SPY

Digital Realty Trust is Holding Up Quite Well

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Image Shown: Shares of Digital Realty Trust Inc, a holding in both our Dividend Growth Newsletter and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolios, have outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY) by a wide margin over the past year and that’s before taking dividend considerations into account. By Callum Turcan On May 7, the data center real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR) reported first-quarter 2020 earnings. Though the firm’s near-term guidance disappointed investors, management communicated that the medium- and long-term trajectory of Digital Realty’s financial and operational performance remained strong. Furthermore, its liquidity position and its dividend coverage continued to be rock-solid, particularly after factoring in the data center REIT’s ongoing access to equity markets and lack of near-term … Read more

Facebook Is Roaring Higher!

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Image Shown: Shares of Facebook Inc have roared higher since reaching their March 2020 lows, far outpacing the rebound in the S&P 500 (SPY). We continue to like shares of FB as a top-weighted holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. By Callum Turcan Top-weighted Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook Inc (FB) posted first quarter 2020 earnings on April 29 that saw its GAAP revenues jump 18% year-over-year to $17.3 billion while its GAAP diluted EPS grew by 101% year-over-year, hitting $1.71. Please note that Facebook’s bottom-line comparison was made easier due to the firm recording a $3.0 billion legal settlement with the US Federal Trade Commission (‘FTC’) during the first quarter of 2019. While digital advertising spending levels … Read more

ICYMI: Never Been More Bullish Even as Buffett Dumps Airlines

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Image Source: IATA. Data Source: McKinsey & Company (IATA). Airlines haven’t been able to earn their estimated cost of capital for as long as we can remember. There have been hundreds of airline bankruptcies since deregulation in 1978. By Brian Nelson, CFA On Saturday, May 2, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) reported expectedly weak first-quarter results. We won’t be ditching Berkshire Hathaway’s stock in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio so long as Uncle Warren is at the helm, but there were a couple takeaways from the report that we want you to be aware of (we’ll have another more extensive note focusing more exclusively on Berkshire coming out soon). The first big piece of news, something that should not be surprising … Read more

COVID-19 Idea Apple Raises Dividend, Continues With Massive Share Repurchases

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Image Shown: Shares of Apple Inc have sharply rebounded since falling precipitously from the start of 2020 through March, keeping in mind we removed shares of AAPL from our newsletter portfolios back on January 13, 2020 (link here), when shares of Apple were trading well over $300 per share. We announced on March 17, 2020, that we like Apple as a way to ride out the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. By Callum Turcan Apple Inc (AAPL) reported earnings for its second quarter of fiscal 2020 (period ended March 28, 2020) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The company also pushed through a 6% sequential increase in its quarterly payout, bringing it up to $0.82 per share or $3.28 … Read more

Lockheed Martin Marches Forward During These Harrowing Times

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Image Source: Lockheed Martin Corporation – First Quarter Fiscal 2020 Earnings IR Presentation By Callum Turcan On April 21, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) reported first-quarter earnings for fiscal 2020 (period ended March 29, 2020) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Even better, management largely kept Lockheed Martin’s fiscal 2020 guidance intact, save for a marginal reduction in the firm’s expected sales which is primarily due to supply chain and production issues that the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic is creating for Lockheed Martin’s ‘Aeronautics’ business. With that in mind, Lockheed Martin is still forecasting ~6% revenue growth this year, highlighting the resilience of defense contractor’s financials even during harrowing times such as these. Shares … Read more

Macy’s Will Find It Difficult to Unlock the (Fair) Value of Its Real Estate

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Image Source: Valuentum The embattled department store Macy’s suspended its dividend and drew down its revolving credit line on March 20 in order to shore up its financial position in the face of the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. All of Macy’s physical stores were temporarily closed on March 18, though some might shut down for good given the company’s financial woes. The fair value estimate of Macy’s is heavily dependent on factors well outside the control of management, and considering the US economy and global economy at-large are sliding toward a pandemic/leverage induced recession/depression, we aren’t optimistic on Macy’s ability to unlock the (fair) value of its real estate. Any real estate sales done in the foreseeable future will likely … Read more

Dollar General Near All-Time Highs, Decides to Issue Long-Term Debt at Attractive Rates

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Image Source: Dollar General Corporation – May 2016 Investor Day Presentation By Callum Turcan Dollar General Corporation (DG) is now trading near its all-time highs after rising ~8.5% year-to-date, at a time when the S&P 500 (SPY) is down almost 15%, as of the end of normal trading hours on April 9. We include shares of DG in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and recently covered some of Dollar General’s operational updates in our ‘US Beer Sales Reportedly Surge During the Pandemic, Dollar General Well-Positioned to Meet Rising Demand’ article that can be viewed here. We are following up on that piece, and our note covering Dollar General’s most recent financial updates that can be viewed here, to highlight how … Read more

Digital Realty’s Growth Outlook Improving, Shares Near All-Time Highs

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Image Source: Digital Realty Trust Inc – March 2020 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR) is a holding in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and High Yield Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio (order here), and its shares have performed quite well of late with DLR trading near all-time highs as of this writing. Year-to-date, DLR is up ~26% while the S&P 500 (SPY) is down ~13% as of this writing. Demand for data centers is surging as the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic is forcing households to stay indoors, which in turn is increasing demand for video streaming services, telecommunications offerings, and other activities that are voracious consumers of data. During these harrowing times, we hope members … Read more

US Fiscal Stimulus Update

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Image Source: frankieleon The US Congress is debating and working on a massive multi-trillion dollar fiscal stimulus package to mitigate the negative impact the ongoing novel coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic is having on the domestic economy and to provide for additional healthcare funds to cash-strapped entities to combat the virus. To read our previous US fiscal stimulus article, click here. By Callum Turcan After a failed vote on the U.S. fiscal stimulus bill (specifically, a shell bill to speed the legislative process along) in the Senate on Sunday, March 22, a program that’s worth around $1.5-$2.0 trillion (negotiations are ongoing), the legislative body picked up where it left off on Monday, March 23. After initially proposing to hold a vote in … Read more

Fed and Treasury Efforts Might Not Be Enough to Avoid Another Great Depression

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Image: The Energy Select Sector SPDR and Financial Select Sector SPDR, two securities removed from both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in August 2019 have been ravaged during this market selloff. We maintain our view that the energy and banking sectors are worth avoiding during this market meltdown. By Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s not mince words: We’re facing a global financial crisis and the real and growing probability of another Great Depression (not recession, but depression). The Fed has unleashed just about every backstop facility that it did during the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009, with the announcement the morning of March 23, and it is now even buying corporate bond ETFs (LQD). It’s possible … Read more