Our Thoughts on Intel’s Latest Earnings Report

Image Shown: An overview of Intel Corporation’s performance during the first nine months of fiscal 2020. Image Source: Intel Corporation – Third Quarter of Fiscal 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan On October 22, Intel Corporation (INTC) reported third quarter fiscal 2020 earnings (period ended September 26, 2020) that largely matched consensus expectations. Intel boosted its full-year outlook for fiscal 2020 on a net basis (which included an increase in its expected free cash flows this fiscal year) during its latest earnings update, though management reduced its forecast for Intel’s expected operating margins versus previous expectations. We continue to like Intel’s ability to generate sizable free cash flows, though we are concerned with its rising net debt load of … Read more

Our Thoughts on Intel’s Big Divestiture Ahead of Its Earnings Report

Image Source: Intel Corporation – Second Quarter of Fiscal 2020 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan On October 20, Intel Corporation (INTC) and South Korean-based SK Hynix announced a major transaction that will reshape the global NAND flash memory market. For reference, NAND flash memory is used in smartphones, personal computers, and other digital devices. Intel will receive $9.0 billion in cash that will be paid out in two phases, assuming everything goes as planned. In return, SK Hynix is receiving “Intel NAND memory and storage business, which includes the NAND SSD business, the NAND component and wafer business, and the Dalian NAND memory manufacturing facility in China” though Intel will retain its Intel Optane business, which caters to both … Read more

Broadcom’s Financials Are Stabilizing

Image Source: Broadcom Inc – June 2020 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan On June 4, Broadcom Inc (AVGO) posted second quarter earnings for fiscal 2020 (period ended May 3, 2020). Shares of AVGO are trading in the upper bound of our fair value estimate range and appear reasonably priced as of this writing considering the relatively favorable forward-guidance management offered for the fiscal third quarter. Though the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic is negatively impacting Broadcom’s operations with an eye towards “challenges” at the firm’s supply chain, the company’s growing ‘Infrastructure software’ segment appears to be helping stabilize its financial performance. We give Broadcom a Dividend Cushion ratio of 1.0, earning the firm a “GOOD” Dividend Safety rating (these metrics factor … Read more

Covering the US-China “Technological Arms Race”

Image Shown: The future of geopolitical tensions will likely boil down to what some see as a “technological arms race” between the US and China. Image Source: Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) – May 2020 Presentation By Callum Turcan Given the rise of US-China geopolitical tensions, we wanted to cover the changing state of the semiconductor industry and the rare earth minerals landscape. Recent announcements from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) or ‘TSMC’ caught our eye. For some background, in the world of semiconductors, there are what is referred to as fabrication facilities and foundries. The former is used to make chips for internal purposes while the latter contracts out its production capacity to third parties to make chips for external purposes. … Read more

Apple Charging Higher

Image Shown: Shares of Apple Inc continue to climb higher and we like the name in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. This is a long-term holding with substantial potential capital appreciation and dividend growth upside. By Callum Turcan Apple Inc (AAPL) is a top holding in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios, with shares of AAPL yielding ~1.1% as of this writing. The top end of our fair value range estimate for shares of AAPL sits at $280, decently above where shares are trading at as of this writing. Considering the favorable technicals Apple has experienced of late, we see substantial room for shares to move higher still. Please keep in … Read more

Stocks Stage Comeback, US Government Budget Released

Image shown: The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since September 2017. The market continues to lick its wounds following the sell-off. We’re watching interest rates and technicals for signs where the market may go next. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA The US 10-year Treasury yield (TLT, TBT) hit a four-year high before the open February 12, suggesting recent volatility in the equity markets is anything but going away in the near term, despite stocks bouncing back from the rough week that ended February 9. Rising interest rates may not create a financial crisis, but it could challenge the widely-held view that stock prices only increase over long-enough periods of time. After all, the past 40-year bull … Read more

Shopping for Income Within Retail in a Digital World

Image Source: Mike Mozart The 2017 holiday shopping season has shown that e-commerce has never been stronger and it will only continue to grow. But there is still potential for income generation among more traditional retailers. Investors must be tremendously discerning in this area, however, as margin, and ultimately free cash flow, pressures remain prevalent. We like Walmart, Target, Costco as income ideas in retail, but TJX Companies and Best Buy may be worth a look. We’re avoiding the department stores and teen retail like the plague, regardless of their Dividend Cushion ratios. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA What an incredible time we’re living in. For those that study history, the US’ pressure on other countries like China … Read more

Apple: Innovation Versus Improvements

Image Source: Valuentum Apple’s 2017 iPhone event took place September 12, and it was one of the most highly anticipated of such events. Let’s take a look at what improvements are being made and how they might impact our thesis on the tech giant. By Kris Rosemann Newsletter portfolio holding Apple (AAPL) has made a spectacle of its annual iPhone event in which it reveals the most recent improvements it makes to its flagship product, as well as other new products and features across its lineup. This year’s event, which took place September 12, was one of the most highly-anticipated events in the iPhone’s 10-year history, due in large part to the anticipation surrounding the iPhone X (iPhone 10 in … Read more