ASML

ASML Holding Lowers 2025 Outlook

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Image: ASML Holding is falling from recent highs as its third quarter report and outlook disappointed investors. By Brian Nelson, CFA On October 15, ASML Holding (ASML) reported disappointing results for the third quarter of 2024, as the firm’s quarterly net bookings were weaker than the market was expecting. Third quarter total net sales were €7.5 billion (better than consensus of €7.17 billion), while it put up a gross margin of 50.8%, resulting in net income of €2.1 billion in the quarter (better than consensus of €1.91 billion). The big news, however, was that net bookings in the third quarter were €2.6 billion versus consensus expectations of €5.39 billion. Management had the following to say about the quarter, adjusting its … Read more

Brain Teaser – Reflexive versus Reflective

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Dear members: — Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal, wrote in his pioneering text, Your Money and Your Brain, a few fun examples of how sometimes the psychological process of anchoring and adjustment can trip us up. — In one notable example, Zweig wrote about how two psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman had asked volunteers to spin a wheel of fortune numbered from 0 to 100. The contestants didn’t know that the wheel was rigged to produce either a 10 or a 65 for the experiment. — After spinning the wheel, the contestants were then asked whether the percentage of total United Nations membership made up of countries in Africa was higher or lower than the number that came up. … Read more

ASML Holding Reports Strong Bookings in Second Quarter

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Image: ASML Holding has been a strong stock performer since the beginning of 2023. By Brian Nelson, CFA On July 17, ASML Holding (ASML) reported disappointing second quarter 2024 results where revenue fell 10% and operating income dropped 18.9% from the same period a year ago. Net income fell 18.7% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, with diluted net income per share falling to €4.01 from €4.93 in the same period a year ago. Though the firm’s second quarter performance left a lot to be desired, its bookings number of €5.6 billion (€2.5 billion were EUV) in the quarter was strong, coming in better than the €4.5 billion in bookings won in the same period last year. Management had … Read more

ASML Reports First Quarter Results, Reiterates Guidance

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Image: ASML Holding is one of our favorite semiconductor ideas. By Brian Nelson, CFA On April 17, ASML Holding (ASML) reported decent first quarter 2024 results. First quarter net sales came in at €5.29 billion on a gross margin of 51.0%. Net income was €1.22 billion in the quarter. Net bookings in the first quarter of 2024 came in at €3.6 billion, down sequentially from the strong net bookings number delivered in the fourth quarter of 2023. The company continues to be shareholder friendly, paying dividends and buying back €400 million worth of stock during the first quarter. Management had the following to say about the quarterly results and outlook: Our first-quarter total net sales came in at €5.3 billion, … Read more

Micron Issues Strong Outlook, Points to Multi-Year Opportunity in AI

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Image Source: Micron By Brian Nelson, CFA On March 20, Micron (MU) reported better than expected second quarter fiscal 2024 results that showed considerable revenue growth and a nice beat with respect to non-GAAP earnings per share. Revenue advanced to $5.82 billion versus $3.69 billion in the same period last year, while non-GAAP net income swung into positive territory at $0.42 per share, up from a loss of $1.91 during the second quarter of fiscal 2023. Operating cash flow surged to $1.22 billion in the quarter from $343 million in the same period a year ago. Here’s what management had to say about the performance in the quarterly press release: Micron delivered fiscal Q2 results with revenue, gross margin and … Read more

Palantir’s Fourth-Quarter Results Showcase Strong Trends in Artificial Intelligence

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Image: Palantir’s revenue continues to march higher, and the company’s performance continues to showcase the growing strength in artificial intelligence. Source: Palantir By Brian Nelson, CFA Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has three core software platforms called Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo that “provide the critical infrastructure needed to integrate (its) customers’ data and operations and run their software in virtually any environment (Form 10-K).” On February 5, the firm reported solid fourth-quarter results that showed revenue growing 20% on a year-over-year basis and GAAP net income coming in at $93 million, representing the fifth consecutive quarter that the firm has driven positive GAAP profits. We liked Palantir’s quarterly results, but we wanted to bring to members’ attention the commentary surrounding artificial intelligence [AI]: … Read more

Earnings Roundup: NFLX, ASML, T, ABT

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Netflix (NFLX) Lands WWE Raw and Puts Up Huge Streaming Paid Member Number Image: Netflix’s substantially improved free cash flow has made it a clear winner in the streaming wars. Image Source: Netflix. On January 23, Netflix reported mixed fourth-quarter results that showed a beat on the top line, but a bottom-line miss. The mixed performance, however, was overshadowed by a huge growth number in new global streaming paid memberships of 13.12 million during the quarter and a landmark $5 billion deal with TKO Group (TKO) to begin streaming WWE Raw exclusively on Netflix beginning in January 2025. 2023 was a banner year for Netflix. The company grew revenue 12% (up from 6% last year), pushed … Read more

Nvidia’s Shares Could Run Higher Even More!

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Image: Nvidia has been a market darling, and the firm’s equity looks to have further upside potential on the basis of our valuation. By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 21, market darling Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) reported excellent fiscal third quarter results for the period ending October 29 that showcased the power behind the revolution in artificial intelligence. The company’s revenue hit a record, advancing more than three-fold on a year-over-year basis thanks to strength in its Data Center business. Its non-GAAP earnings were up six-fold from the year-ago period, and the firm continues to haul in tremendous free cash flow. We’ve raised our fair value estimate of Nvidia to $606 per share, and we think the company’s shares could continue … Read more

AMD Continues to Enhance Artificial Intelligence Capabilities

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By Brian Nelson, CFA On October 31, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported solid third-quarter results with revenue advancing 4% on a year-over-year basis and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in slightly better than expectations, with net income up more than four-fold, to $299 million. Management expressed excitement about demand for its Ryzen 7000 series PC processors and noted that its data center business is progressing well thanks to its 4th Gen EPYC CPU portfolio and Instinct MI300 accelerator shipments across various markets, including artificial intelligence [AI]. Here’s what CEO Lisa Su had to say about AI on the conference call: In PCs, there are now more than 50 notebook designs powered by Ryzen AI in market, and we are working … Read more

Albemarle and ASML Holding Remain Key ESG-Focused Ideas

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By Brian Nelson, CFA The investment landscape is fast changing, and investors want to invest how they want to invest. Custom approaches to meeting client needs have never been in greater demand. After all, the saying “there’s an ETF for that” has become as common as the saying “don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” There may be no greater or better investment than becoming more exposed to the sustainable trend of Environmental, Social and Governance [‘ESG’] investing, where ESG research points to key risks of a company that could have tremendous implications on its intrinsic value or fair value estimate distribution. For example, how should investors think about Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) talc exposure liabilities? What about 3M’s … Read more