INTC

Intel Reduces Fourth-Quarter Revenue Forecast on Supply Chain Disruptions

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On Monday, Intel (INTC) followed the path of other chipmakers like Texas Instruments (TXN), Altera (ALTR), and Lattice Semi (LSCC) and lowered its fourth-quarter revenue and gross margin outlook, blaming hard disk drive supply shortages from the recent flooding in Thailand. We are maintaining our fair value estimate for Intel (INTC), as our estimate of its intrinsic value is based on the company’s long-term cash-flow projections, which we think are still readily achievable. Plus, flooding in Thailand should only be a temporary supply chain issue, and we believe the rebuilding of inventories after the first quarter of next year will be a positive catalyst for Intel’s shares. Intel said it now expects fourth-quarter revenue to be about $13.7 billion (+/- … Read more

Chipmakers Face Weaker Demand; Texas Instruments, Lattice Semi, and Altera Cut Fourth-Quarter Guidance

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On Thursday, Texas Instruments (TXN) updated its business outlook for the fourth quarter of 2011, and the revisions weren’t good. The chip maker reduced its top-line revenue guidance to $3.19 – $3.33 billion compared with the previous range of $3.26 – $3.54 billion and cut its EPS guidance for the quarter to $0.21 – $0.25 from $0.28 – $0.36 per share. Despite the reduced expectations in the quarter, we are sticking with our fair value estimate for Texas Instruments, as we believe such a disappointment will only be temporary. Texas Instruments noted that its revisions were prompted by broadly lower demand across a wide range of markets, customers and products, except for wireless applications processors—particularly its OMAP 4 processor, which … Read more

Best Idea Intel Reports Fantastic Third Quarter, Sets Company Records Across the Board

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On Tuesday, Intel (INTC) put up record third-quarter results. We maintain the firm is one of our best ideas at these levels and are considering adding to our position in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter. Our $36 fair value estimate, which remains significantly above current levels, is unchanged after the excellent report. The first sentence of Intel’s press release tells most of the story behind the quarter: “Intel…reported third-quarter results, setting new records for microprocessor units shipped, EPS, earnings and revenue, which was up 28 percent year-over-year.” In fact, it’s difficult to find much not to like in chip giant’s performance during the period. As mentioned above, revenue hit $14.2 billion (an all-time record), operating income hit $4.8 billion (up … Read more

Intel’s Shares Look Significantly Undervalued

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As of late, Intel (INTC) has been the Microsoft (MSFT) of the chip space. For example, the company beats estimates (in Q1 2011 by a lot), and then maybe moves up or down a percent or two. On its second-quarter earnings call, Intel announced that capital investments will total more than $10 billion for the year, and that PC growth was low double-digits rather than mid-double digits. The shares then experienced a mild sell-off. However, the company continues to have a near monopoly in a growing sector and produces gobs of free cash flow. On a discounted cash flow valuation, we think Intel shares are worth $26 under a bear-case scenario, but $34 in our estimated scenario. However, given the … Read more

The Impact of the US Housing Recovery Cannot Be Underestimated

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Valuentum reveals the far-reaching implications of a strengthening US housing market.

Valuentum’s June Best Ideas Newsletter

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Image: Page 49, June edition of American Library Association Booklist.   By Brian Nelson, CFA — Welcome new members!   Roughly 90% of active management is underperforming their benchmarks, after fees, over the trailing 15-year period ending 2018. It’s a sad story out there. Most active investors are performing backward-looking analysis, others are using short-cut multiple analysis to make decisions; still, others may be continuing down the path of thinking that may have gotten active management in trouble in the first place: theoretical quantitative finance.   The bedrock of finance, for example, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and its beta have been shown to explain little about stock market returns, yet it is still in finance textbooks and still on key … Read more

Top Ten Dividend Growth Stocks to Consider Amid COVID-19

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Image Shown: A look at some of the top dividend growth stocks to consider, companies with strong Dividend Cushion ratios and nice payout growth trajectories, in light of ongoing turbulence in equity markets. The ‘Multiplier’ column multiplies a company’s dividend yield by its Dividend Cushion ratio. Alphabetical order by ticker: AAPL, CSCO, DLR, INTC, JNJ, LLY, MRK, MSFT, NEM, RL By Callum Turcan The novel coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic continues to wreak havoc on global economies, credit and equity markets, and the livelihoods of many. We sincerely hope everyone stays safe during this pandemic. US equities have sold off aggressively during the past month, with the S&P 500 (SPY) down ~25% year-to-date as of this writing, punishing the names of several … Read more

The Success Equation Book Review: Is the Skill Paradox a Myth in Investing? We Think So

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“If I’d just tried for them dinky singles, I could’ve batted around .600.” – Babe Ruth — “In investing, the trend toward conformity is clear. For example, portfolios today look more like their benchmarks than they did thirty years ago. The average active share, a measure of how different a mutual fund portfolio is compared to its benchmark, has fallen from 75 percent in 1980 to about 60 percent in 2010 in the United States. Leaders in sports as well as in business fear straying too far from convention, even in cases where the convention isn’t all that great (page 174).” – The Success Equation (2012) — This article was originally published October 16, 2020. — By Brian Nelson, CFA — … Read more

ASML Holding Is a Tremendous Enterprise, Holds Fantastic Competitive Position

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Image Source: ASML Holding NV – 2021 Annual Report By Callum Turcan The Dutch firm ASML Holding NV (ASML) makes the photolithography systems used by semiconductor foundries to produce “chips” that power the modern economy. In part due to its immense technological lead over its competitors, ASML Holding effectively has a monopoly at the high end of its industry, meaning its photolithography systems are required to produce the most advanced semiconductor components. The company also offers semiconductor equipment services and stands to gain immensely from ongoing growth in its installed equipment base. We’re huge fans of the company. ASML Holding is a firm that we provide ongoing valuation coverage of in our periodic financial statements webinar. Be sure to sign … Read more