JP Morgan’s First-Quarter Results Support Our Small Financials Exposure; Credit Quality Continues to Improve

JP Morgan (JPM) reported strong first-quarter results Friday that revealed a strengthening balance sheet and positive credit trends in its consumer real estate and credit card portfolios. The firm’s net income fell $172 million (3%) from the same period a year ago, though earnings per share advanced modestly, to $1.31 (consensus expectations were at $1.18 per share). Though we expect the earnings environment to continue to be challenging for banks, we do expect the group as a whole to fetch better valuations in the years ahead as the outsize risk premium associated with ongoing concerns about the domestic housing market and European sovereign debt ease. We continue to hold small, diversified financial positions in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter, … Read more

JP Morgan Posts Fourth-Quarter Results; Sees Improving Loan Demand and Credit Quality

JP Morgan (JPM), the largest bank in the US by assets, reported fourth-quarter results Friday that showed declining profits but solid loan growth, credit-quality improvement, and continued strength in its fortress balance sheet. We continue to hold positions in the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) and the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter, but not any bank specifically as we seek to dodge firm-specific risk within the banking sector at this time. However, we think the US banks will have a nice year during 2012 as unemployment (now 8.5%) and housing trends improve (new order growth). JP Morgan’s fourth-quarter net profit fell to $3.7 billion ($0.90 per share) from $4.8 billion ($1.12 per … Read more

The Impact of the US Housing Recovery Cannot Be Underestimated

Valuentum reveals the far-reaching implications of a strengthening US housing market.