Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending September 2

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending September 2. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bank of America (BAC): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now C$0.74 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.72. Broadcom (AVGO): now $0.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.57. Campbell Soup (CPB): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Capital Southwest (CSWC): now $0.11 per share quarterly … Read more

The Banking Industry Is All About Confidence

Image Source: 401(K) 2012 The “5 Cs of credit” — character, capacity, capital, collateral, and conditions — is a widely-followed framework and generally-accepted guideline for lending to consumers, but for corporate entities, we think another C is much more important: confidence. By Brian Nelson, CFA The financial sector, and the underlying banking industry in particular, is distinctly different than most other sectors like industrials, retail, or healthcare, for example. Unlike the latter industries, banks use money to make money (net interest income), instead of using operating assets like property, plant and equipment (PPE) and raw materials to drive revenue and resulting free cash flow. This means that continued access to money and credit is the primary source of banks’ economic returns … Read more

The Next Banking Crisis? No… Well, Not Yet.

Image Source: Berit Watkin “Washington Mutual customers withdrew $16.7 billion in cash from the thrift in the past nine days, a huge outflow that led to the largest bank failure in U.S. history, the institution’s regulator said Friday.” — MarketWatch, September 26, 2008 By Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s get this out of the way. We’re not sensationalistic or bombastic. We’re realistic, and we love focusing on the risks of investing because an investor that knows his downside risks is a much better investor than the one that is only looking at sunshine in the rear-view mirror. I’m going to put it bluntly. We’re starting to hear of some rather serious developments in the UK following Brexit. If the UK pound hitting … Read more

Brexit: Secession Bells Are Ringing!

First Baptist Church in Columbia, S.C., where the first secession convention in the United States opened on Dec. 17, 1860. Source: Library of Congress, Washington, DC. Photo. Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Web. 24 Jun. 2016. Global markets are plunging, and the implosion may still be in the early innings. Market valuations remain stretched among stagnant global economic growth, and “Brexit” may be the catalyst for a correction. In the paraphrased words of the well-known The Day of the Jackal author, Frederick Forsyth: the peasants have spoken. On June 23, the UK (EWU) held a referendum, in which anyone of voting age could take part, to decide whether the country should leave the European Union. The turnout was incredible at nearly 72%, and … Read more

Recent Add Cracker Barrel Surges Ahead; BHP Cuts

February 23 was met with intense selling as investors digested news that the crude oil (USO) markets won’t become rational anytime soon. As we had outlined in our opening piece to the Best Ideas Newsletter a few days ago, “,” Saudi Arabia is not going to back down, and the Oil Minister of the member nation of OPEC even went so far as to say he “welcomes new additional supplies,” suggesting that the global glut of crude oil will continue for the foreseeable future. Commodity-oriented equities led the selling pressure. For those that have been reading our work for the past several months, none of this is new “news.” We’ve been warning about the risk for some time, and we … Read more

Best Idea Michael Kors Up 20%+ — Yawn?

“A significantly “undervalued stock” that is dropping like a rock is a huge red flag, and the Valuentum system offers a methodological overlay to incorporate the very valuable information contained in  share prices.” – Brian Nelson, CFA What a day for Michael Kors (KORS)! At the time of this writing February 2, shares of the aspirational brand are soaring 20%+. Yes, it is a holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, “Valuentum’s Best Ideas Portfolio,” and yes, we added to the position in Michael Kors November 5, 2015, “Email Transaction Alerts.” The email transaction alert, which included some profit-taking in Altria and additions to the positions in Buffalo Wild Wings and Michael Kors, can be downloaded here. Prior to the … Read more

Investment Banking Round Up: Citigroup’s Equity To Rapidly Converge to Tangible Book?

Though junior analysts cheating on internal exams at Goldman Sachs (GS) and JP Morgan (JPM) has probably garnered more headlines than the results of the two entities themselves, one thing remains clear: the US financial system remains on very healthy ground. While robust capital ratios speak to this, not all banks are doing great, and volatile economic and market conditions are posing challenges for many, even if such conditions are an inescapable characteristic of the financial system itself. Morgan Stanley’s (MS) third-quarter results, for one, left much to be desired. Reported net revenue dropped to $7.8 billion from $8.9 billion in the year-ago period, while net income fell to $0.48 per share from $0.83 in the September quarter-end last year; … Read more

Unemployment Rate Falls to 5.1%! Great Times in America!

Image Source: BLS The future is all that matters. This is a basic tenet of the stock market, where prices of equities are forward-looking discounting mechanisms. August is now over, and we learned that the job market in the United States is close to the healthiest it has been in a long time—that is, if you buy into the data calculations behind the national unemployment rate, which now stands at a 5.1%. The mark is the lowest level since the Great Recession of late last decade and is now roughly half the levels experienced at the “height” of the Great Recession, which drove 10% of Americans that were willing to work out of a job. The Fed has worked a … Read more

Forget About the New iPhone; The Banks in China!

One thing will always be the case – banks never hold enough capital to cover asset losses in excess of the inverse of their leverage. Said differently, if a bank is leveraged 10 to 1–meaning its assets are 10 times as much as its equity–it would only take a 10% decline in the unhedged market-value of asset prices to wipe a bank’s equity capital position clean, all else equal, and provided capital infusions aren’t available. The US lived through this dynamic during the Financial Crisis, and to the credit of the Fed, Treasury, and related participants, they did a fantastic job, all things considered–being that we’re not currently in the midst of a modern-day Great Depression. It is clear to … Read more

The Debt Bubble Is Deflating; Will It Pop?

The fundamental concerns surrounding the financial health of China-dependent companies across the globe are tangible, and the risk of a currency crisis and eventual credit crunch are real, if they aren’t already happening. Fortescue Metals Group (FMG), the fourth-largest iron ore producer in the world, announced over the weekend, that profits were nearly completely wiped out (down nearly 90%) for the fiscal year ending June 30, even as the firm shipped 33% more tons of iron ore during the period over last year’s mark. The largest iron ore producers, BHP Billiton (BHP) and Rio Tinto (RIO), are only adding to production overcapacity, conditions that are wreaking havoc on the commodity price. Iron ore prices are to remain under pressure as … Read more