ICYMI: Let’s Play Devil’s Advocate: What’s the Bear Case for Realty Income?

By Brian Nelson, CFA We like Realty Income Corp. (O) a lot, but it’s not hard to see that the REIT could potentially have all the makings of a black swan. For one, the stock is loved by almost everyone–REIT investors, income investors, and dividend growth investors alike. Many are simply enamored by its monthly dividend, which it has raised nearly 120 times since it was listed on the NYSE in 1994. Over its 54-year history, the REIT has paid 632 consecutive monthly dividends, too. There’s a ton of things to like about Realty Income, but for this note, let’s build and examine the bear case, one that can be broken into three pillars: 1) its retail exposure, 2) its … Read more

Why Are the Dividends of REITs So Risky?

By Brian Nelson, CFA Not all REIT dividends are safe. Many REITs remain capital-market dependent, and some office REITs, retail REITs, and healthcare REITs may be difficult places to generate dependable long-term income in the coming decades, in our view. Office REIT SL Green (SLG) recently cut its payout 13% on December 5, 2022, while another office REIT Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) cut its dividend 29% on January 18, 2023. These are just two of the latest high-profile REIT dividend cuts, and there may be more to come. Contrary to popular opinion, the REIT sector has not been a great source of dependable, reliable income, particularly during the COVID-19 crisis. Five REITs cut their dividends in 2019: Medalist Diversified REIT … Read more

REITs May Continue to Face Pressure

Image: The Dividend Cushion ratio is one of the most powerful financial tools an income or dividend growth investor can use in conjunction with qualitative dividend analysis. The ratio is one-of-a-kind in that it is both free-cash-flow based and forward looking. Since its creation in 2012, the Dividend Cushion ratio has forewarned readers of approximately 50 dividend cuts. We estimate its efficacy at ~90%. By Brian Nelson, CFA Times are tough for equity REITs (VNQ) and mortgage REITs (REM), with the VNQ and REM down 25% and 30%, respectively, so far in 2022. This is against a backdrop of Valuentum’s simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio that are doing far better. The lesson in 2022, … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week March 25

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 25. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      1847 Holdings, LLC (EFSH): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend. Armanino Foods of Distinction (AMNF): now $0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0275. Banco de Chile (BCH): now $0.855 per share annual dividend, was $0.513. BankUnited (BKU): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. BRP (DOOO): now CAD 0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.13. Chesswood Group (CHWWF): now CAD 0.04 per share monthly … Read more

Dividend Growth Idea Realty Income Makes an Intriguing Purchase

Image Shown: Dividend growth idea Realty Income Corporation is acquiring its first real estate property in the gaming realm through a sale-leaseback transaction with Wynn Resorts Limited. Image Source: Realty Income Corporation – February 2022 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan On February 15, dividend growth idea Realty Income Corp (O) announced its 620th consecutive monthly dividend. Since going public in 1994, Realty Income has increased its monthly payout over 110 times. Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) focused on single-tenant commercial properties. We include the REIT as an idea in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and continue to be big fans of Realty Income. Shares of O yield ~4.4% as of this writing. Recent Acquisition  Realty Income … Read more

ICYMI: Dividend Growth Idea Realty Income Completes Transformation, Further Expands Overseas

This article originally appeared on our website November 17, 2021. Image Shown: An overview of dividend growth idea Realty Income Corporation’s tenant base, though this appears to be before taking into account its recent merger with VEREIT and spinoff of its corporate office properties portfolio. Image Source: Realty Income Corporation – November 2021 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan On November 1, Realty Income Corporation (O) completed its stock-for-stock merger with VEREIT, a deal that according to an April 2021 press release had an enterprise value of ~$50 billion. When the merger closed, shareholders of Realty Income owned ~70% of the new entity and shareholders of VEREIT owned the remainder. Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) with a … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 7

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. (AW:CA): now $0.4800 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3748. AAON (AAON): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO): now $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Acushnet (GOLF): now $0.235 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.215. American Tower (AMT): now $1.70 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.62. Atrium Mortgage Investment … Read more