RYAAY

Word of Caution: Boeing’s Narrowbody Build Rate Is Unsustainable

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This article originally appeared on Seeking Alpha. Please view disclosures: https://seekingalpha.com/article/275567-word-of-caution-boeings-narrowbody-build-rate-is-unsustainable  Competition in the narrowbody market continues to heat up, and recent events only support our view that the large commercial jet-making duopoly of Boeing (BA) and Airbus will be shattered in coming years. First, last Wednesday, Boeing released plans to increase production of its 737 workhorse to 42 jets per month by the first half of 2014. We view this strictly as a competitive response to clear its massive narrowbody backlog in the face of firming global competition, not as an indication of incremental demand for Boeing’s soon-to-be-legacy 737NG (it will be replaced with either a re-engined model or a brand new build in coming years). Frequent readers were aware … Read more

A Serious Blow to Boeing is Looming

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This article was referenced on Seeking Alpha. Please view disclosures: https://seekingalpha.com/article/275567-word-of-caution-boeings-narrowbody-build-rate-is-unsustainable As competition in the narrowbody market heats up before the Paris Air Show next week, Boeing appears to be losing favor with two of its best customers, Southwest and Ryanair. For those unfamiliar with Southwest’s and Ryanair’s fleets, they are all-Boeing 737 airplanes, and recent actions by these two carriers give us pause, especially as Boeing drags its feet on deciding what to do next with its workhorse 737. As Bloomberg reported some time ago, Southwest’s CEO Gary Kelly is not all that thrilled by Boeing’s delay in responding to Airbus’ A320neo and the CSeries offered by Bombardier–both planes offering cost advantages better than the 737NG in their corresponding seat … Read more

Structural Changes in the Airline and Aerospace Business

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Image Source: Valuentum A version of this article appeared on our website April 28, 2021. By Brian Nelson, CFA The coronavirus pandemic (“COVID-19”) has fundamentally changed how companies do business. Zoom Video (ZM) has made in-person meetings largely redundant while innovative digital-agreement firms such as DocuSign (DOCU) have only contributed to the “anywhere economy.” Though there may be pent-up demand for in-person meetings and handshake agreements as the number of vaccinations for COVID-19 increase across the globe, many businesses may grow to permanently embrace the “anywhere economy” for its efficiencies and cost savings. This will impact the long-term trajectory of business air travel demand, in our opinion, with implications on the normalized intrinsic values of airlines (JETS), jet makers, and … Read more

Still Bullish — Stocks for the Long Run!

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Excuses not to pick stocks are only exposing biases these days. By Brian Nelson, CFA The S&P 500 (SPY), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) and Nasdaq (QQQ) continue to hover near all-time highs, and all appears well. We maintain our bullish take on the markets and believe that we are in the early innings of a long bull market that started following the washout March 2020 during the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown. Stock bull markets tend to average about 4.4 years in duration, with the last one enduring ~11 years, while bear markets are very abrupt, lasting only 11.3 months on average, the last one a very short 1.1 months, according to data from First Trust. We’re about 15 … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of August 1

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          American States Water (AWR): now $0.5040 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.4655. Ardmore Shipping (ASC): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Artisan Partners Asset Management (APAM): now $0.73 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.68. AudioCodes (AUDC): now $0.20 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.18. Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBDO): now $0.0021 per share monthly dividend, was $0.0019. The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & … Read more

More Earnings Reports: BA, CMCSA, MCD

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Image Shown: Though the past year has been brutal for the commercial airliner and aerospace industries and it will continue to be rough sledding in the near term, Boeing is optimistic that within a few years passenger traffic will return to pre-pandemic levels and resume its growth trajectory thereafter. Image Source: Boeing Company – Fourth Quarter of 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan In alphabetical order by ticker: BA, CMCSA, MCD We are continuing with our coverage of key earnings reports. Ongoing vaccine distribution activities should help global health authorities bring the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic under control, though risks remain as new variants of the virus are popping up all over the place (and then spreading aggressively). Boeing (BA) … Read more