FTCH

Ferrari’s Results Speak to Resilience in Ultra-Luxury Markets

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Image: Ferrari raised its guidance for 2023.  By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 2, sports car maker Ferrari N.V. (RACE) reported excellent third-quarter results that showed net revenues advancing 23.5% on a year-over-year basis, with total shipments up 8.5% from the same period a year ago. Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) advanced 41.6% from last year’s period, as the firm hauled in industrial free cash flow of €301 million in the quarter. Net industrial debt stood at €233 million at the end of September. As shown in the image above, management raised its year-end guidance thanks in part to a strong product mix and improved revenue from racing activities, and the firm noted that its “order book remains … Read more

Serious Question: What Are You Looking At?

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Image: Stocks with the largest 52-week losses, according to YahooFinance. By Brian Nelson, CFA Thank goodness that you’re subscribed to a service that didn’t include any of the above as top ideas in their simulated newsletter portfolios. Many were chasing returns in 2021 and are now left holding the bag this year, but we stuck to our methodology and processes, and we didn’t expose members to tremendous risks. That’s what it’s all about.  With that said, let’s talk about how we successfully navigated a number of these terrible ideas in the Exclusive publication, a monthly resource that includes an income idea, a capital appreciation idea, and a short idea consideration, released to members each month on the 8th. Exclusive Long Ideas … Read more

Valuentum: Outlook for Europe, China Is Bleak

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Video: Valuentum’s Associate Director of Research and Co-Portfolio Manager of the simulated newsletter portfolios, Callum Turcan, shares his thoughts about the global economy. Europe is facing considerable pressure from energy prices, while China may face a mortgage meltdown. Join Valuentum for this brief 6 minute video to get up to speed on the goings-on of the global economy and what troubles may be lurking ahead. –——— Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, DIA, VOT, BITO, and IWM. Valuentum owns SPY, SCHG, QQQ, VOO, and DIA. Brian Nelson’s household owns shares in HON, DIS, HAS, NKE. Some of the other securities written about in this article may be included in Valuentum’s simulated newsletter portfolios. Contact Valuentum for more information … Read more

LVMH Posts Record Sales Performance

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Image Source: LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton – October 2021 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan The France-based luxury goods company LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMUY) provided an update on its sales performance during the first three quarters of 2021 on October 12. For housekeeping purposes, please note LVMH reports its financials in accordance with IFRS accounting standards, and that LVMH acquired luxury jeweler Tiffany in January 2021 through a ~$15.8 billion deal.  LVMH’s revenues grew by 46% year-over-year, reaching EUR44.2 billion (a record for the company), and organic sales were up 40% year-over-year during the first nine months of 2021. The company’s ‘Fashion & Leather Goods’ segment, responsible for a little under half of its total sales, saw its … Read more

Nothing May Derail the U.S. Economy In the Long Run

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Image Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. U.S. gross domestic product is back on the upswing, and we fully expect the U.S. economy to recover, and then continue its expansion in coming years. U.S. GDP, January 1947 through October 2020. Warren Buffett may have said it best in Berkshire Hathaway’s 2020 Annual Report: “Never bet against America.” By Brian Nelson, CFA The long-term U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) chart provides a good lesson in perspective. For one, look at how resilient the U.S. economy has been during the post-World War II era. Remember our “Stay Optimistic. Stay Bullish. I Am” article we wrote in mid-May 2020 and then republished again in early June 2020? The S&P 500 was trading below 2,900 … Read more