Kris Rosemann Associate Investment Analyst at Valuentum. With me is Chris Araos and Brian Nelson President of Equity Research and ETF Analysis at Valuentum. Today, we are going to have a quick discussion over … Read more

Selecting Winners

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It’s hard to go wrong with exposure to the credit-card processing arena. Investors have made a lot of money in Visa (V), MasterCard (MA), Discover Financial (DFS), American Express (AXP) and Capital One (COF) during the past several years, but they’ve made the most with Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Visa. Since Visa was added in November 30, 2011, the company has more than tripled, a return that is more than 50 percentage points better than MasterCard’s, more than 70 percentage points better than Discover’s, more than 120 percentage points better than Capital One’s, and about 150 percentage points better than American Express’. All have done well, but Visa has done the best. Long-time readers of Valuentum know that we’ve … Read more

Firms Raising Their Dividends In The Week Ending March 15

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We saw a number of firms raise their dividends during the week ending March 15. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week: Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.56. Avago Technologies (AVGO): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17. Capital One Financial (COF): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. CapLease (LSE): now $0.0775 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. Capstead Mortgage Corporation (CMO): now $0.31 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Cohen & Steers (CNS): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Discover Financial Services (DFS): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. Equity LifeStyle (ELS): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.4375. … Read more