SINA

FTC Attacks Facebook, Win-Win Scenario for Investors

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Image Shown: Facebook Inc has a large digital advertising business with global reach, but it does not have a monopoly on digital advertising or social media by any means. Image Source: Facebook Inc – Third Quarter of 2020 IR Earnings Presentation Summary Facebook is being sued by the FTC for allegedly engaging in monopolistic activities via its acquisition program. It’s important to note that the government is not seizing Facebook’s assets and that Facebook investors own the future free cash flow stream of the entire entity under any and every scenario–whether Facebook is retained in current form or whether it is broken into different parts through a potential IPO/spin-off of its Instagram and WhatsApp properties.  Under a status quo scenario, … Read more

Alibaba Mirrors the Performance of Its Western Peers

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Image Shown: Alibaba Group Holding Limited posted strong results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2020, mirroring the performance of its large-cap tech peers based in Western countries (particularly the US). Image Source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited – June Quarter 2020 Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan At a time when US-China geopolitical tensions are rising and the Trump Administration is pushing the Chinese tech firm ByteDance to divest (at least) the US-based operations of TikTok, many Chinese tech firms are still thriving. The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic has fundamentally altered daily life for most households around the world. Social distancing practices have aggressively driven up e-commerce demand along with demand for cloud computing offerings (as more employees work from … Read more

Alert — Chinese Stocks Hit the Skids

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Image Source: Michael Vadon We don’t think US and China are anywhere close to any sort of meaningful trade agreement, regardless of what you hear from the White House. The latest move in this high-stakes trade war by the US may be to de-list Chinese stocks. This actually happening seems surreal given the implications on U.S. investors, but given weakness in US-listed Chinese names, the market is factoring in some probability of this occurring. By Brian Nelson, CFA On September 27, news hit the wires that indicated the White House is evaluating ways to curtail US investors’ “portfolio flows into China,” and that may include de-listing Chinese stocks on U.S. exchanges. Although the development comes amid the view that discussions … Read more

What You Should Know About MMORPGs

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The Valuentum analyst team talks about the Chinese gaming industry and the financials of Tencent (TCEHY) and Netease (NTES), in particular. Both generate strong free cash flow and have solid balance sheets, but there are myriad risks to consider, too. ~5 mins. Podcast no longer available. Transcript as follows. Chris Araos: Welcome to Valuentum’s podcast. This is Christopher Araos, and joining us today is Brian Nelson and Kris Rosemann. Today, we’re going to talk about the MMORPG landscape in China. Brian? Brian Nelson, CFA: Thanks for that Chris. I think just to give a little bit of background MMORPG stands for massively multiplayer online role-playing (PC-client) games. Wow, that’s a mouthful. These are very, very popular games across the globe … Read more

Hit or Miss in the Video Gaming Entertainment Industry

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The Valuentum analyst team talks the latest and greatest trends in the video game entertainment industry from tried-and-true titles to the financial positions of the largest players to retail big box and beyond. ~9 mins. Kris Rosemann: Welcome to Valuentum’s podcast. I’m Kris Rosemann and joining us today is Mr. Chris Araos. Chris, you have a strong background as an observer of trends in the video game entertainment industry. How would you say the world of gaming is shaping up these days? Chris Araos: Well, Kris — a lot has changed in video gaming in just the past five years thanks to the emergence of more-advanced mobile phones, which are just great devices to play games on. Unlike PCs or … Read more

Baidu Dollars Likely Shifting to Alibaba Near Term; Raising Our Fair Value of Yahoo

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Valuentum previewed the valuation of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba in October 2013. Today, we’ve updated our analysis of the company in the table below and have raised our intrinsic value estimate to approximately $100 billion from $75 billion previously. This revision has had a relatively large per-share upward re-valuation of the shares of 24%-owner Yahoo (YHOO) in its 16-page report. Softbank, which owns more than 35% of Alibaba, will also see a more optimistic slant towards its own valuation in coming periods. Our updated valuation details of Alibaba are shown below. The previous table had a typo regarding the long-term growth rate of the perpetuity calculation, which has been corrected in the table above. Though we think our forecasts are … Read more

SEC Proposes Barring the Chinese Units of the Big 4 Accounting Firms for 6 Months; A Washington-Beijing Scuffle; Neither Firm-Specific, Nor Is It “New” News

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On Thursday, Reuters reported that SEC Administrative Law Judge Cameron Elliot believes “Chinese units of the global ‘Big Four’ accounting firms (KPMG, Deloitte & Touche, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Ernst and Young) should be suspended from auditing U.S.-listed companies for six months in an escalation in a long-running dispute over regulators’ access to documents.” Though the accounting firms have indicated that they intend to appeal against the ruling, the article did unnerve investors in many US-listed Chinese stocks, including Baidu (BIDU), which notes Ernst & Young Hua Ming LLP as its principal external auditor. This is not “new” news. Baidu goes to great lengths to highlight this scenario as a risk in its 20-F on page 32, with potential de-listing (not bankruptcy or … Read more

Plenty of Growth Ahead for Chinese Internet Companies

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The Chinese Internet space has been a fantastic growth story through the course of 2013. Shares of Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Baidu (click ticker for report: ), Qihoo (QIHU), Sohu.com (click ticker for report: ), and Tencent (click ticker for report: ) are all up at least 50% year-to-date. What do all of these companies have in common? They all have exposure to China’s rapidly-growing Internet usage as well as the country’s Internet search market. Search growth in China is phenomenal. Image Source: China Internet Watch In the second quarter of 2013, the value of the Chinese search market surged approximately 35% year-over-year (shown above), lapping a very robust growth rate well above 50% during the same period of 2012. Chinese search … Read more

Videogaming Business Becoming More and More Attractive

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Image Shown: The video game industry has been placing a much greater emphasis on growing their mobile gaming operations in recent years. Part of that strategy has involved leveraging existing IP and well-known gaming titles to appeal to a wide range of users. Image Source: Electronic Arts Inc – Second Quarter of Fiscal 2021 IR Earnings Presentation Executive Summary: Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts, and Take-Two Interactive Software have pristine balance sheets, stellar cash flow profiles, and their business models are supported by secular growth tailwinds such as the rise of the global middle class (and more broadly, additional households in emerging economies gaining access to the internet), a growing casual and dedicated video game user base across the globe, and … Read more