Brian Nelson

Ford Shines Bright in November; Potential Channel Stuffing By GM; Toyota Suggests Industry Sales at Fastest Pace Since 2007; Nissan Sets November Record; Honda’s Second-Best November Performance

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On Tuesday, Best Ideas portfolio holding Ford (F) put up its best November US auto sales performance in almost a decade. US sales at the automaker advanced 7% in the month, exceeding the mid-5% consensus forecast, while retail sales were up 9% for the period. The F-Series topped 60,000 sales for the seventh consecutive month (it sold 65,501 F-Series trucks in the month, up 16% on a year-over-year basis), and passenger car strength was led by Fusion and Fiesta sales, which jumped 51% and 26%, respectively. Total passenger car sales achieved the best sales result since 2002. November was a month to remember for Ford!  The automaker announced that it would build 770,000 vehicles in the first quarter of 2014 … Read more

Lampert May Be Bailing on Sears; J.C. Penney’s November Comps Showed Life

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A Schedule 13D filed by Sears (SHLD) Monday showed that CEO Eddie Lampert had cut his equity stake in the beleaguered retailer to 48.5% from a prior 55.4%. Certainly this is not reassuring the markets as recent channel checks showed further deterioration in the company’s comparable store sales trends during November. Sears is struggling to remain relevant in today’s retail environment, and Lampert’s recent selling isn’t sitting well with us about the retailer’s sustainability as an entity. The firm’s third-quarter results were atrocious, and the holiday shopping season appears to be shaping up as equally poor for Sears. J.C. Penney (JCP) made headlines Tuesday on what initially seemed to be positive news: the company’s comparable store sales grew more than … Read more

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners’ 2014 Outlook Reveals Distribution Growth

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On Tuesday, Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP), one of the largest midstream (pipeline) energy companies in North America and a core Dividend Growth portfolio holding, announced expectations for 2014. Kinder Morgan Energy Partners expects to: Declare cash distributions of $5.58 per unit for 2014, an approximate 6 percent increase over its 2013 budget target of $5.28 per unit and an approximate 5 percent increase above its current expectation of $5.33. Generate approximately $6.4 billion in business segment earnings before DD&A (adding back KMP’s share of joint venture DD&A), an increase of approximately $750 million over the 2013 forecast. Distribute over $2.5 billion to its limited partners. Invest approximately $3.6 billion in expansions (including contributions to joint ventures) and small acquisitions. … Read more

Cyber Monday Online Sales Rocketed Higher; Mobile Growth Spectacular

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On Monday, Channel Advisor (ECOM), a leading provider of cloud-based e-commerce solutions, released its assessment of Cyber Monday: Amazon and eBay are trending over 30% compared to last year. Google Shopping continues its gains as well. Search and CSE slowed down through the day with Search currently trending ~6% and CSE 14%. Overall it looks like Cyber Monday is (still) on track to be up over 30% compared to last year from a SSS basis, which would make it a new record day for e-commerce! Today, the firm followed up with a few additional anecdotes and its thoughts about the Cyber Five, the five days from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday: Amazon – Amazon is off to a strong holiday. The … Read more

Mining Capital Spending Still Expected to Fall

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On Monday, Brazilian miner Vale (VALE) rolled out its capital spending budget for 2014. The board approved a $14.8 billion capital spending plan, with the lion’s share allocated to project execution. The expected level will be the lowest since 2010, near the depths of spending levels in the Great Recession:  After peaking in 2011 at $18.0 billion, capital and R&D expenditures in 2014 will show a decline for the third year in a row. This reflects the greater focus on capital efficiency, which entails among other things pursuing shareholder value maximization through a smaller portfolio comprised of projects with a high risk-adjusted expected rate of return. This is evidenced by the fact that more than 80% of the 2014 budget … Read more

2 Pieces of News You Never Expected on Cyber Monday

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Monday is shaping up to be a unique news day following excellent online retail sales over the holiday weekend. Amazon’s (AMZN) flying drones and Darden Restaurants’ (DRI) “Italian” burgers seem to have stolen the show today. Amazon’s Flying Drones During a 60 Minutes interview, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos said that the firm is experimenting with fulfilling small orders using drone aircraft, a service dubbed Prime Air. In what sounds more like science fiction than a strategic endeavor, Bezos hopes the drones will allow Amazon to deliver products in as little as 30 minutes, giving its same-day efforts a boost. The “flying drone” service is scheduled to be in place within 4-5 years and will require approval from the Federal Aviation … Read more

Valuentum’s December Edition of Its Dividend Growth Newsletter!

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Dividend Portfolio Holding Apple Leading the Charge by Brian Nelson, CFA In case you missed it, IBM Digital Analytics Benchmark, a source for real-time cloud-based online retail data and analysis, revealed strong online retail trends for this Thanksgiving and Black Friday: “US Holiday shoppers once again shopped online early for the best deals with Thanksgiving Day online sales increasing by 19.7% over 2012. This momentum set the stage for a record Black Friday, with online sales growing 18.9% over the same period last year. The biggest surge came from mobile sales increasing to 25.8% of total online sales for Thanksgiving and 21.8% for Black Friday as consumers went from the dinner table to their tablets to lock in the best offers. … Read more

Great Early Holiday Sales Read for Best Ideas Portfolio Holdings

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On Saturday, IBM Digital Analytics Benchmark, a source for real-time cloud-based online retail data and analysis, revealed strong online retail trends for this Thanksgiving and Black Friday: US Holiday shoppers once again shopped online early for the best deals with Thanksgiving Day online sales increasing by 19.7 percent over 2012. This momentum set the stage for a record Black Friday, with online sales growing 18.9 percent over the same period last year. The biggest surge came from mobile sales increasing to 25.8 percent of total online sales for Thanksgiving and 21.8 percent for Black Friday as consumers went from the dinner table to their tablets to lock in the best offers. In addition, IBM reported that New York City consumers … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending November 29

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here (or use our ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header). Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX): now $0.545 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.495. CBL & Associates Properties (CBL): now $0.245 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Donaldson Co (DCI): now $0.14 per share quarterly dividend, now $0.13. Glacier Bancorp (GBCI): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Hormel Foods (HRL): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17. McCormick & Company … Read more

The ‘House’ May Be Giving A Little Bit Back This Thanksgiving; It Did in October

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The Gaming Control Board of the state of Nevada released its gaming revenues and collections Wednesday. For the month of October 2013, Nevada’s nonrestricted gaming licenses reported a total “gaming win” decrease of 2.58% compared to October 2012. Las Vegas strip revenue declined 5.06% from the same period a year ago. Though “gaming win” has still advanced 1.52% from July through October of this fiscal year versus last year’s mark, the decline in the month of October still compares to a 7.41% increase in September and an 11.17% increase in August, signaling a marked change in the trajectory. It’s worth noting that year-over-year fluctuations should be expected (as total “gaming win” declined nearly 8% in July of this year), but … Read more