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Valuentum Commentary
Mar 22, 2025
Nike Faces Continued Revenue Declines
Image: Nike’s shares remain under pressure. Nike had the following to say about its outlook on the conference call: “Our fourth quarter guidance includes our best assessment of these factors based on the data we have available to us today. We expect Q4 revenues to be down in the mid-teens range, albeit at the low end. This includes several points of unfavorable shipment timing in North America, as well as 2 points of negative impact from foreign exchange headwinds. We expect Q4 gross margins to be down approximately 400 basis points to 500 basis points, including restructuring charges during the same period last year. We have included the estimated impact from newly implemented tariffs on imports from China and Mexico.” Nike continues to be in the early stages of a turnaround. Shares yield 2.4% at the time of this writing. Dec 27, 2024
Nike’s Revenue Under Considerable Pressure; Turnaround Will Take Time
Image: Nike’s shares have been under considerable pressure as sales results disappoint. Nike’s outlook for the near term doesn’t provide us with much confidence. As we have noted before, Nike has a storied brand that is unmatched by rivals, but it may take more than a new CEO to turn things around. Competition remains fierce and the promotional environment intense, while consumer discretionary spending remains a big wild card. We like Nike, but we continue to stay on the sidelines until we start to see some improvement on the top line, not just better than feared results. Dec 5, 2024
Foot Locker Talks of a More Promotional Environment, Softening Consumer Spending
Image Source: Foot Locker. Looking to all of 2024, Foot Locker now expects sales growth to be -1.5% to -1% from -1% to +1% previously and comparable store sales growth of 1%-1.5%, down from the prior range of 1%-3%. It also lowered its EBIT margin outlook for the full year 2024 to the range of 2.3%-2.5% from 2.8%-3.2% previously. Non-GAAP earnings per share for the year is now targeted in the range of $1.20-$1.30 from $1.50-$1.70 previously. Given the disappointing outlook, we’re viewing Foot Locker as a put option idea candidate. Nov 15, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of November 15
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Oct 2, 2024
Nike In the Midst of a CEO Transition, Withdraws Full Year Guidance
Image: Nike’s shares have been under pressure as the firm continues to underperform. Nike is in the midst of a management transition with Elliott Hill returning to the company in the capacity of President and CEO effective October 14. Looking to the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Nike expects revenue to be down in the 8%-10% range and gross margins to be down roughly 150 basis points, pointing to higher promotions and channel mix headwinds. Though Nike has a storied brand, unmatched by rivals, it has fallen on difficult times, and we’re staying on the sidelines with respect to shares. Shares yield 1.7% at the time of this writing. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Jul 7, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Jun 28, 2024
Nike’s Revenue Under Pressure
Image: Nike’s shares have languished of late, and a comeback will take some time. Nike retains one of the strongest brand names across our coverage universe, and customer loyalty remains a key attribute to a bull case for shares. However, the company’s fiscal 2025 will be challenging, with considerable weakness during the first quarter of fiscal 2025. We like Nike’s business model, but we remain on the sidelines as we adjust our valuation model to reflect the lower-than-expected fiscal 2025 performance. Jun 14, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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